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3205 Virginia Ave 🔨 Auction
F Composite 33.56
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1

3205 Virginia Ave · Louisville, KY 40211
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,478 sqft · SingleFamily · 3 Days on market
Built 1920 6,800 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

ONLINE AUCTION. ABSOLUTE REAL ESTATE AUCTION. ONLINE BIDDING ENDS 2PM EST JUNE 18, 2026. Great investment opportunity. 1,478 square foot home with a partial basement and open second floor. SOLD AS IS.

Key facts

  • 6,800 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 3 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electricity connected
  • Home design: Cape Cod style single-family home; 2 stories; Built in 1920
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Concrete block foundation
  • Exterior features: No fencing; Lot dimensions approximately 34 x 200

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (one on the first floor, one on the second floor)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: 4 total rooms; Unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: No first-floor laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🔨 Auction listing. The $1 list price is a nominal opening bid, not a real ask — every metric below is computed on the estimated value $147,800 (ARV from comps), not the list price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $1.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-115 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
  • Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($32k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 221700.0% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.36%
Cash-on-cash
-3.32%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$147,800
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1456 Beech St 0.48mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,498 (+1%) 2mo $130,000 $87 66
1219 S 32nd St 0.09mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,617 (+9%) 12mo $48,400 $30 65
3222 Dumesnil St 0.14mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,334 (-10%) 11mo $145,000 $109 63
1334 Cypress St 0.56mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,491 (+1%) 2mo $195,000 $131 62
1458 Olive St 0.65mi 2/2.0 1,460 (-1%) 2mo $90,000 $62 62
3322 W Kentucky St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,296 (-12%) 2mo $85,000 $66 56
1415 S 28th St 0.53mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,384 (-6%) 2mo $190,000 $137 54
817 S 36th St 0.59mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,447 (-2%) 7mo $144,000 $100 54
3002 Young Ave 0.64mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,500 (+2%) 9mo $215,000 $143 49
1356 Hemlock St 0.34mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,316 (-11%) 9mo $158,000 $120 49
1624 Hemlock Ct 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,376 (-7%) 2mo $32,500 $24 49
816 Dearborn Ave 0.68mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,628 (+10%) 2mo $63,500 $39 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.87% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.8%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-29,032
Equity at exit
$22,037
10-year hold
IRR
-9.1%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-25,230
Equity at exit
$12,779

Cash invested: $41,384 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40211

Home prices YoY
-33.4%
Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
140

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,148 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$775
Tax est. 1.5%
$185 /mo · $2,217/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$241
Net cashflow
$-115

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,293
Max offer price $131,217
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,950
Closing costs
$4,434
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3215 Virginia Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 975 $924 $0.95 23d 1 0.05mi
1115 S 32nd St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1393 $1,275 $0.92 23d 1 0.12mi
1115 S 32nd St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1393 $1,275 $0.92 21d 1 0.12mi
1145 Louis Coleman Jr Dr Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 913 $875 $0.96 23d 1 0.16mi
2913 Dumesnil St Apt 3 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1112 $740 $0.67 10d 1 0.28mi
3514 Grand Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 1.5 1450 $1,295 $0.89 21d 1 0.34mi
3122 W Kentucky St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1030 $1,150 $1.12 23d 1 0.35mi
2912 Greenwood Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 1362 $1,150 $0.84 15d 1 0.36mi
1418 Beech St Unit 2 Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 1000 $980 $0.98 21d 1 0.38mi
2825 Greenwood Ave #4 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1440 $1,250 $0.87 23d 1 0.42mi
2825 Greenwood Ave #2 Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 1300 $995 $0.77 23d 1 0.42mi
2821 Greenwood Ave #1 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1113 $1,300 $1.17 23d 1 0.43mi
1439 Beech St Apt 1 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.5 1000 $820 $0.82 23d 1 0.43mi
1339 S 28th St Unit 3 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1125 $1,175 $1.04 20d 1 0.45mi
3611 Regatta Way Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1035 $1,450 $1.40 15d 1 0.46mi
2706 Hale Ave Unit 1 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 23d 1 0.47mi
2706 Hale Ave Unit 2 Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 23d 1 0.47mi
2708 Greenwood Ave Apt 1 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 23d 1 0.52mi
2614 Virginia Ave Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 975 $925 $0.95 23d 1 0.55mi
2710 W Kentucky St Apt 2 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1015 $1,300 $1.28 23d 1 0.57mi
814 S 33rd St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1104 $1,350 $1.22 3d 1 0.57mi
2711 W Kentucky St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1155 $1,100 $0.95 23d 1 0.59mi
2724 Garland Ave Unit 202 Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 950 $745 $0.78 3d 1 0.61mi
803 S 35th St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1486 $1,350 $0.91 23d 1 0.62mi
2634 Garland Ave Unit B Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1152 $895 $0.78 20d 1 0.66mi
2634 Garland Ave Unit A Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1152 $940 $0.82 23d 1 0.66mi
823 S 38th St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,195 $1.09 3d 1 0.71mi
1410 Standard Village Cir Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 1200 $900 $0.75 23d 1 0.79mi
2223 Saint Louis Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 1.5 1152 $1,175 $1.02 23d 1 0.82mi
2416 Garland Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 1172 $1,600 $1.37 23d 1 0.82mi
666 Eastlawn Ave Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 936 $895 $0.96 15d 1 0.83mi
836 S 41st St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,300 $1.00 19d 1 0.89mi
1804 Russell Lee Dr Louisville, KY 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 810 $1,124 $1.39 1d 1 0.92mi
2733 Chase Ct Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 15d 1 0.94mi
714 S 40th St #2 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 23d 1 0.95mi
1854 W Ormsby Ave Louisville, KY 2.0 2.0 1094 $800 $0.73 15d 1 0.95mi
652 S 37th St #9 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,095 $1.02 23d 1 0.96mi
2400 Burwell Ave Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 972 $895 $0.92 15d 1 0.98mi
4221 Sunset Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1075 $1,199 $1.12 23d 1 0.98mi
848 S 23rd St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.5 1050 $1,450 $1.38 23d 1 0.99mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    remarks 200-char remark
  4. 2026-06-16
    listed $1 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,774
− Mortgage interest
−$8,279
− Property taxes
−$2,217
− Insurance
−$739
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,102
− Management
−$1,102
− Depreciation
−$4,300
Taxable loss
−$3,964
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$951
After-tax cash flow
$-424/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
2102990
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$47,885
Composite
23.45/100
National rank
#7884
State rank
#121 of 165 in KY

Livability — Louisville

Score
63/100
State rank
#333
US rank
#15887

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Louisville, KY
County
Jefferson County · 790,184 people
City population
769,292
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
20,407
Household income
$31,749
Rent vs Own
58.6% rent · 41.4% own
Severe rent burden
1483.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
823,112 people
By 2030
849,343 · +3.2%
By 2040
895,696 · +8.8%
By 2050
933,630 · +13.4%
By 2075
1,028,262 · +24.9%
By 2100
1,072,675 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.22%
Current HPI
176.337
Rent YoY
▲ 4.87%
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Property tax history

-9.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $253 · -13.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…