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18551 Woodstream Dr 🌊 Lakefront
D Composite 41.63
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.2/10.0

$439,000

18551 Woodstream Dr · Boca Raton, FL 33498
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,039 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 71 Days on market
Built 1986 $380/mo HOA · 10% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

BEAUTIFULLY UPDATED, FULLY FURNISHED, TWO BEDROOM, TWO BATH LAKEFRONT VILLA IN WEST BOCA RATON, NEAR SHOPPING, ENTERTAINMENT, A RATED SCHOOLS, CONVENIENT TO EVERYTHING! ENJOY A TRANQUIL SUNSET WITH A BEAUTIFUL LAKE VIEW IN THIS ALL AGE COMMUNITY, PETS ARE ALLOWED, EXTRA PARKING IS AVAILABLE, THE VILLA IS NEAR THE RECREATIONAL FACILITY.

Key facts

  • Extra parking
  • Stunning lake views
  • Turnkey villa

Tags

STUNNING LAKE VIEWSEXTRA PARKINGA-RATED SCHOOL DISTRICTTURNKEY VILLAPRIME LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Pets allowed (dogs OK)
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association fee includes trash; Community amenities: clubhouse, fitness center, pickleball, pool

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with 2 covered spaces
  • Security: Security guard; Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Central cooling
  • Home design: Single-story; Entry level: 1; Has attached property; Waterfront property with lake frontage
  • Construction: Block construction; Effective year built
  • Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Storm/security shutters; Porch (screened); Association pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Disposal; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level
  • Flooring: Laminate floors; Tile floors
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: First-floor entry; Bedroom on the main level; Pantry
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $439k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-424 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $364k (17.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $368k (16.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $364k (17.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 2.7% in Boca Raton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#192 in FL, #3,070 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living F.
  • Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Sunrise Park Elementary School (math 80% / reading 81%, grade A+, #104 of 2,144 statewide, top 5%, 1,074 students, 23% FRL); Eagles Landing Middle School (math 66% / reading 67%, grade A-, #84 of 571 statewide, top 16%, 1,508 students, 27% FRL); Olympic Heights Community High (math 52% / reading 64%, grade C, #120 of 667 statewide, top 18%, 2,602 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools average 27% FRL vs 52% district-wide (25 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 68% at this address vs 50% district-wide (+19 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Palm Beach average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($147k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $24k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
  • Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($413k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $364,143 (17.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  9. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  10. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
5.13%
Cash-on-cash
-4.14%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.68% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.6%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$66,420
Equity at exit
$240,253
10-year hold
IRR
10.4%
Equity multiple
2.86×
Total profit
$228,590
Equity at exit
$407,763

Cash invested: $122,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33498

Home prices YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
95
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,678 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,302
Tax from tax record
$465 /mo · $5,575/yr
Insurance
$183
HOA
$380
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$772
Net cashflow
$-424

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,215
Max offer price $364,143
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-175 -5% $-299 +0% $-424 +5% $-548 +10% $-672
Rent -10% $-714 -5% $-569 +0% $-424 +5% $-278 +10% $-133
Rate -1.0pp $-203 -0.5pp $-312 base $-424 +0.5pp $-538 +1.0pp $-653

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$109,750
Closing costs
$13,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18813 Cloud Lake Cir Boca Raton, FL 3.0 2.0 1132 $3,400 $3.00 6d 1 0.41mi
18813 Cloud Lake Cir Boca Raton, FL 3.0 2.0 1132 $3,500 $3.09 6d 1 0.41mi
9850 Ridgecreek Rd Boca Raton, FL 3.0 2.0 1364 $3,600 $2.64 26d 1 0.44mi
9841 Ridgecreek Rd Boca Raton, FL 3.0 2.0 1435 $4,500 $3.14 26d 1 0.46mi
9785 Ridgecreek Rd Boca Raton, FL 3.0 2.0 1172 $3,600 $3.07 20d 1 0.46mi
9785 Ridgecreek Rd Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1172 $3,450 $2.94 6d 1 0.46mi
9975 Boca Gardens Trl Unit A Boca Raton, FL 3.0 2.0 1276 $3,300 $2.59 9d 1 0.48mi
18917 Cloud Lake Cir Boca Raton, FL 3.0 2.0 1132 $3,350 $2.96 26d 1 0.50mi
10780 Cypress Lake Ter Boca Raton, FL 3.0 2.0 1450 $3,500 $2.41 9d 1 0.59mi
10781 Cypress Lake Ter Boca Raton, FL 3.0 2.0 1450 $3,800 $2.62 20d 1 0.61mi
10781 Cypress Lake Ter Boca Raton, FL 3.0 2.0 1450 $3,600 $2.48 19d 1 0.61mi
9713 Boca Gardens Pkwy Unit D Boca Raton, FL 3.0 3.5 1325 $3,995 $3.02 16d 1 0.69mi
19287 Liberty Rd Boca Raton, FL 3.0 3.0 1327 $3,450 $2.60 12d 1 0.83mi
19287 Liberty Rd Boca Raton, FL 3.0 2.0 1327 $3,450 $2.60 26d 1 0.83mi
19287 Liberty Rd Boca Raton, FL 3.0 3.0 1327 $3,450 $2.60 7d 1 0.83mi
10875 Lake Front Pl Unit 10875 Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1204 $2,300 $1.91 26d 1 0.83mi
9448 Saddlebrook Dr Unit 9448 Boca Raton, FL 3.0 2.0 1243 $3,500 $2.82 26d 1 0.84mi
9448 Saddlebrook Dr Boca Raton, FL 3.0 2.0 1243 $3,500 $2.82 22d 1 0.84mi
18730 Stewart Cir #5 Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1227 $2,500 $2.04 26d 1 1.07mi
9104 Affirmed Ln Boca Raton, FL 3.0 2.0 1266 $3,215 $2.54 1d 1 1.17mi
19742 Carolina Cir Boca Raton, FL 3.0 3.0 1446 $3,106 $2.15 9d 1 1.18mi
9238 Vineland Ct Unit G Boca Raton, FL 3.0 2.0 1318 $3,100 $2.35 0d 1 1.18mi
9110 Fairbanks Ln #4 Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1227 $2,400 $1.96 26d 1 1.25mi
18595 Egret Way #18595 Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $2,200 $2.20 26d 1 1.36mi
18890 Candlewick Dr Unit B Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1044 $2,600 $2.49 26d 1 1.38mi
18855 Candlewick Dr Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1022 $2,600 $2.54 26d 1 1.38mi
18765 Candlewick Dr Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 863 $2,300 $2.67 26d 1 1.39mi
10084 Camelback Ln Boca Raton, FL 3.0 3.0 1475 $4,500 $3.05 1d 1 1.43mi
9426 Southampton Pl Boca Raton, FL 3.0 2.0 1336 $3,800 $2.84 26d 1 1.44mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$380 · $4,560/yr

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $439,000 Active 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $439,000 Active 68 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $439,000 Active 67 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $439,000 Active 66 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $439,000 Active 65 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $439,000 Active 63 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $439,000 Active 59 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $439,000 Active 58 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $439,000 Active 57 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $439,000 Active 54 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $439,000 Active 53 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $439,000 Active 52 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $439,000 Active 51 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $439,000 Active 50 DOM
  15. 2026-05-23
    status Active
  16. 2026-05-02
    status Active
  17. 2026-04-08
    historical Active Under Contract
  18. 2026-03-23
    listed $439,000 Active
  19. 2024-02-08
    soldstatus $395,000
  20. 2024-01-30
    soldstatus $395 Closed 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    BEAUTIFULLY UPDATED, FULLY FURNISHED, TWO BEDROOM, TWO BATH LAKEFRONT VILLA IN WEST BOCA RATON, NEAR SHOPPING, ENTERTAINMENT, A RATED SCHOOLS, CONVENIENT TO EVERYTHING! ENJOY A TRANQUIL SUNSET WITH A BEAUTIFUL LAKE VIEW IN THIS ALL AGE COMMUNITY, PETS ARE ALLOWED, EXTRA PARKING IS AVAILABLE, THE VILLA IS NEAR THE RECREATIONAL FACILITY.

  21. 2023-12-09
    historical Active Under Contract 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    BEAUTIFULLY UPDATED, FULLY FURNISHED, TWO BEDROOM, TWO BATH LAKEFRONT VILLA IN WEST BOCA RATON, NEAR SHOPPING, ENTERTAINMENT, A RATED SCHOOLS, CONVENIENT TO EVERYTHING! ENJOY A TRANQUIL SUNSET WITH A BEAUTIFUL LAKE VIEW IN THIS ALL AGE COMMUNITY, PETS ARE ALLOWED, EXTRA PARKING IS AVAILABLE, THE VILLA IS NEAR THE RECREATIONAL FACILITY.

  22. 2023-11-06
    listed $420,000 Active 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    BEAUTIFULLY UPDATED, FULLY FURNISHED, TWO BEDROOM, TWO BATH LAKEFRONT VILLA IN WEST BOCA RATON, NEAR SHOPPING, ENTERTAINMENT, A RATED SCHOOLS, CONVENIENT TO EVERYTHING! ENJOY A TRANQUIL SUNSET WITH A BEAUTIFUL LAKE VIEW IN THIS ALL AGE COMMUNITY, PETS ARE ALLOWED, EXTRA PARKING IS AVAILABLE, THE VILLA IS NEAR THE RECREATIONAL FACILITY.

  23. 2017-12-14
    historical
  24. 2017-11-02
    listed $289,000 Active
  25. 2013-02-04
    soldstatus $129,500
  26. 2013-01-29
    soldstatus $129,500
  27. 2012-12-17
    historical
  28. 2012-12-01
    listed $144,900
  29. 1988-06-08
    soldstatus $75,900
  30. 1988-06-01
    soldstatus $75,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,575 · $465/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,575 · $465/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$44,141
− Mortgage interest
−$24,591
− Property taxes
−$5,575
− Insurance
−$2,195
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,531
− Management
−$3,531
− HOA
−$4,560
− Depreciation
−$12,771
Taxable loss
−$12,614
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,027
After-tax cash flow
$-2,058/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Beach
NCES district ID
1201500
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$53,943
Composite
42.72/100
National rank
#3160
State rank
#34 of 73 in FL

Livability — Boca Raton

Score
77/100
State rank
#192
US rank
#3070

Category grades

Amenities D Commute B Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
City population
250,102
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
16,853
Household income
$146,765
Rent vs Own
5.3% rent · 94.7% own
Severe rent burden
65.0

Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,637,487 people
By 2030
1,743,255 · +6.5%
By 2040
1,948,712 · +19.0%
By 2050
2,132,979 · +30.3%
By 2075
2,530,027 · +54.5%
By 2100
2,706,979 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 16% Asian 3% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Cuban 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 17% Scotch-Irish 6% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
2008→2024 swing
-22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.68%
Current HPI
325.4026
Rent YoY
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+478.4% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Relisted MARMLS
  • 2026-05-02 Relisted MARMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Contingent MARMLS
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $439,000 MARMLS
  • 2024-02-08 Sold (Public Records) $395,000 Public Records
  • 2024-01-30 Sold (MLS) $395 Beaches MLS
  • 2023-12-09 Contingent Beaches MLS
  • 2023-11-06 Listed $420,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2017-12-14 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2017-11-02 Listed $289,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2013-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $129,500 Public Records
  • 2013-01-29 Sold (MLS) $129,500 Beaches MLS
  • 2012-12-17 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2012-12-01 Listed $144,900 Beaches MLS
  • 1988-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $75,900 Public Records
  • 1988-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $75,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+13.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,575 · +13.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…