906 Cypress St · Rockingham, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 64.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.7/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled in the heart of Rockingham, this charming 3-bedroom home offers the convenience of town with a setting that feels pleasantly tucked away from the bustle. With an inviting front porch perfect for relaxing in the evenings, the home welcomes you into a spacious living room that flows into a comfortably laid-out kitchen. A handy storage room at the rear adds extra functionality. Offered as-is, this property presents a great opportunity for buyers to add their own updates and personal touch while taking advantage of an attractive price point for a 3-bedroom home.
Key facts
- Front porch
- Spacious living room
- 0.35 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: R-12
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking
- Utilities: Utilities: see remarks
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story, entry level 1; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Shingle roof; Brick/mortar foundation; Built on a 0.35-acre lot (approx. 100 x 153 x 100 x 154)
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Has a view; Paved road access; Frontage: see remarks
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Electric heating; Heat pump
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; Central air conditioning; Electric heating with heat pump
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $116k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $494 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $116k).
- Recommended offer: $109k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 6.0% in Rockingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#403 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Richmond County Schools (town): math 30% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #139 of 178 in NC (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Rockingham Middle (math 24% / reading 35%, grade F, #343 of 475 statewide, top 73%, 616 students, 100% FRL); Richmond Senior High (math 58% / reading 38%, grade D, #329 of 535 statewide, top 62%, 1,286 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $801 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richmond County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.28%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $127,776
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 Beaverwood Ct | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 | 1,056 (0%) | 6mo | $110,000 | $104 | 88 |
| 1012 Walnut Ln | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 972 (-8%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $154 | 69 |
| 1109 Laurel Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 954 (-10%) | 5mo | $144,850 | $152 | 55 |
| 1033 Oak Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 911 (-14%) | 10mo | $136,000 | $149 | 54 |
| 213 9th Avenue Aleo Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,078 (+2%) | 15mo | $44,900 | $42 | 53 |
| 213 Hilltop Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (+6%) | 7mo | $152,500 | $136 | 53 |
| 131 Mill St | 0.42mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,150 (+9%) | 12mo | $119,000 | $103 | 50 |
| 120 Stilwell St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,020 (-3%) | 11mo | $95,000 | $93 | 49 |
| 117 Flowers St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 988 (-6%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $121 | 47 |
| 128 Watkins Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,196 (+13%) | 6mo | $124,525 | $104 | 43 |
| 57 Aleo Seventh Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,176 (+11%) | 15mo | $52,000 | $44 | 43 |
| 1136 Rockingham Rd | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (-14%) | 14mo | $229,900 | $252 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $12,678
- Equity at exit
- $17,281
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $51,457
- Equity at exit
- $10,021
Cash invested: $32,452 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28379
- Home prices YoY
- -32.4%
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,525 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$608
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $652/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$320
- Net cashflow
- $494
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,975
- Closing costs
- $3,477
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $115,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $115,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $115,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $115,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $115,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-04-15$115,900 Active
-
2026-03-16historical
-
2025-10-17$123,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $652 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $950 · $79/mo
- Expected delta
- +$299/yr (+$25/mo · 45.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,301
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,492
- − Property taxes
- −$652
- − Insurance
- −$580
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,464
- − Management
- −$1,464
- − Depreciation
- −$3,372
- Taxable income
- $4,278
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,027
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,907/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richmond County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703870
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,224
- Composite
- 26.97/100
- National rank
- #7076
- State rank
- #139 of 178 in NC
Livability — Rockingham
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #403
- US rank
- #15356
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rockingham, NC
- City population
- 24,068
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,068
Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,892 people
- By 2030
- 41,257 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 37,629 · -12.3%
- By 2050
- 33,655 · -21.5%
- By 2075
- 23,992 · -44.1%
- By 2100
- 14,782 · -65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Richmond
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.9) · D 39.2% · R 60.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.4pp toward R · 2008: 1.5pp · 2024: -20.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.9 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+10.1 2012: D+2.7 2008: D+1.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.10%
- Current HPI
- 203.0628
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
-6.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Listed $115,900 Hive MLS
- 2026-03-16 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-10-17 Listed $123,900 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $652 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…