127 E Sourwood Dr · Greensboro, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
?? FOR SALE & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; 3 Bed / 2 Bath in Autumn Forest ?? 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom mobile home available in Autumn Forest for * * $60,000 * * with financing options available. ? Features: & acirc; & euro; & cent; 3 bedrooms / 2 full bathrooms & acirc; & euro; & cent; Open living area & acirc; & euro; & cent; Convenient location in Browns Summit / Greensboro area ?? Financing options available ?? Autumn Forest ?? Message for more details, photos, or to schedule a viewing Equal Housing Opportunity
Key facts
- Open living area
- Built 2018
- Listed 15 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $60k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 29.7% vs local median 3.8% in Greensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#12 in NC, #1,335 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 29.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 83.49%
- DSCR
- 4.71
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 83.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.85×
- Total profit
- $64,754
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 87.1%
- Equity multiple
- 10.07×
- Total profit
- $152,370
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27214
- Home prices YoY
- -20.2%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,004 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $900/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$421
- Net cashflow
- $1,169
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3700 Autumn Forest Dr Browns Summit, NC | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 920 | $1,364 | $1.48 | 14d | 1 | 0.17mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $60,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $60,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 525-char remark
-
2026-06-07$60,000 Active 4 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,053
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$900
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,924
- − Management
- −$1,924
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $13,898
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,336
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,691/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This mobile home requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including major work on the exterior siding, roof, flooring, HVAC, and landscaping. Painting and replacing the HVAC unit can significantly improve its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — The siding is visibly weathered and peeling.
- Major roof — The roof appears damaged and may need replacement.
- Major flooring — The flooring is worn and may need replacement.
- Major HVAC unit — The HVAC unit appears old and may need maintenance or replacement.
- Major interior walls/paint — The walls and paint are aged and may need repainting.
- Major landscaping — The landscaping is sparse and may need improvement to enhance curb appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Both painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint can significantly improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both replacing the HVAC unit — A new HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, attracting more buyers or renters.
- Both repairing and replacing the roof — A new roof will protect the home from water damage and improve its overall appearance.
- Both replacing the flooring — New flooring can enhance the home's value and make it more attractive to potential buyers or renters.
- Both landscaping improvements — A well-maintained and aesthetically pleasing landscape can increase the home's curb appeal and market value.
- Both repainting the exterior siding — Fresh paint can significantly improve the home's curb appeal and exterior appearance, attracting more buyers or renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · The siding is visibly weathered and peeling. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| roof · The roof appears damaged and may need replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · The flooring is worn and may need replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC unit · The HVAC unit appears old and may need maintenance or replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls/paint · The walls and paint are aged and may need repainting. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · The landscaping is sparse and may need improvement to enhance curb appeal. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 6 items | $90,000–300,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint can significantly improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both replacing the HVAC unit — A new HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, attracting more buyers or renters. ↑
- Both repairing and replacing the roof — A new roof will protect the home from water damage and improve its overall appearance. ↑
- Both replacing the flooring — New flooring can enhance the home's value and make it more attractive to potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both landscaping improvements — A well-maintained and aesthetically pleasing landscape can increase the home's curb appeal and market value. ↑
- Both repainting the exterior siding — Fresh paint can significantly improve the home's curb appeal and exterior appearance, attracting more buyers or renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Guilford County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3701920
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,315
- Composite
- 35.78/100
- National rank
- #4842
- State rank
- #99 of 178 in NC
Livability — Greensboro
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #1335
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Guilford County · 487,190 people
- City population
- 329,421
- Metro
- Greensboro-High Point, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,766
- Household income
- $82,655
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 32.0
Population outlook (Guilford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 584,596 people
- By 2030
- 616,851 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 678,451 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 734,788 · +25.7%
- By 2075
- 862,985 · +47.6%
- By 2100
- 948,704 · +62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 35% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Hispanic 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Guilford
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.2% · R 38.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.8 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -63.20%
- Current HPI
- 249.9252
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Greensboro-High Point, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $60,000 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…