1046 Radio Dr · Macon-Bibb County, GA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 65.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent house for investment purposes, it is a fixer up but has potential. It has electricity. It could be a good investment property for your portfolio. It features 2/1 with spacious bedrooms and living room.
Key facts
- 0.39 acre lot
- Built 1948
- Listed 149 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $445 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($968 rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.0% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $50k implies a 317% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.94% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.13%
- DSCR
- 2.70
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $61,496
- List price
- $50,000
- Delta
- -18.69%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1545 Wellworth Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 806 (-0%) | 7mo | $60,000 | $74 | 60 |
| 3320 Napier Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+7%) | 11mo | $70,000 | $81 | 57 |
| 3323 Mary Dr | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 838 (+4%) | 17mo | $92,500 | $110 | 55 |
| 3053 Churchill St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 890 (+10%) | 15mo | $83,000 | $93 | 55 |
| 3482 Austin Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 824 (+2%) | 12mo | $96,500 | $117 | 53 |
| 3369 Matheson Dr | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 754 (-7%) | 18mo | $53,500 | $71 | 50 |
| 3325 Shaw Dr | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 910 (+13%) | 20mo | $59,000 | $65 | 35 |
| 1513 Dexter Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (+12%) | 14mo | $73,120 | $81 | 33 |
| 330 Hortman Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 919 (+14%) | 14mo | $65,982 | $72 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $21,821
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 43.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.45×
- Total profit
- $62,232
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31204
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 255
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $968 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $440/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$203
- Net cashflow
- $445
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1020 Radio Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $889 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1076 Carlisle Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,065 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 3034 Churchill St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 872 | $900 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 3307 Guthrie Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 754 | $900 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1463 Bankston Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $950 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3346 Shaw Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1094 | $895 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1187 Edna Pl Unit S-1208 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 13d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1187 Edna Pl Unit S-1206 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,060 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1596 Burton Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1117 | $895 | $0.80 | 13d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2585 Napier Ave Unit B Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 644 | $850 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 424 Pansy Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $850 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2763 Vineville Ave Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2755 Vineville Ave Unit B Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,375 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3016 Ridge Ave Unit A Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $775 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3495 Charleston Cir Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $799 | $0.76 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3495 Charleston Cir Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $875 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 668 Grosso Ave Unit A Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $750 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 185 Oak Haven Ave Apt A4 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1782 Eveline Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3634 Dawn St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 999 | $850 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 132 Oak Haven Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $975 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3324 Vineville Ave Unit 57C Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 914 | $1,050 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3324 Vineville Ave Unit 57A Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $800 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3324 Vineville Ave Unit 63B Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,050 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2350 English Ave Apt 3D Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 980 | $1,095 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 130 Calloway Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $950 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 260 Ryals Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $875 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3330 Ridge Ave Unit D4 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1056 | $1,050 | $0.99 | 13d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3834 Mercer St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $875 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 140 Prentice Pl Apt F Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $785 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 140 Prentice Pl Apt E Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,400 | $2.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1835 Bethlea Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1208 Fourth Ave W Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $825 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2056 Vineville Ave Unit 25 Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 621 | $825 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3808 Fairmont Ave Unit A Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 793 | $595 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1249 Duncan Ave Unit C Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $795 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1249 Duncan Ave Unit B Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 700 | $1,095 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3645 Mercer University Dr Macon, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $850 | $0.97 | 44d | 4 | 1.45mi |
| 4053 Log Cabin Dr Unit B3 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $749 | $0.79 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 133 Auburn Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $895 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $50,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $50,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $50,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $50,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $50,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $50,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $50,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $50,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $50,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $50,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $50,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $50,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $50,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $50,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-01-30price $50,000 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Excellent house for investment purposes, it is a fixer up but has potential. It has electricity. It could be a good investment property for your portfolio. It features 2/1 with spacious bedrooms and living room.
-
2026-01-21$55,000 Active 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Excellent house for investment purposes, it is a fixer up but has potential. It has electricity. It could be a good investment property for your portfolio. It features 2/1 with spacious bedrooms and living room.
-
2018-08-30soldstatus $12,000
-
2018-08-14$12,000
-
2007-01-05soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $440 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $460 · $38/mo
- Expected delta
- +$20/yr (+$2/mo · 4.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,614
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$440
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$929
- − Management
- −$929
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $4,810
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,154
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,184/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bibb County
- NCES district ID
- 1300420
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,426
- Composite
- 12.13/100
- National rank
- #9654
- State rank
- #161 of 174 in GA
Livability — Macon-Bibb County
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- County
- Bibb County · 164,332 people
- City population
- 143,186
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,421
- Household income
- $38,784
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2674.0
Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 148,772 people
- By 2030
- 145,904 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 139,404 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 131,603 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 111,050 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 83,346 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 65% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bibb
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -135.44%
- Current HPI
- 194.5459
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.61%
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+25.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $50,000 MGMLS
- 2026-01-21 Listed $55,000 MGMLS
- 2018-08-30 Sold (MLS) $12,000 MGMLS
- 2018-08-14 Listed $12,000 MGMLS
- 2007-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.2%/yrLatest (2025): $440 · +28.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…