🔨 Auction
3205 Virginia Ave · Louisville, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
ONLINE AUCTION. ABSOLUTE REAL ESTATE AUCTION. ONLINE BIDDING ENDS 2PM EST JUNE 18, 2026. Great investment opportunity. 1,478 square foot home with a partial basement and open second floor. SOLD AS IS.
Key facts
- 6,800 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 3 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Utilities: Electricity connected
- Home design: Cape Cod style single-family home; 2 stories; Built in 1920
- Construction: Shingle roof; Concrete block foundation
- Exterior features: No fencing; Lot dimensions approximately 34 x 200
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (one on the first floor, one on the second floor)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: 4 total rooms; Unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: No first-floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $1.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-115 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
- Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($32k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 221700.0% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.32%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $147,800
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1456 Beech St | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,498 (+1%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $87 | 66 |
| 1219 S 32nd St | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,617 (+9%) | 12mo | $48,400 | $30 | 65 |
| 3222 Dumesnil St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,334 (-10%) | 11mo | $145,000 | $109 | 63 |
| 1334 Cypress St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,491 (+1%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $131 | 62 |
| 1458 Olive St | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,460 (-1%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $62 | 62 |
| 3322 W Kentucky St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,296 (-12%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $66 | 56 |
| 1415 S 28th St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,384 (-6%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $137 | 54 |
| 817 S 36th St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,447 (-2%) | 7mo | $144,000 | $100 | 54 |
| 3002 Young Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,500 (+2%) | 9mo | $215,000 | $143 | 49 |
| 1356 Hemlock St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,316 (-11%) | 9mo | $158,000 | $120 | 49 |
| 1624 Hemlock Ct | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,376 (-7%) | 2mo | $32,500 | $24 | 49 |
| 816 Dearborn Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,628 (+10%) | 2mo | $63,500 | $39 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-29,032
- Equity at exit
- $22,037
- IRR
- -9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-25,230
- Equity at exit
- $12,779
Cash invested: $41,384 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40211
- Home prices YoY
- -33.4%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 140
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,148 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$775
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$185 /mo · $2,217/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$241
- Net cashflow
- $-115
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,950
- Closing costs
- $4,434
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3215 Virginia Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $924 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 1115 S 32nd St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1393 | $1,275 | $0.92 | 23d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1115 S 32nd St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1393 | $1,275 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1145 Louis Coleman Jr Dr Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 913 | $875 | $0.96 | 23d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2913 Dumesnil St Apt 3 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1112 | $740 | $0.67 | 10d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 3514 Grand Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1450 | $1,295 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3122 W Kentucky St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1030 | $1,150 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2912 Greenwood Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $1,150 | $0.84 | 15d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1418 Beech St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $980 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2825 Greenwood Ave #4 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 23d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2825 Greenwood Ave #2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $995 | $0.77 | 23d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2821 Greenwood Ave #1 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1113 | $1,300 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1439 Beech St Apt 1 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $820 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1339 S 28th St Unit 3 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,175 | $1.04 | 20d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 3611 Regatta Way Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1035 | $1,450 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2706 Hale Ave Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2706 Hale Ave Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2708 Greenwood Ave Apt 1 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2614 Virginia Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $925 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2710 W Kentucky St Apt 2 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $1,300 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 814 S 33rd St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,350 | $1.22 | 3d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2711 W Kentucky St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1155 | $1,100 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2724 Garland Ave Unit 202 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $745 | $0.78 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 803 S 35th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1486 | $1,350 | $0.91 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2634 Garland Ave Unit B Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $895 | $0.78 | 20d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2634 Garland Ave Unit A Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $940 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 823 S 38th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1410 Standard Village Cir Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $900 | $0.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2223 Saint Louis Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $1,175 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2416 Garland Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1172 | $1,600 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 666 Eastlawn Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $895 | $0.96 | 15d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 836 S 41st St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 19d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1804 Russell Lee Dr Louisville, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 810 | $1,124 | $1.39 | 1d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2733 Chase Ct Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 714 S 40th St #2 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1854 W Ormsby Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1094 | $800 | $0.73 | 15d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 652 S 37th St #9 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,095 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2400 Burwell Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $895 | $0.92 | 15d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4221 Sunset Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,199 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 848 S 23rd St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,450 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 200-char remark
-
2026-06-16$1 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,774
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,279
- − Property taxes
- −$2,217
- − Insurance
- −$739
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,102
- − Management
- −$1,102
- − Depreciation
- −$4,300
- Taxable loss
- −$3,964
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$951
- After-tax cash flow
- $-424/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 2102990
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,885
- Composite
- 23.45/100
- National rank
- #7884
- State rank
- #121 of 165 in KY
Livability — Louisville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #333
- US rank
- #15887
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Louisville, KY
- County
- Jefferson County · 790,184 people
- City population
- 769,292
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,407
- Household income
- $31,749
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1483.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 823,112 people
- By 2030
- 849,343 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 895,696 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 933,630 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 1,028,262 · +24.9%
- By 2100
- 1,072,675 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.22%
- Current HPI
- 176.337
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.87%
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Property tax history
-9.1%/yrLatest (2025): $253 · -13.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…