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1105 W 15th Ave
B+ Composite 78.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.3/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0

$29,999

1105 W 15th Ave · Gary, IN 46407
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 858 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 112 Days on market
Built 1924 4,791 sqft lot $35/sqft · 15% below area Est $35k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Special - Corner Lot Opportunity! Located at 1105 W 15th Ave in Gary, this property sits on a spacious square corner lot offering strong redevelopment potential. The home is currently gutted and in damaged condition, providing a blank slate for a full renovation or rebuild. The lot features an existing fence and a dedicated driveway, adding immediate value and convenience for future plans. With its corner positioning, there's added flexibility for layout, access, and curb appeal. Ideal for investors, rehabbers, or builders looking for their next project. Bring your vision and transform this property into a strong income-producing asset or resale opportunity. Property sold as-is. Cash or renovation financing only.

Key facts

  • Dedicated driveway
  • Existing fence
  • Full renovation

Tags

CORNER LOT OPPORTUNITYSPACIOUS SQUARE CORNER LOTSTRONG REDEVELOPMENT POTENTIALEXISTING FENCEDEDICATED DRIVEWAYFULL RENOVATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $717 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $27k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 35.0% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,171/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 392% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $501 of equity ($207 loan paydown + $294 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($27k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $27,299 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.90%
Cap rate
34.97%
Cash-on-cash
102.42%
DSCR
5.56
GRM
2.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$35,334
List price
$29,999
Delta
-15.10%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1665 W 12th Ave 0.44mi 2/1.0 (-1) 842 (-2%) 3mo $13,000 $15 69
1161 Harrison Blvd 0.27mi 4/2.0 (+1) 912 (+6%) 0mo $21,000 $23 68
1161 Fillmore St 0.21mi 2/1.0 (-1) 905 (+6%) 14mo $42,000 $46 64
1177 Harrison St 0.30mi 2/1.0 (-1) 946 (+10%) 2mo $8,500 $9 62
1567 Hayes St 0.36mi 2/1.0 (-1) 934 (+9%) 4mo $29,000 $31 60
1014 W 19th Ave 0.23mi 3/1.5 960 (+12%) 14mo $30,000 $31 56
1747 Hayes St 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 831 (-3%) 19mo $28,000 $34 56
1675 W 20th Pl 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (+1%) 15mo $52,000 $60 53
1968 W 14th Ave 0.57mi 3/1.0 800 (-7%) 12mo $12,900 $16 52
1201 W 21st Ave 0.51mi 2/1.0 (-1) 980 (+14%) 7mo $139,900 $143 42
841 Pierce St 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 768 (-10%) 12mo $75,000 $98 42
1975 Arthur St 0.57mi 3/1.0 732 (-15%) 11mo $60,000 $82 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.98% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.50×
Total profit
$46,208
Equity at exit
$10,209
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.46×
Total profit
$104,701
Equity at exit
$13,543

Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46407

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
121
Price-to-rent
2.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,171 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $459/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$246
Net cashflow
$717

Break-even live

Break-even rent $263
Max offer price $29,999
Occupancy floor 34%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,500
Closing costs
$900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1521 Pierce St Unit 1 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 1d 1 0.05mi
840 W 19th Ave Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1035 $1,150 $1.11 19d 1 0.31mi
2361 Pierce St Unit 2 Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 860 $900 $1.05 1d 1 0.84mi
1595 Ellsworth St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 868 $1,100 $1.27 2d 1 0.90mi
1595 Ellsworth St Unit 1 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 868 $1,100 $1.27 1d 1 0.90mi
2022 Massachusetts St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 965 $1,000 $1.04 1d 1 0.90mi
2378 Jackson St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 672 $1,050 $1.56 1d 1 0.95mi
1316 Delaware St Unit 2 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 20d 1 0.97mi
1329 Delaware St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 0.99mi
2280 Roosevelt Pl Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 864 $1,560 $1.81 1d 1 1.03mi
501 Madison St Gary, IN 1.0–4.0 1.0 883 $1,362 $1.54 1d 11 1.06mi
2264 Taft St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 800 $1,275 $1.59 1d 1 1.06mi
411 Pierce St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 874 $1,395 $1.60 21d 1 1.07mi
2572-76 Van Buren Pl Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 700 $1,025 $1.46 1d 1 1.15mi
2061 Maryland St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 975 $950 $0.97 43d 1 1.16mi
1531 Taney Pl Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,045 $1.16 1d 1 1.20mi
358 Arthur St Unit 2 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 800 $1,250 $1.56 1d 1 1.23mi
2306 W 5th Ave Gary, IN 2.0–3.0 1.0 937 $1,299 $1.39 1d 2 1.25mi
2306 W 5th Ave Apt 3 Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1025 $1,299 $1.27 1d 1 1.25mi
317 Garfield St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 936 $1,495 $1.60 43d 1 1.25mi
2939 W 10th Ave Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 744 $1,190 $1.60 1d 1 1.26mi
2336 Delaware St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 816 $1,100 $1.35 1d 1 1.26mi
2300 Maryland St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 19d 1 1.28mi
837 W 27th Ave Unit A Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 750 $1,150 $1.53 1d 1 1.32mi
2315 Industrial Blvd Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 989 $950 $0.96 3d 1 1.38mi
2315 Industrial Blvd Unit B Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 989 $1,150 $1.16 1d 1 1.38mi
2315 Industrial Blvd Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 989 $950 $0.96 1d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $29,999 Active 112 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $29,999 Active 111 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $29,999 Active 110 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $29,999 Active 109 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $29,999 Active 107 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $29,999 Active 106 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $29,999 Active 103 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $29,999 Active 102 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $29,999 Active 101 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $29,999 Active 98 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $29,999 Active 97 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $29,999 Active 96 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $29,999 Active 95 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $29,999 Active 94 DOM
  15. 2026-02-26
    listed $29,999 Active 732-char remark
    Show marketing remark (732 chars)

    Investor Special - Corner Lot Opportunity! Located at 1105 W 15th Ave in Gary, this property sits on a spacious square corner lot offering strong redevelopment potential. The home is currently gutted and in damaged condition, providing a blank slate for a full renovation or rebuild. The lot features an existing fence and a dedicated driveway, adding immediate value and convenience for future plans. With its corner positioning, there's added flexibility for layout, access, and curb appeal. Ideal for investors, rehabbers, or builders looking for their next project. Bring your vision and transform this property into a strong income-producing asset or resale opportunity. Property sold as-is. Cash or renovation financing only.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$459 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$459 · $38/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,050
− Mortgage interest
−$1,680
− Property taxes
−$459
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,124
− Management
−$1,124
− Depreciation
−$873
Taxable income
$8,640
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,074
After-tax cash flow
$6,529/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gary Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803870
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,739
Composite
4.98/100
National rank
#10039
State rank
#299 of 301 in IN

Livability — Gary

Score
73/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#5592

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gary, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
63,701
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
8,577
Household income
$28,526
Rent vs Own
58.8% rent · 41.2% own
Severe rent burden
392.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% Hispanic / Latino 3% White 2% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.98%
Current HPI
253.2856
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-26 Listed $29,999 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $459 · +112.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…