211 B St · Evans, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$68,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Opportunity to make this Very Affordable 2 Bedroom/2 Bath Home Yours*Original Owner*Beautiful Open living Space Concept*All Kitchen appliances included*Breakfast Bar Island*Private Spacious Primary Suite with Walk In closet and Private Full Bath*Spacious Secondary Bedroom*Full Hall Bath*Hall Laundry Room*Central Air for Hot Summer Days*Move In Ready*Perfect Home to Make Your Own*Private low maintenance yard with Turf Easy to maintain*2 Sheds Included Great for Outdoor Storage*Off Street Parking!!!
Key facts
- Full hall bath
- Breakfast bar island
- Walk in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Located in Belle Vista park; Land lease in effect (monthly land lease: $1,015; lease expires March 31, 2026)
Exterior
- Parking: Two off-street parking spaces (total 2)
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home in park; Model: Decision Maker; Faces west; Individual ownership; Single-story (main level living)
- Construction: Wood siding exterior; Shingle roof; Vinyl skirting; Manufactured home dimensions approximately 16' x 60'
- Exterior features: Private yard; Rain gutters; Front porch; Full fencing; Landscaped, level lot; Paved public road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: All appliances included; Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Breakfast bar; Eat-in kitchen / dining area; Open concept kitchen
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms, both on the main level; Primary bedroom is spacious with a walk-in closet and private bath; Secondary bedroom is a private, spacious bedroom
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms, both on the main level; Private full bath in primary suite; Full secondary/guest bath
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Open floorplan; Primary suite; Smoke-free; Walk-in closet(s); Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Convenient hall laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $68k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $68k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.8% vs local median 3.8% in Evans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#104 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, health & safety F.
- Greeleyschool District No. 6 In The County Of Weld And Sta (urban): math 15% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #71 of 86 in CO (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Bella Romero Academy of Applied Technology (math 7% / reading 22%, grade F, #813 of 966 statewide, top 85%, 957 students, 80% FRL); Greeley West High School (math 20% / reading 39%, grade F, #244 of 381 statewide, top 66%, 1,885 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 54% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.8%/yr); 120 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,170 units permitted in Weld County in 2024 (278 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Weld County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 66.27%
- DSCR
- 3.95
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $94,848
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3631 E St | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 24mo | $95,000 | $78 | 78 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 62.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.65×
- Total profit
- $50,477
- Equity at exit
- $10,139
- IRR
- 65.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.73×
- Total profit
- $109,043
- Equity at exit
- $5,879
Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80620
- Home prices YoY
- -20.9%
- Rents YoY
- -1.8%
- Active inventory
- 120
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,866 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$357
- Tax from tax record
- −$38 /mo · $458/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$392
- Net cashflow
- $1,051
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,000
- Closing costs
- $2,040
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3530 Pueblo St Unit A Evans, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,600 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 3202 11th Ave Evans, CO | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1015 | $2,050 | $2.02 | 1d | 12 | 0.74mi |
| 4118 Idaho St Evans, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,350 | $1.96 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3023 Denver St Unit 6 Evans, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 789 | $1,095 | $1.39 | 13d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1321 Darrell Rd Evans, CO | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $1,685 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1725 Rowan Ln Evans, CO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1190 | $2,099 | $1.76 | 13d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1751 Rowan Ln Evans, CO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 841 | $1,750 | $2.08 | 13d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1722 30th St Greeley, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 709 | $1,355 | $1.91 | 1d | 13 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $68,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $68,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $68,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $68,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $68,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $68,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $68,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $68,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $68,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $68,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $68,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $68,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $68,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $68,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-04-29$68,000 Active 508-char remark
Show marketing remark (508 chars)
Great Opportunity to make this Very Affordable 2 Bedroom/2 Bath Home Yours*Original Owner*Beautiful Open living Space Concept*All Kitchen appliances included*Breakfast Bar Island*Private Spacious Primary Suite with Walk In closet and Private Full Bath*Spacious Secondary Bedroom*Full Hall Bath*Hall Laundry Room*Central Air for Hot Summer Days*Move In Ready*Perfect Home to Make Your Own*Private low maintenance yard with Turf Easy to maintain*2 Sheds Included Great for Outdoor Storage*Off Street Parking!!!
-
2026-04-24price $68,000
-
2026-03-20price $70,000
-
2026-02-24$75,000 Active
-
2024-03-01historical
-
2023-08-29$79,999 Active
-
2023-07-26historical
-
2023-06-14price $85,000
-
2023-02-02$90,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $458 · $38/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $458 · $38/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,398
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,809
- − Property taxes
- −$458
- − Insurance
- −$340
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,792
- − Management
- −$1,792
- − Depreciation
- −$1,978
- Taxable income
- $12,229
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,935
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,682/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greeleyschool District No. 6 In The County Of Weld And Sta
- NCES district ID
- 0804410
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,417
- Composite
- 19.99/100
- National rank
- #8667
- State rank
- #71 of 86 in CO
Livability — Evans
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #104
- US rank
- #9005
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Evans, CO
- County
- Weld County · 332,652 people
- City population
- 20,798
- Metro
- Greeley, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,798
- Household income
- $73,590
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 420.0
Population outlook (Weld County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 351,957 people
- By 2030
- 385,304 · +9.5%
- By 2040
- 451,818 · +28.4%
- By 2050
- 514,478 · +46.2%
- By 2075
- 648,733 · +84.3%
- By 2100
- 720,400 · +104.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 48% White 45% Two or more races 17% Black 2% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 41%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 31% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Weld
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.0) · D 38.2% · R 59.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.2pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -21.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.0 2020: R+18.0 2016: R+22.4 2012: R+13.2 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.36%
- Current HPI
- 330.6379
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.78%
- Metro
- Greeley, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-24.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Listed $68,000 IRES
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $68,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $70,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-24 Listed $75,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-01 Listing Removed — IRES
- 2023-08-29 Listed $79,999 IRES
- 2023-07-26 Listing Removed — IRES
- 2023-06-14 Price Changed $85,000 IRES
- 2023-02-02 Listed $90,000 IRES
Property tax history
+0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $458 · +394.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…