3716 Barnett Ave · Moss Point, MS
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.23%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.1/30.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This property features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Covered back patio, partially fenced. Fireplace with double Garage!!
Key facts
- 0.29 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2005
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence (house); One level; Living area reported from public records
- Construction: Vinyl exterior; Slab foundation; Built (year reported from public records)
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Lot approximately 0.29 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Microwave; Fireplace in the living room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $82 ($990/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (6.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $150k (6.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#77 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D+, schools D, amenities F.
- Moss Point Separate School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #94 of 130 in MS (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 516 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.21%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $108,420
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4325 Robinway Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,769 (+6%) | 6mo | $83,000 | $47 | 61 |
| 4607 Griffin St | 0.46mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,620 (-3%) | 8mo | $95,000 | $59 | 60 |
| 3400 Barnett Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,843 (+10%) | 11mo | $119,900 | $65 | 57 |
| 4219 Bellview Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,600 (-4%) | 4mo | $89,000 | $56 | 55 |
| 5131 Weems St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,598 (-4%) | 17mo | $167,400 | $105 | 51 |
| 3819 Cedar St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,780 (+7%) | 22mo | $145,000 | $81 | 46 |
| 4518 Bowen St | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,500 (-10%) | 21mo | $80,000 | $53 | 40 |
| 3112 Bellview Ave | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,523 (-9%) | 20mo | $128,000 | $84 | 33 |
| 3132 W Rollins St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,914 (+15%) | 22mo | $249,500 | $130 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $38,521
- Equity at exit
- $86,774
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.54×
- Total profit
- $113,764
- Equity at exit
- $146,677
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39563
- Home prices YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 86
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$197 /mo · $2,368/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $82
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $173 | -5% $128 | +0% $82 | +5% $37 | +10% $-8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-36 | -5% $23 | +0% $82 | +5% $142 | +10% $201 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $163 | -0.5pp $123 | base $82 | +0.5pp $41 | +1.0pp $-1 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3395 Howze St Moss Point, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1868 | $1,500 | $0.80 | 22d | 1 | 0.40mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $159,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $159,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $159,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-04-07$159,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,368 · $197/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,368 · $197/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$2,368
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,440
- − Management
- −$1,440
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable loss
- −$1,656
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$397
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,387/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Moss Point Separate School District
- NCES district ID
- 2803000
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,041
- Composite
- 16.34/100
- National rank
- #9205
- State rank
- #94 of 130 in MS
Livability — Moss Point
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #77
- US rank
- #10398
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Moss Point, MS
- City population
- 12,023
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,023
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 146,926 people
- By 2030
- 148,442 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 149,631 · +1.8%
- By 2050
- 148,723 · +1.2%
- By 2075
- 147,845 · +0.6%
- By 2100
- 144,510 · -1.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 74% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.5% · R 69.4% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.9 2020: R+34.6 2016: R+39.9 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+33.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.60%
- Current HPI
- 155.3138
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Listed $159,900 MLSU
Property tax history
+17.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,368 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…