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323 Mann Ave
D- Composite 39.11
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.5/30.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.0/15.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$205,000

323 Mann Ave · Fairborn, OH 45324
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 99 Days on market
Built 1944 7,145 sqft lot $203/sqft · 49% above area Est $186k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Totally remodeled 4 bedroom, 1 bathroom Cape Cod in Fairborn! This property has been completely redone from top to bottom! Updates include all new furnace and A/C, all new windows, new stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, and all new plumbing stack and laterals. Additional cosmetic updates include all new flooring, paint, trim, and more! In the rear, you will find an oversized 24 by 24 detached garage with room for 2 cars and plenty of storage. Schedule a showing today!

Key facts

  • Remodeled
  • New furnace
  • New a c

Tags

REMODELEDNEW FURNACENEW A CNEW WINDOWSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESGRANITE COUNTERTOPS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $205k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $47 ($559/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (15.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $174k (15.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.7% in Fairborn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#374 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, employment D+.
  • Fairborn City (suburban): math 36% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #520 of 656 in OH (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 797 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (148 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $127k; list at $205k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $173,664 (15.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.57%
Cash-on-cash
0.97%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$186,438
List price
$205,000
Delta
9.96%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
313 Archer Dr 0.14mi 4/1.0 1,008 (0%) 2mo $185,000 $184 89
249 Archer Dr 0.15mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,008 (0%) 4mo $156,000 $155 83
340 Mann 0.05mi 3/1.0 (-1) 984 (-2%) 6mo $120,000 $122 82
261 Archer Dr 0.14mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,044 (+4%) 3mo $185,000 $177 78
112 Mann Ave 0.20mi 3/1.0 (-1) 956 (-5%) 2mo $164,000 $172 73
317 Archer Dr 0.14mi 4/2.0 1,110 (+10%) 5mo $183,500 $165 70
340 Holmes Dr 0.06mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,131 (+12%) 3mo $189,900 $168 67
730 June Dr 0.45mi 4/1.0 1,064 (+6%) 5mo $174,000 $164 64
14 Meadow Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,025 (+2%) 1mo $202,000 $197 62
409 Grant St 0.41mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,120 (+11%) 0mo $225,000 $201 55
315 Greene St 0.65mi 4/1.0 1,128 (+12%) 3mo $83,500 $74 45
437 Kirkwood Dr 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,156 (+15%) 3mo $207,900 $180 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.75% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.9%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-25,345
Equity at exit
$30,566
10-year hold
IRR
0.7%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$3,066
Equity at exit
$17,725

Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45324

Rents YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
180
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,737 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,075
Tax from tax record
$165 /mo · $1,979/yr
Insurance
$85
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$365
Net cashflow
$47

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,678
Max offer price $205,000
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$51,250
Closing costs
$6,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
333 Archer Dr Fairborn, OH 4.0 1.0 1368 $1,700 $1.24 14d 1 0.13mi
24 Rowland Dr Fairborn, OH 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,400 $1.22 3d 1 0.61mi
124 E Lindberg Dr Fairborn, OH 4.0 1.0 1075 $1,495 $1.39 43d 1 0.95mi
1040 S Central Ave Fairborn, OH 3.0 1.0 860 $1,499 $1.74 23d 1 1.08mi
1121 Peidmont Dr Unit Na Fairborn, OH 3.0 2.0 1222 $1,500 $1.23 14d 1 1.12mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    status Pending 486-char remark
    Show marketing remark (486 chars)

    Totally remodeled 4 bedroom, 1 bathroom Cape Cod in Fairborn! This property has been completely redone from top to bottom! Updates include all new furnace and A/C, all new windows, new stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, and all new plumbing stack and laterals. Additional cosmetic updates include all new flooring, paint, trim, and more! In the rear, you will find an oversized 24 by 24 detached garage with room for 2 cars and plenty of storage. Schedule a showing today!

  2. 2026-05-09
    price $205,000 486-char remark
    Show marketing remark (486 chars)

    Totally remodeled 4 bedroom, 1 bathroom Cape Cod in Fairborn! This property has been completely redone from top to bottom! Updates include all new furnace and A/C, all new windows, new stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, and all new plumbing stack and laterals. Additional cosmetic updates include all new flooring, paint, trim, and more! In the rear, you will find an oversized 24 by 24 detached garage with room for 2 cars and plenty of storage. Schedule a showing today!

  3. 2026-04-21
    price $210,000 486-char remark
    Show marketing remark (486 chars)

    Totally remodeled 4 bedroom, 1 bathroom Cape Cod in Fairborn! This property has been completely redone from top to bottom! Updates include all new furnace and A/C, all new windows, new stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, and all new plumbing stack and laterals. Additional cosmetic updates include all new flooring, paint, trim, and more! In the rear, you will find an oversized 24 by 24 detached garage with room for 2 cars and plenty of storage. Schedule a showing today!

  4. 2026-04-14
    status Active 486-char remark
    Show marketing remark (486 chars)

    Totally remodeled 4 bedroom, 1 bathroom Cape Cod in Fairborn! This property has been completely redone from top to bottom! Updates include all new furnace and A/C, all new windows, new stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, and all new plumbing stack and laterals. Additional cosmetic updates include all new flooring, paint, trim, and more! In the rear, you will find an oversized 24 by 24 detached garage with room for 2 cars and plenty of storage. Schedule a showing today!

  5. 2026-04-14
    price $215,000 486-char remark
    Show marketing remark (486 chars)

    Totally remodeled 4 bedroom, 1 bathroom Cape Cod in Fairborn! This property has been completely redone from top to bottom! Updates include all new furnace and A/C, all new windows, new stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, and all new plumbing stack and laterals. Additional cosmetic updates include all new flooring, paint, trim, and more! In the rear, you will find an oversized 24 by 24 detached garage with room for 2 cars and plenty of storage. Schedule a showing today!

  6. 2026-03-14
    status Pending 486-char remark
    Show marketing remark (486 chars)

    Totally remodeled 4 bedroom, 1 bathroom Cape Cod in Fairborn! This property has been completely redone from top to bottom! Updates include all new furnace and A/C, all new windows, new stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, and all new plumbing stack and laterals. Additional cosmetic updates include all new flooring, paint, trim, and more! In the rear, you will find an oversized 24 by 24 detached garage with room for 2 cars and plenty of storage. Schedule a showing today!

  7. 2026-02-18
    price $210,000 486-char remark
    Show marketing remark (486 chars)

    Totally remodeled 4 bedroom, 1 bathroom Cape Cod in Fairborn! This property has been completely redone from top to bottom! Updates include all new furnace and A/C, all new windows, new stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, and all new plumbing stack and laterals. Additional cosmetic updates include all new flooring, paint, trim, and more! In the rear, you will find an oversized 24 by 24 detached garage with room for 2 cars and plenty of storage. Schedule a showing today!

  8. 2026-01-09
    listed $215,000 Active 486-char remark
    Show marketing remark (486 chars)

    Totally remodeled 4 bedroom, 1 bathroom Cape Cod in Fairborn! This property has been completely redone from top to bottom! Updates include all new furnace and A/C, all new windows, new stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, and all new plumbing stack and laterals. Additional cosmetic updates include all new flooring, paint, trim, and more! In the rear, you will find an oversized 24 by 24 detached garage with room for 2 cars and plenty of storage. Schedule a showing today!

  9. 2025-06-09
    soldstatus $127,000 Closed 432-char remark
    Show marketing remark (432 chars)

    Potential rehab, value add rental property or Airbnb available. 4 bedroom, 1.5 bath, full basement, massive 2 car detached garage, fenced yard, above ground pool with deck built around it. Exterior is in great shape, roof and siding are newer. Property interior needs rehab. Needs kitchen and bath remodel. Hardwood floors on first and second floor. Convert the basement half bath to a full bath and finish basement for maximum ARV.

  10. 2025-05-24
    status Pending 432-char remark
    Show marketing remark (432 chars)

    Potential rehab, value add rental property or Airbnb available. 4 bedroom, 1.5 bath, full basement, massive 2 car detached garage, fenced yard, above ground pool with deck built around it. Exterior is in great shape, roof and siding are newer. Property interior needs rehab. Needs kitchen and bath remodel. Hardwood floors on first and second floor. Convert the basement half bath to a full bath and finish basement for maximum ARV.

  11. 2025-05-13
    status Active 432-char remark
    Show marketing remark (432 chars)

    Potential rehab, value add rental property or Airbnb available. 4 bedroom, 1.5 bath, full basement, massive 2 car detached garage, fenced yard, above ground pool with deck built around it. Exterior is in great shape, roof and siding are newer. Property interior needs rehab. Needs kitchen and bath remodel. Hardwood floors on first and second floor. Convert the basement half bath to a full bath and finish basement for maximum ARV.

  12. 2025-05-07
    status Pending 432-char remark
    Show marketing remark (432 chars)

    Potential rehab, value add rental property or Airbnb available. 4 bedroom, 1.5 bath, full basement, massive 2 car detached garage, fenced yard, above ground pool with deck built around it. Exterior is in great shape, roof and siding are newer. Property interior needs rehab. Needs kitchen and bath remodel. Hardwood floors on first and second floor. Convert the basement half bath to a full bath and finish basement for maximum ARV.

  13. 2025-04-30
    status Active 432-char remark
    Show marketing remark (432 chars)

    Potential rehab, value add rental property or Airbnb available. 4 bedroom, 1.5 bath, full basement, massive 2 car detached garage, fenced yard, above ground pool with deck built around it. Exterior is in great shape, roof and siding are newer. Property interior needs rehab. Needs kitchen and bath remodel. Hardwood floors on first and second floor. Convert the basement half bath to a full bath and finish basement for maximum ARV.

  14. 2025-04-02
    status Pending 432-char remark
    Show marketing remark (432 chars)

    Potential rehab, value add rental property or Airbnb available. 4 bedroom, 1.5 bath, full basement, massive 2 car detached garage, fenced yard, above ground pool with deck built around it. Exterior is in great shape, roof and siding are newer. Property interior needs rehab. Needs kitchen and bath remodel. Hardwood floors on first and second floor. Convert the basement half bath to a full bath and finish basement for maximum ARV.

  15. 2025-03-25
    price $135,000 432-char remark
    Show marketing remark (432 chars)

    Potential rehab, value add rental property or Airbnb available. 4 bedroom, 1.5 bath, full basement, massive 2 car detached garage, fenced yard, above ground pool with deck built around it. Exterior is in great shape, roof and siding are newer. Property interior needs rehab. Needs kitchen and bath remodel. Hardwood floors on first and second floor. Convert the basement half bath to a full bath and finish basement for maximum ARV.

  16. 2025-03-17
    listed $138,000 Active 432-char remark
    Show marketing remark (432 chars)

    Potential rehab, value add rental property or Airbnb available. 4 bedroom, 1.5 bath, full basement, massive 2 car detached garage, fenced yard, above ground pool with deck built around it. Exterior is in great shape, roof and siding are newer. Property interior needs rehab. Needs kitchen and bath remodel. Hardwood floors on first and second floor. Convert the basement half bath to a full bath and finish basement for maximum ARV.

  17. 2025-02-11
    soldstatus $110,000
  18. 1994-12-13
    soldstatus $68,000
  19. 1994-12-12
    soldstatus $68,000
  20. 1993-06-03
    soldstatus $65,000
  21. 1989-09-12
    soldstatus $59,500
  22. 1986-09-30
    soldstatus $39,000
  23. 1986-09-23
    soldstatus $32,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,979 · $165/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,588 · $216/mo
Expected delta
+$610/yr (+$51/mo · 30.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,840
− Mortgage interest
−$11,483
− Property taxes
−$1,979
− Insurance
−$1,025
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,667
− Management
−$1,667
− Depreciation
−$5,964
Taxable loss
−$2,945
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$707
After-tax cash flow
$1,266/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fairborn City
NCES district ID
3904396
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$45,091
Composite
36.05/100
National rank
#4772
State rank
#520 of 656 in OH

Livability — Fairborn

Score
72/100
State rank
#374
US rank
#6101

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fairborn, OH
County
Greene County · 132,120 people
City population
41,194
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
41,194
Household income
$64,979
Rent vs Own
47.2% rent · 52.8% own
Severe rent burden
1472.0

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
170,301 people
By 2030
171,840 · +0.9%
By 2040
171,408 · +0.7%
By 2050
167,806 · -1.5%
By 2075
154,430 · -9.3%
By 2100
138,669 · -18.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Two or more races 9% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
R (+19.8) · D 39.5% · R 59.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-1.4pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -19.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.8 2020: R+19.5 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+21.8 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -157.48%
Current HPI
228.0801
Rent YoY
▲ 5.75%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+540.6% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2026-05-09 Price Changed $205,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $210,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-04-14 Relisted Dayton MLS
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $215,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-03-14 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2026-02-18 Price Changed $210,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-01-09 Listed $215,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-06-09 Sold (MLS) $127,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-05-24 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2025-05-13 Relisted Dayton MLS
  • 2025-05-07 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2025-04-30 Relisted Dayton MLS
  • 2025-04-02 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2025-03-25 Price Changed $135,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-03-17 Listed $138,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 1994-12-13 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
  • 1994-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
  • 1993-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 1989-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $59,500 Public Records
  • 1986-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
  • 1986-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,979 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…