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3716 Barnett Ave
D Composite 42.77
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.3/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$159,900

3716 Barnett Ave · Moss Point, MS 39563
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,668 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 71 Days on market
Built 2005 0.29 ac lot Est $108k · 47% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This property features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Covered back patio, partially fenced. Fireplace with double Garage!!

Key facts

  • 0.29 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2005

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence (house); One level; Living area reported from public records
  • Construction: Vinyl exterior; Slab foundation; Built (year reported from public records)
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Lot approximately 0.29 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Microwave; Fireplace in the living room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $82 ($990/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (6.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (6.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#77 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D+, schools D, amenities F.
  • Moss Point Separate School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #94 of 130 in MS (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 516 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,000 (6.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
6.91%
Cash-on-cash
2.21%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$108,420
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4325 Robinway Dr 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,769 (+6%) 6mo $83,000 $47 61
4607 Griffin St 0.46mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,620 (-3%) 8mo $95,000 $59 60
3400 Barnett Ave 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,843 (+10%) 11mo $119,900 $65 57
4219 Bellview Ave 0.60mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,600 (-4%) 4mo $89,000 $56 55
5131 Weems St 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,598 (-4%) 17mo $167,400 $105 51
3819 Cedar St 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,780 (+7%) 22mo $145,000 $81 46
4518 Bowen St 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,500 (-10%) 21mo $80,000 $53 40
3112 Bellview Ave 0.65mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,523 (-9%) 20mo $128,000 $84 33
3132 W Rollins St 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,914 (+15%) 22mo $249,500 $130 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.8%
Equity multiple
1.86×
Total profit
$38,521
Equity at exit
$86,774
10-year hold
IRR
14.7%
Equity multiple
3.54×
Total profit
$113,764
Equity at exit
$146,677

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39563

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$197 /mo · $2,368/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$315
Net cashflow
$82

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,396
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $173 -5% $128 +0% $82 +5% $37 +10% $-8
Rent -10% $-36 -5% $23 +0% $82 +5% $142 +10% $201
Rate -1.0pp $163 -0.5pp $123 base $82 +0.5pp $41 +1.0pp $-1

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3395 Howze St Moss Point, MS 3.0 2.0 1868 $1,500 $0.80 22d 1 0.40mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,900 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $159,900 Active 66 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 65 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $159,900 Active 63 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 62 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 61 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 60 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 53 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $159,900 Active 52 DOM
  15. 2026-04-07
    listed $159,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,368 · $197/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,368 · $197/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,000
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$2,368
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,440
− Management
−$1,440
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$1,656
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$397
After-tax cash flow
$1,387/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Moss Point Separate School District
NCES district ID
2803000
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$38,041
Composite
16.34/100
National rank
#9205
State rank
#94 of 130 in MS

Livability — Moss Point

Score
67/100
State rank
#77
US rank
#10398

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Moss Point, MS
City population
12,023
Population (ZIP)
12,023

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
146,926 people
By 2030
148,442 · +1.0%
By 2040
149,631 · +1.8%
By 2050
148,723 · +1.2%
By 2075
147,845 · +0.6%
By 2100
144,510 · -1.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 74% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 0%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.5% · R 69.4% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+34.6 2016: R+39.9 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.60%
Current HPI
155.3138
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $159,900 MLSU

Property tax history

+17.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,368 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…