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2104 E Tricia Ln Ln
F Composite 25.94
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +4.2/30.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.7/15.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$345,000

2104 E Tricia Ln Ln · Sioux Falls, SD 57103-0744
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,976 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1980 7,501 sqft lot Est $318k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking For 3 Bedrooms On The Same Level? This 4 Bed, 2 Bath Ranch Home Has Just What You Are Looking For. Nice Layout With U-shaped Kitchen & Patio Doors Off Dining Room To The Deck. Walkout Ll With Family Room, Gas Fireplace & Bonus Room. New Furnace In 2004. Backyard Has Storage Shed & Nice Landscaping Throughout. Double Attached Garage.

Key facts

  • Brand-new deck
  • Great location
  • 7,501 sq ft lot

Tags

BRAND-NEW WATER HEATERBRAND-NEW DECKSPACIOUS LIVING AREASBEAUTIFUL LANDSCAPINGGREAT LOCATION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage with concrete drive (21 x 22)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family ranch-style home; Above-grade and below-grade finished living areas; Other structures on lot
  • Construction: Built with synthetic stucco and hard board; Block foundation; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Covered patio; Chain link fence; Shed(s); Walk-out lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: New appliances; Electric range; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Main-level bedroom: 12 x 11 with double closet; Main-level bedroom: 14 x 10 with double closet; Main-level bedroom: 12 x 10 with double closet; Lower-level master: 13 x 14 with walk-in closet
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: Main-level full bath; Lower-level 3/4 bath; One full bathroom and one 3/4 bathroom total
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air; Natural gas water heater
  • Interior features: Basement is finished (full basement); Gas fireplace in the family room; Humidifier; 3+ bedrooms on the same level; Water softener stays
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room in lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $345k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-929 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $181k (47.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (52.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $165k (52.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#3 in SD, #610 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Sioux Falls School District 49-5 (urban): math 39% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #45 of 59 in SD (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Terry Redlin Elementary - 11 (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #228 of 253 statewide, top 92%, 473 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 36% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Sioux Falls School District 49-5 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,425 units permitted in Minnehaha County in 2024 (1,367 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Minnehaha County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($340k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $152k; list at $345k implies a 127% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $165,058 (52.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.48%
Cap rate
3.06%
Cash-on-cash
-11.54%
DSCR
0.49
GRM
17.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$318,136
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1028 N Mable Cir Cir 0.19mi 4/2.0 2,120 (+7%) 0mo $371,500 $175 75
1601 E Tracy Ln Ln 0.34mi 4/2.5 2,001 (+1%) 8mo $335,000 $167 74
1716 E Tracy Ln 0.25mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,988 (+1%) 11mo $366,000 $184 69
2004 E Madison St 0.08mi 4/2.0 1,756 (-11%) 10mo $272,004 $155 66
904 N Highland Ave Ave 0.29mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,194 (+11%) 2mo $325,000 $148 62
919 N Omaha Ave Ave 0.14mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,729 (-12%) 4mo $265,000 $153 60
743 N Leadale Ave Ave 0.26mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,772 (-10%) 4mo $197,000 $111 59
2009 E Madison St St 0.10mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,698 (-14%) 9mo $284,500 $168 56
2001 E 1st St 0.20mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,770 (-10%) 13mo $266,000 $150 54
1204 N Mossy Oak Ave 0.58mi 4/2.0 1,838 (-7%) 9mo $325,000 $177 50
703 N Van Eps Ave 0.58mi 4/2.0 2,152 (+9%) 11mo $263,000 $122 44
2501 E 7th St 0.69mi 4/2.0 1,806 (-9%) 10mo $289,900 $161 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.2%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-17,678
Equity at exit
$155,127
10-year hold
IRR
1.3%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$19,953
Equity at exit
$239,069

Cash invested: $96,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Dakota
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; mostly landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 57103-0744

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
17.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,651 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,809
Tax from tax record
$280 /mo · $3,360/yr
Insurance
$144
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$347
Net cashflow
$-929

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,827
Max offer price $180,882
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$86,250
Closing costs
$10,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3210 E 3rd St Unit 3210 Sioux Falls, SD 3.0 2.0 2100 $1,895 $0.90 20d 1 0.75mi
2909 E 6th St Sioux Falls, SD 3.0 1.0–2.0 773 $1,539 $1.99 13d 1 0.83mi
500 N Shepherd Ave Unit 201 Sioux Falls, SD 3.0 2.0 1346 $1,475 $1.10 13d 1 0.84mi
500 N Shepherd Ave Unit 203 Sioux Falls, SD 3.0 2.0 1346 $1,475 $1.10 43d 1 0.84mi
310 N Reid Pl Sioux Falls, SD 3.0 1.0–3.0 1251 $5,000 $4.00 13d 7 1.36mi
440 E 8th St Sioux Falls, SD 3.0 3.0 1900 $4,800 $2.53 20d 1 1.37mi
626 N Sycamore Ave Sioux Falls, SD 4.0 3.0 2364 $2,200 $0.93 13d 1 1.45mi
626 N Sycamore Ave #204 Sioux Falls, SD 3.0 2.0 1260 $999 $0.79 20d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $345,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $345,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $345,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $345,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $345,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $345,000 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $345,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $345,000 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $345,000 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $345,000 Active 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $345,000 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on marketlisting id $345,000 Active 1 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $345,000 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $345,000 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $345,000 Active 2 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    listed $345,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SD · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,360 · $280/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,520 · $377/mo
Expected delta
+$1,159/yr (+$97/mo · 34.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,807
− Mortgage interest
−$19,325
− Property taxes
−$3,360
− Insurance
−$1,725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,585
− Management
−$1,585
− Depreciation
−$10,036
Taxable loss
−$17,809
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,274
After-tax cash flow
$-6,874/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sioux Falls School District 49-5
NCES district ID
4666270
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$51,093
Composite
37.47/100
National rank
#4407
State rank
#45 of 59 in SD

Livability — Sioux Falls

Score
85/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#610

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sioux Falls, SD

Population outlook (Minnehaha County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
222,323 people
By 2030
241,430 · +8.6%
By 2040
281,643 · +26.7%
By 2050
325,574 · +46.4%
By 2075
469,313 · +111.1%
By 2100
664,763 · +199.0%

Not yet ingested

Political lean
Race & ethnicity
Common origin
Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.70%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+146.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $345,000 REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
  • 2015-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $152,000 Public Records
  • 2007-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $139,900 Public Records
  • 2006-11-04 Listed $139,900 REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $3,360 · -2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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