102 N Bradley St · Warren, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this timeless two-story home that seamlessly blends classic design with contemporary features. Boasting 4 spacious bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this home offers ample space for both relaxation and entertainment. The expansive living areas are enhanced by tall ceilings, creating an open and airy ambiance throughout the home. The exterior features a spacious backyard, covered front porch, along with two outbuildings. Don't miss the opportunity to make this exceptional home your own.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Spacious backyard
- Two outbuildings
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $161 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#69 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Warren School District (town): math 26% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #198 of 238 in AR (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
- Bradley County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 455 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (31%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $130k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 455 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.30%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $160,744
- List price
- $129,900
- Delta
- -19.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 320 E Cedar St | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,343 (-7%) | 4mo | $132,000 | $56 | 77 |
| 211 E Church | 0.23mi | 4/2.5 | 2,567 (+2%) | 16mo | $80,000 | $31 | 72 |
| 104 Wheeler | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 | 2,484 (-2%) | 11mo | $115,000 | $46 | 61 |
| 404 Marie Dr | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 | 2,290 (-9%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $94 | 57 |
| 401 S Myrtle | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,630 (+4%) | 16mo | $210,000 | $80 | 56 |
| 611 S Main | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 | 2,316 (-8%) | 4mo | $73,500 | $32 | 48 |
| 111 Scotta St St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,275 (-10%) | 14mo | $83,000 | $36 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.47% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $15,676
- Equity at exit
- $47,529
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.51×
- Total profit
- $55,061
- Equity at exit
- $65,702
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71671
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 37
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,340 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,948/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$281
- Net cashflow
- $161
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $129,900 Active 455 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 454 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 453 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 452 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 451 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $129,900 Active 449 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $129,900 Active 448 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 445 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 444 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 443 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 442 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,900 Active 439 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 438 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 437 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 436 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 435 DOM
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2026-03-28price $129,900 493-char remark
Show marketing remark (493 chars)
Welcome to this timeless two-story home that seamlessly blends classic design with contemporary features. Boasting 4 spacious bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this home offers ample space for both relaxation and entertainment. The expansive living areas are enhanced by tall ceilings, creating an open and airy ambiance throughout the home. The exterior features a spacious backyard, covered front porch, along with two outbuildings. Don't miss the opportunity to make this exceptional home your own.
-
2026-03-19status Back on Market 493-char remark
Show marketing remark (493 chars)
Welcome to this timeless two-story home that seamlessly blends classic design with contemporary features. Boasting 4 spacious bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this home offers ample space for both relaxation and entertainment. The expansive living areas are enhanced by tall ceilings, creating an open and airy ambiance throughout the home. The exterior features a spacious backyard, covered front porch, along with two outbuildings. Don't miss the opportunity to make this exceptional home your own.
-
2026-03-13historical 493-char remark
Show marketing remark (493 chars)
Welcome to this timeless two-story home that seamlessly blends classic design with contemporary features. Boasting 4 spacious bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this home offers ample space for both relaxation and entertainment. The expansive living areas are enhanced by tall ceilings, creating an open and airy ambiance throughout the home. The exterior features a spacious backyard, covered front porch, along with two outbuildings. Don't miss the opportunity to make this exceptional home your own.
-
2025-07-15price $179,500 493-char remark
Show marketing remark (493 chars)
Welcome to this timeless two-story home that seamlessly blends classic design with contemporary features. Boasting 4 spacious bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this home offers ample space for both relaxation and entertainment. The expansive living areas are enhanced by tall ceilings, creating an open and airy ambiance throughout the home. The exterior features a spacious backyard, covered front porch, along with two outbuildings. Don't miss the opportunity to make this exceptional home your own.
-
2025-03-12$189,500 New Listing 493-char remark
Show marketing remark (493 chars)
Welcome to this timeless two-story home that seamlessly blends classic design with contemporary features. Boasting 4 spacious bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this home offers ample space for both relaxation and entertainment. The expansive living areas are enhanced by tall ceilings, creating an open and airy ambiance throughout the home. The exterior features a spacious backyard, covered front porch, along with two outbuildings. Don't miss the opportunity to make this exceptional home your own.
-
1997-08-11soldstatus $52,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,077
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$1,948
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,286
- − Management
- −$1,286
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable loss
- −$149
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$36
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,964/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Warren School District
- NCES district ID
- 0500006
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,986
- Composite
- 19.22/100
- National rank
- #8810
- State rank
- #198 of 238 in AR
Livability — Warren
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #69
- US rank
- #8546
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Warren, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,788
Population outlook (Bradley County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,347 people
- By 2030
- 9,925 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 9,122 · -11.8%
- By 2050
- 8,336 · -19.4%
- By 2075
- 6,893 · -33.4%
- By 2100
- 5,721 · -44.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 16% Native American 6% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Bradley
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.0) · D 29.9% · R 69.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.4pp · 2024: -39.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.0 2020: R+30.7 2016: R+23.4 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+14.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.47%
- Current HPI
- 114.1937
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+149.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-28 Price Changed $129,900 CARMLS
- 2026-03-19 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2026-03-13 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2025-07-15 Price Changed $179,500 CARMLS
- 2025-03-12 Listed $189,500 CARMLS
- 1997-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $196 · -72.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…