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512 Brockinton S
B- Composite 65.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.6/15.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$265,000

512 Brockinton S · St. Simons, GA 31522
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,192 sqft · Condo public records · 218 Days on market
Built 1984 $222/sqft · 9% below area Est $292k · 9% under $450/mo HOA · 13% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Priced aggressively to sell, this St. Simons condo gives buyers a rare opportunity to build equity with simple cosmetic updates. No short-term rental restrictions here, making this an excellent option for investors, second-home buyers, or full-time living. Virtual renovation images have been included to showcase possible cosmetic upgrade ideas. Located near Redfern Village, Southern Soul BBQ, the Pier, and the beach, the location is hard to beat at this price point. Features include a main-floor primary suite, upstairs guest rooms, a private patio, a reasonable HOA, and other updated condos just like this one have sold for almost $50,000 more!!! Take the 3D tour and see the possibilities.

Key facts

  • Small patio out back
  • $450 HOA
  • Built 1984

Tags

PRIMARY SUITE ON MAIN FLOORSMALL PATIO OUT BACK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $265k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $577 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $265k).
  • Recommended offer: $233k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 1.7% in St. Simons — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Glynn County (other): math 37% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #47 of 174 in GA (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 577 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 734 units permitted in Glynn County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($109k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Glynn County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 218 days — a 12% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $164k; list at $265k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $233,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 218 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
9.21%
Cash-on-cash
10.41%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$291,587
List price
$265,000
Delta
-9.12%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.26% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.1%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-8,508
Equity at exit
$39,512
10-year hold
IRR
5.7%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$30,517
Equity at exit
$22,912

Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31522

Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
577
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,563 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,390
Tax from tax record
$221 /mo · $2,648/yr
Insurance
$110
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$450
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$748
Net cashflow
$577

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,832
Max offer price $265,000
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$66,250
Closing costs
$7,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
122 Shady Brook Cir #100 Saint Simons Island, GA 3.0 2.0 1500 $4,950 $3.30 44d 1 0.28mi
1704 Frederica Rd #426 Saint Simons Island, GA 2.0 2.0 1150 $2,150 $1.87 44d 1 0.66mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$450 · $5,400/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $265,000 Active 218 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $265,000 Active 217 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $265,000 Active 216 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $265,000 Active 215 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $265,000 Active 214 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $265,000 Active 212 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $265,000 Active 211 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $279,000 Active 209 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $279,000 Active 208 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $279,000 Active 207 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $279,000 Active 206 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $279,000 Active 203 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $279,000 Active 202 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $279,000 Active 201 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $279,000 Active 200 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $279,000 Active 199 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $279,000 Active 198 DOM
  18. 2026-05-11
    price $279,000 697-char remark
    Show marketing remark (697 chars)

    Priced aggressively to sell, this St. Simons condo gives buyers a rare opportunity to build equity with simple cosmetic updates. No short-term rental restrictions here, making this an excellent option for investors, second-home buyers, or full-time living. Virtual renovation images have been included to showcase possible cosmetic upgrade ideas. Located near Redfern Village, Southern Soul BBQ, the Pier, and the beach, the location is hard to beat at this price point. Features include a main-floor primary suite, upstairs guest rooms, a private patio, a reasonable HOA, and other updated condos just like this one have sold for almost $50,000 more!!! Take the 3D tour and see the possibilities.

  19. 2026-04-14
    price $289,900 697-char remark
    Show marketing remark (697 chars)

    Priced aggressively to sell, this St. Simons condo gives buyers a rare opportunity to build equity with simple cosmetic updates. No short-term rental restrictions here, making this an excellent option for investors, second-home buyers, or full-time living. Virtual renovation images have been included to showcase possible cosmetic upgrade ideas. Located near Redfern Village, Southern Soul BBQ, the Pier, and the beach, the location is hard to beat at this price point. Features include a main-floor primary suite, upstairs guest rooms, a private patio, a reasonable HOA, and other updated condos just like this one have sold for almost $50,000 more!!! Take the 3D tour and see the possibilities.

  20. 2026-02-09
    price $297,900 697-char remark
    Show marketing remark (697 chars)

    Priced aggressively to sell, this St. Simons condo gives buyers a rare opportunity to build equity with simple cosmetic updates. No short-term rental restrictions here, making this an excellent option for investors, second-home buyers, or full-time living. Virtual renovation images have been included to showcase possible cosmetic upgrade ideas. Located near Redfern Village, Southern Soul BBQ, the Pier, and the beach, the location is hard to beat at this price point. Features include a main-floor primary suite, upstairs guest rooms, a private patio, a reasonable HOA, and other updated condos just like this one have sold for almost $50,000 more!!! Take the 3D tour and see the possibilities.

  21. 2025-12-29
    price $298,000 697-char remark
    Show marketing remark (697 chars)

    Priced aggressively to sell, this St. Simons condo gives buyers a rare opportunity to build equity with simple cosmetic updates. No short-term rental restrictions here, making this an excellent option for investors, second-home buyers, or full-time living. Virtual renovation images have been included to showcase possible cosmetic upgrade ideas. Located near Redfern Village, Southern Soul BBQ, the Pier, and the beach, the location is hard to beat at this price point. Features include a main-floor primary suite, upstairs guest rooms, a private patio, a reasonable HOA, and other updated condos just like this one have sold for almost $50,000 more!!! Take the 3D tour and see the possibilities.

  22. 2025-11-13
    listed $305,000 Active 697-char remark
    Show marketing remark (697 chars)

    Priced aggressively to sell, this St. Simons condo gives buyers a rare opportunity to build equity with simple cosmetic updates. No short-term rental restrictions here, making this an excellent option for investors, second-home buyers, or full-time living. Virtual renovation images have been included to showcase possible cosmetic upgrade ideas. Located near Redfern Village, Southern Soul BBQ, the Pier, and the beach, the location is hard to beat at this price point. Features include a main-floor primary suite, upstairs guest rooms, a private patio, a reasonable HOA, and other updated condos just like this one have sold for almost $50,000 more!!! Take the 3D tour and see the possibilities.

  23. 2011-03-28
    soldstatus $164,500
  24. 2011-03-25
    soldstatus $164,900 790-char remark
    Show marketing remark (790 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLER! THIS IS NOT A FORECLOSURE OR SHORT SALE! IT'S JUST PRICED LIKE ONE! SELLER WILL PAY $5000.00 TOWARDS CLOSING COST. This impeccably clean and turn key beautiful home is full of all the extras that you need. The kitchen features new custom built maple wood cabinetry. You will have loads of storage here with lots of pull-outs and drawers. The kitchen also houses top of the line stainless steel Jenn- Air appliances that include all the bells and whistles. A large capacity washer and dryer are included in the sale of this home. New brushed nickle door hardware has been installed, as well as new ceiling fans and light fixtures in the kitchen, dining, and bathrooms. An extra layer of sound board has also been added to the shared wall of this home as well as a new deck.

  25. 2009-01-14
    listed $169,500 790-char remark
    Show marketing remark (790 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLER! THIS IS NOT A FORECLOSURE OR SHORT SALE! IT'S JUST PRICED LIKE ONE! SELLER WILL PAY $5000.00 TOWARDS CLOSING COST. This impeccably clean and turn key beautiful home is full of all the extras that you need. The kitchen features new custom built maple wood cabinetry. You will have loads of storage here with lots of pull-outs and drawers. The kitchen also houses top of the line stainless steel Jenn- Air appliances that include all the bells and whistles. A large capacity washer and dryer are included in the sale of this home. New brushed nickle door hardware has been installed, as well as new ceiling fans and light fixtures in the kitchen, dining, and bathrooms. An extra layer of sound board has also been added to the shared wall of this home as well as a new deck.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,648 · $221/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,648 · $221/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,751
− Mortgage interest
−$14,844
− Property taxes
−$2,648
− Insurance
−$2,122
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,420
− Management
−$3,420
− HOA
−$5,400
− Depreciation
−$7,709
Taxable income
$3,187
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$765
After-tax cash flow
$6,162/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Glynn County
NCES district ID
1302400
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$47,554
Composite
33.83/100
National rank
#5359
State rank
#47 of 174 in GA

Livability — St. Simons

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Simons, GA
County
Glynn County · 69,019 people
Metro
Brunswick, GA
Population (ZIP)
17,780
Household income
$108,632
Rent vs Own
15.2% rent · 84.8% own
Severe rent burden
339.0

Population outlook (Glynn County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
91,404 people
By 2030
94,806 · +3.7%
By 2040
100,060 · +9.5%
By 2050
103,258 · +13.0%
By 2075
107,970 · +18.1%
By 2100
103,363 · +13.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Italian 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Glynn

2024 margin
Strong R (+26.0) · D 36.8% · R 62.8%
2008→2024 swing
-2.6pp toward R · 2008: -23.4pp · 2024: -26.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+26.0 2020: R+23.2 2016: R+28.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+23.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -564.58%
Current HPI
191.6942
Rent YoY
▲ 2.26%
Metro
Brunswick, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+64.6% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $279,000 GIAR
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $289,900 GIAR
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $297,900 GIAR
  • 2025-12-29 Price Changed $298,000 GIAR
  • 2025-11-13 Listed $305,000 GIAR
  • 2011-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $164,500 Public Records
  • 2011-03-25 Sold (MLS) $164,900 GIAR
  • 2009-01-14 Listed $169,500 GIAR

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,648 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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