🌊 Lakefront
8651 Ohio 368 Unit 105E · Huntsville, OH
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- C
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $591 – $1,051
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This three bedroom, 1 full bath mobile home at Lakeridge Resort has so much potential. It needs a little TLC and it would be wonderful! Great for full time living or vacationing. Includes a dock, grassed area, firepit, deck, and more! Leased land.
Key facts
- Assigned boat dock
- Waterfront community
- Built 1967
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public sewer; Natural gas connected; Supplied water
- Home design: Manufactured home; Residential property; Built in 1967; Irregular lot shape
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Dock; Shed(s); Leased lot; Lake view / waterfront access
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Window cooling units
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Range; Refrigerator
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $169 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($997 rent vs $90k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#494 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Indian Lake Local (rural): math 59% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #261 of 656 in OH (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 121 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $619 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Logan County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $90k implies a 795% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.10%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $120,600
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8651 State Route 368 Unit 103E | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 858 (-5%) | 0mo | $115,000 | $134 | 83 |
| 8651 Oh-368 Unit 76C | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 910 (+1%) | 9mo | $65,000 | $71 | 82 |
| 8651 Ohio 368 Unit 14A | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (+3%) | 15mo | $137,900 | $149 | 78 |
| 8651 State Route 368 Unit 30B | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 896 (-0%) | 19mo | $123,500 | $138 | 76 |
| 8651 S R 368 Unit 68-C | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 940 (+4%) | 21mo | $115,500 | $123 | 75 |
| 8651 S R 368 LOT 76-C | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 910 (+1%) | 22mo | $70,000 | $77 | 70 |
| 8651 St Rt 368 Unit 108E | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 868 (-4%) | 24mo | $62,500 | $72 | 69 |
| 8651 Ohio 368 Unit 124E | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 924 (+3%) | 24mo | $128,000 | $139 | 69 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-3,718
- Equity at exit
- $13,345
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $10,692
- Equity at exit
- $7,738
Cash invested: $25,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43324
- Home prices YoY
- -20.4%
- Active inventory
- 26
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $997 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$469
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,342/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$209
- Net cashflow
- $169
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,375
- Closing costs
- $2,685
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,500 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-12$89,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone C · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,964
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,013
- − Property taxes
- −$1,342
- − Insurance
- −$448
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$957
- − Management
- −$957
- − Depreciation
- −$2,604
- Taxable income
- $643
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$154
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,875/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian Lake Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904808
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,496
- Composite
- 52.6/100
- National rank
- #1559
- State rank
- #261 of 656 in OH
Livability — Huntsville
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #494
- US rank
- #8281
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Logan · 47,256 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,804
- Household income
- $76,875
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Logan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,240 people
- By 2030
- 43,166 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 40,495 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 37,511 · -15.2%
- By 2075
- 30,453 · -31.2%
- By 2100
- 23,081 · -47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Hungarian 4% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Logan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.2) · D 21.5% · R 77.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.6pp toward R · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -56.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.2 2020: R+55.2 2016: R+52.6 2012: R+31.8 2008: R+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.75%
- Current HPI
- 256.0438
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+86.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $89,500 WRIST
- 2025-11-27 Listing Removed — WRIST
- 2025-09-03 Price Changed $79,900 WRIST
- 2025-07-26 Price Changed $90,000 WRIST
- 2025-07-09 Price Changed $100,000 WRIST
- 2025-05-29 Listed $110,000 WRIST
- 2017-05-26 Sold (MLS) $10,000 WRIST
- 2017-02-25 Listed $12,000 WRIST
- 2014-07-25 Sold (MLS) $21,500 CBRMLS
- 2014-03-18 Listed $26,000 CBRMLS
- 2013-12-05 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2013-10-09 Listed $43,500 CBRMLS
- 2009-08-20 Sold (MLS) $48,000 WRIST
- 2009-06-29 Listed $48,000 WRIST
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…