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719 Forest Park
D Composite 44.26
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$50,000

719 Forest Park · Middletown, RI 02842
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 432 sqft · Manufactured public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1980 $898/mo HOA · 38% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Dreaming of owning your own home , or having unlimited access to your own weekend escape in Newport County, this is your chance. Welcome to Forest Park. This Manufactured Home has parking for up to 4 vehicles and two sheds. Forest Park is located minutes from all that Newport and Aquidneck Island Offers. The Beaches are only 4 miles away, grocery and retail shopping is within a mile. The monthly park fees are $861.00. The park does require that all homes be owner occupied. Included in the sale of the property will be the 2 sheds, A 70 inch TV and a fireplace space heater. The buyer will have the option to keep a perfectly fitted storage cabinet, fully functioning fish tank with fish, portable washer/dryer unit, bed frame with under bed storage drawers and a futon couch.

Key facts

  • Two outdoor sheds
  • Adt security system
  • 3 parking spots

Tags

ADT SECURITY SYSTEMTWO OUTDOOR SHEDSEASY ACCESS TO NEWPORT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Above-grade finished area: 432
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee ($845); Community near schools, public transportation, and restaurants; Has land lease

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage; 3 parking spaces (total)
  • Utilities: 200+ amp electrical service; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story property; Aluminum siding
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Beach access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating (electric)
  • Interior features: Laminate flooring; Tub with shower
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $608 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Middletown (suburban): math 24% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #20 of 39 in RI (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 94 units permitted in Newport County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Newport County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $42k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 38% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $50,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.70%
Cap rate
20.89%
Cash-on-cash
52.13%
DSCR
3.32
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
56.1%
Equity multiple
3.68×
Total profit
$37,505
Equity at exit
$7,455
10-year hold
IRR
63.0%
Equity multiple
9.01×
Total profit
$112,115
Equity at exit
$4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
31 Tenant-Leaning
State Rhode Island
31 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
30-day notice; strong tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 02842

Home prices YoY
-30.6%
Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,349 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$67 /mo · $802/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$898
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$493
Net cashflow
$608

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,580
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
41 Woodland Dr Unit A Portsmouth, RI 1.0 1.0 275 $2,500 $9.09 2d 1 1.44mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$898 · $10,776/yr

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $50,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $50,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $50,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on marketlisting id $50,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $55,000 Active 63 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,000 Active 62 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $55,000 Active 57 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Active 56 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-05-04
    price $55,000
  14. 2026-04-07
    listed $57,000 Active
  15. 2025-10-24
    soldstatus $41,500 Closed 781-char remark
    Show marketing remark (781 chars)

    Dreaming of owning your own home , or having unlimited access to your own weekend escape in Newport County, this is your chance. Welcome to Forest Park. This Manufactured Home has parking for up to 4 vehicles and two sheds. Forest Park is located minutes from all that Newport and Aquidneck Island Offers. The Beaches are only 4 miles away, grocery and retail shopping is within a mile. The monthly park fees are $861.00. The park does require that all homes be owner occupied. Included in the sale of the property will be the 2 sheds, A 70 inch TV and a fireplace space heater. The buyer will have the option to keep a perfectly fitted storage cabinet, fully functioning fish tank with fish, portable washer/dryer unit, bed frame with under bed storage drawers and a futon couch.

  16. 2025-10-21
    status Pending 781-char remark
    Show marketing remark (781 chars)

    Dreaming of owning your own home , or having unlimited access to your own weekend escape in Newport County, this is your chance. Welcome to Forest Park. This Manufactured Home has parking for up to 4 vehicles and two sheds. Forest Park is located minutes from all that Newport and Aquidneck Island Offers. The Beaches are only 4 miles away, grocery and retail shopping is within a mile. The monthly park fees are $861.00. The park does require that all homes be owner occupied. Included in the sale of the property will be the 2 sheds, A 70 inch TV and a fireplace space heater. The buyer will have the option to keep a perfectly fitted storage cabinet, fully functioning fish tank with fish, portable washer/dryer unit, bed frame with under bed storage drawers and a futon couch.

  17. 2025-10-16
    price $44,750 781-char remark
    Show marketing remark (781 chars)

    Dreaming of owning your own home , or having unlimited access to your own weekend escape in Newport County, this is your chance. Welcome to Forest Park. This Manufactured Home has parking for up to 4 vehicles and two sheds. Forest Park is located minutes from all that Newport and Aquidneck Island Offers. The Beaches are only 4 miles away, grocery and retail shopping is within a mile. The monthly park fees are $861.00. The park does require that all homes be owner occupied. Included in the sale of the property will be the 2 sheds, A 70 inch TV and a fireplace space heater. The buyer will have the option to keep a perfectly fitted storage cabinet, fully functioning fish tank with fish, portable washer/dryer unit, bed frame with under bed storage drawers and a futon couch.

  18. 2025-09-12
    listed $47,000 Active 781-char remark
    Show marketing remark (781 chars)

    Dreaming of owning your own home , or having unlimited access to your own weekend escape in Newport County, this is your chance. Welcome to Forest Park. This Manufactured Home has parking for up to 4 vehicles and two sheds. Forest Park is located minutes from all that Newport and Aquidneck Island Offers. The Beaches are only 4 miles away, grocery and retail shopping is within a mile. The monthly park fees are $861.00. The park does require that all homes be owner occupied. Included in the sale of the property will be the 2 sheds, A 70 inch TV and a fireplace space heater. The buyer will have the option to keep a perfectly fitted storage cabinet, fully functioning fish tank with fish, portable washer/dryer unit, bed frame with under bed storage drawers and a futon couch.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast RI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$802 · $67/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$808 · $67/mo
Expected delta
+$6/yr (+$1/mo · 0.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,194
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$802
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,255
− Management
−$2,255
− HOA
−$10,776
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$7,599
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,824
After-tax cash flow
$5,475/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Middletown
NCES district ID
4400630
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$66,845
Composite
28.59/100
National rank
#6717
State rank
#20 of 39 in RI

Livability — Middletown

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Newport East, RI
County
Newport County · 73,957 people
City population
16,832
Metro
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
Population (ZIP)
16,832
Household income
$101,948
Rent vs Own
42.1% rent · 57.9% own
Severe rent burden
739.0

Population outlook (Newport County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
81,198 people
By 2030
79,518 · -2.1%
By 2040
75,581 · -6.9%
By 2050
71,801 · -11.6%
By 2075
64,618 · -20.4%
By 2100
56,724 · -30.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Russian 11% Slovak 4% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Newport

2024 margin
Strong D (+25.5) · D 61.6% · R 36.1% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
+2.2pp toward D · 2008: 23.3pp · 2024: 25.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+25.5 2020: D+29.8 2016: D+19.4 2012: D+17.7 2008: D+23.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -164.89%
Current HPI
374.2301
Rent YoY
▲ 5.59%
Metro
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.25%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in RI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+17.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $55,000 RIS
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $57,000 RIS
  • 2025-10-24 Sold (MLS) $41,500 RIS
  • 2025-10-21 Pending RIS
  • 2025-10-16 Price Changed $44,750 RIS
  • 2025-09-12 Listed $47,000 RIS

Property tax history

+15.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $802 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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