124 Fawn Lake Dr · Fawn Lake Forest, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +4.8/30.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.3/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$329,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nestled in the serene natural surroundings of Fawn Lake Forest, 124 Fawn Lake Drive offers a unique investment opportunity to create a truly refined retreat. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence presents a rare chance to transform a property in one of Pike County's most amenity-rich communities. From vision to execution, this home is a blank canvas awaiting a discerning eye. Just minutes from the year-round lifestyle destination of Masthope and part of the Wallenpaupack School District, the home sits within a prestigious community known for lake access, indoor and outdoor pools, a well-appointed clubhouse, fitness facilities, and a variety of sports courts. Whether you're planning a full renovation or seeking your next upscale project, the location sets the stage for high return potential. For developers, investors, or homeowners with a vision for excellence, this fixer-upper promises both location and long-term value. Bring your creativity to this rare opportunity and reimagine what 124 Fawn Lake Drive can become. The future begins here. Call TODAY!
Key facts
- All new windows
- All new doors
- All new flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Fawn Lake community
- HOA & community: Part of a homeowners association; Annual association fee; Community amenities include clubhouse, indoor pool, outdoor pool, tennis courts, basketball court, picnic area, game room, game court, beach rights, ski access, and powered boats allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels
- Construction: Above-grade and below-grade finished living areas (both levels finished)
- Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Front yard with some trees; Private maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Refrigerator; Microwave
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating; Fireplace insert; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Kitchen island; Stone counters; Finished full basement with walk-up/walk-out access and bath rough-in; Fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room and laundry closet on lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $330k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-803 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $188k (43.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (46.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $176k (46.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 3.4% vs local median 4.8% in Fawn Lake Forest — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,395 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Wallenpaupack Area SD (rural): math 39% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #192 of 539 in PA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 371 active listings in the ZIP; 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $33k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$57k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $115k; list at $330k implies a 187% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.53% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- -10.42%
- DSCR
- 0.54
- GRM
- 15.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $127,296
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 124 Fawn Lake Dr | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 892 (+9%) | 12mo | $115,000 | $129 | 72 |
| 219 Forest Ridge Dr | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 724 (-11%) | 15mo | $142,500 | $197 | 39 |
| 239 Forest Ridge Dr | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 900 (+10%) | 16mo | $140,000 | $156 | 36 |
| 143 Deer | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 700 (-14%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $121 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $128,583
- Equity at exit
- $297,289
- IRR
- 16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.53×
- Total profit
- $418,804
- Equity at exit
- $641,115
Cash invested: $92,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18428
- Home prices YoY
- 9.2%
- Active inventory
- 371
- Price-to-rent
- 15.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,763 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,731
- Tax from tax record
- −$172 /mo · $2,060/yr
- Insurance
- −$137
- HOA
- −$156
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$370
- Net cashflow
- $-803
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-616 | -5% $-709 | +0% $-803 | +5% $-896 | +10% $-989 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-942 | -5% $-872 | +0% $-803 | +5% $-733 | +10% $-663 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-636 | -0.5pp $-719 | base $-803 | +0.5pp $-888 | +1.0pp $-975 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,500
- Closing costs
- $9,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $156 · $1,872/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-22$329,999 Active
-
2025-06-13soldstatus $115,000
-
2025-06-10soldstatus $115,000 Closed 1062-char remark
Show marketing remark (1062 chars)
Nestled in the serene natural surroundings of Fawn Lake Forest, 124 Fawn Lake Drive offers a unique investment opportunity to create a truly refined retreat. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence presents a rare chance to transform a property in one of Pike County's most amenity-rich communities. From vision to execution, this home is a blank canvas awaiting a discerning eye. Just minutes from the year-round lifestyle destination of Masthope and part of the Wallenpaupack School District, the home sits within a prestigious community known for lake access, indoor and outdoor pools, a well-appointed clubhouse, fitness facilities, and a variety of sports courts. Whether you're planning a full renovation or seeking your next upscale project, the location sets the stage for high return potential. For developers, investors, or homeowners with a vision for excellence, this fixer-upper promises both location and long-term value. Bring your creativity to this rare opportunity and reimagine what 124 Fawn Lake Drive can become. The future begins here. Call TODAY!
-
2025-05-06status Pending 1062-char remark
Show marketing remark (1062 chars)
Nestled in the serene natural surroundings of Fawn Lake Forest, 124 Fawn Lake Drive offers a unique investment opportunity to create a truly refined retreat. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence presents a rare chance to transform a property in one of Pike County's most amenity-rich communities. From vision to execution, this home is a blank canvas awaiting a discerning eye. Just minutes from the year-round lifestyle destination of Masthope and part of the Wallenpaupack School District, the home sits within a prestigious community known for lake access, indoor and outdoor pools, a well-appointed clubhouse, fitness facilities, and a variety of sports courts. Whether you're planning a full renovation or seeking your next upscale project, the location sets the stage for high return potential. For developers, investors, or homeowners with a vision for excellence, this fixer-upper promises both location and long-term value. Bring your creativity to this rare opportunity and reimagine what 124 Fawn Lake Drive can become. The future begins here. Call TODAY!
-
2025-04-24price $145,000 1062-char remark
Show marketing remark (1062 chars)
Nestled in the serene natural surroundings of Fawn Lake Forest, 124 Fawn Lake Drive offers a unique investment opportunity to create a truly refined retreat. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence presents a rare chance to transform a property in one of Pike County's most amenity-rich communities. From vision to execution, this home is a blank canvas awaiting a discerning eye. Just minutes from the year-round lifestyle destination of Masthope and part of the Wallenpaupack School District, the home sits within a prestigious community known for lake access, indoor and outdoor pools, a well-appointed clubhouse, fitness facilities, and a variety of sports courts. Whether you're planning a full renovation or seeking your next upscale project, the location sets the stage for high return potential. For developers, investors, or homeowners with a vision for excellence, this fixer-upper promises both location and long-term value. Bring your creativity to this rare opportunity and reimagine what 124 Fawn Lake Drive can become. The future begins here. Call TODAY!
-
2025-03-24$149,900 Active 1062-char remark
Show marketing remark (1062 chars)
Nestled in the serene natural surroundings of Fawn Lake Forest, 124 Fawn Lake Drive offers a unique investment opportunity to create a truly refined retreat. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence presents a rare chance to transform a property in one of Pike County's most amenity-rich communities. From vision to execution, this home is a blank canvas awaiting a discerning eye. Just minutes from the year-round lifestyle destination of Masthope and part of the Wallenpaupack School District, the home sits within a prestigious community known for lake access, indoor and outdoor pools, a well-appointed clubhouse, fitness facilities, and a variety of sports courts. Whether you're planning a full renovation or seeking your next upscale project, the location sets the stage for high return potential. For developers, investors, or homeowners with a vision for excellence, this fixer-upper promises both location and long-term value. Bring your creativity to this rare opportunity and reimagine what 124 Fawn Lake Drive can become. The future begins here. Call TODAY!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,060 · $172/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,637 · $303/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,577/yr (+$131/mo · 76.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,161
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,485
- − Property taxes
- −$2,060
- − Insurance
- −$1,650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,693
- − Management
- −$1,693
- − HOA
- −$1,872
- − Depreciation
- −$9,600
- Taxable loss
- −$15,891
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,814
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,817/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wallenpaupack Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4224750
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,027
- Composite
- 41.97/100
- National rank
- #3345
- State rank
- #192 of 539 in PA
Livability — Fawn Lake Forest
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #1395
- US rank
- #17626
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fawn Lake Forest, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,446
Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,548 people
- By 2030
- 51,622 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 46,490 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 40,372 · -24.6%
- By 2075
- 31,951 · -40.3%
- By 2100
- 26,821 · -49.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Portuguese 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pike
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+4.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 28.60%
- Current HPI
- 340.8254
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+120.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $329,999 PWMLS
- 2025-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2025-06-10 Sold (MLS) $115,000 PWMLS
- 2025-05-06 Pending — PWMLS
- 2025-04-24 Price Changed $145,000 PWMLS
- 2025-03-24 Listed $149,900 PWMLS
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2026): $2,060 · -11.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…