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2606 Cedar St
C- Composite 53.05
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$239,999

2606 Cedar St · Richmond, VA 23223
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,522 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 90 Days on market
Built 1895 975 sqft lot $158/sqft · 46% below area Est $443k · 46% under ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming two-story home located in Richmond’s East End, just minutes from Church Hill and downtown. This property offers a great opportunity for a buyer to add their personal touch and build equity. The home features a traditional layout with spacious living areas, abundant natural light, and generously sized bedrooms. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space, and the home provides solid functionality throughout. Situated on a corner lot with outdoor space and off-street parking potential. Updates needed, this home is ideal for a primary residence or investment property. Conveniently located near major highways, local amenities, and downtown Richmond. Sold as-is.

Key facts

  • Outdoor space
  • Local amenities
  • Off-street parking

Tags

CORNER LOTOUTDOOR SPACEOFF-STREET PARKINGLOCAL AMENITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $96 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (12.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $209k (12.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.3% in Richmond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#33 in VA, #793 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-.
  • Richmond City Public School District (urban): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #123 of 131 in VA (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 337 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,540 units permitted in Richmond city in 2024 (2,077 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richmond County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $208,925 (12.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.77%
Cash-on-cash
1.71%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$443,088
List price
$239,999
Delta
-45.83%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2012 Venable St 0.43mi 3/2.5 1,472 (-3%) 0mo $410,000 $279 68
615 N 37th St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,518 (-0%) 1mo $375,000 $247 68
3316 Q St 0.50mi 3/2.5 1,564 (+3%) 0mo $365,000 $233 66
510 N 28th St 0.21mi 3/2.5 1,320 (-13%) 0mo $435,000 $330 62
1110 N 23rd St 0.35mi 3/2.5 1,670 (+10%) 0mo $382,500 $229 61
615 N 38th St 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,484 (-2%) 1mo $365,000 $246 61
1313 N 31st St 0.50mi 3/2.5 1,624 (+7%) 0mo $390,000 $240 59
220 N 20th St Unit U4 0.59mi 3/2.5 1,464 (-4%) 1mo $400,000 $273 59
517 N 33rd St 0.46mi 3/2.5 1,658 (+9%) 1mo $680,000 $410 57
1319 N 28th St 0.41mi 3/2.5 1,682 (+10%) 1mo $420,000 $250 57
708 N 21st St 0.39mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,400 (-8%) 1mo $392,000 $280 56
509 Mosby St 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,744 (+15%) 1mo $360,000 $206 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.1%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-25,467
Equity at exit
$35,785
10-year hold
IRR
3.2%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$17,874
Equity at exit
$20,751

Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23223

Rents YoY
6.4%
Active inventory
337
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,089 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,259
Tax from tax record
$196 /mo · $2,352/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$439
Net cashflow
$96

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,968
Max offer price $239,999
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,000
Closing costs
$7,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
803 N 26th St Unit A Richmond, VA 2.0 2.0 1188 $1,849 $1.56 44d 1 0.04mi
901 N 27th St Apt 1 Richmond, VA 4.0 1.0 1240 $2,000 $1.61 17d 1 0.09mi
1107 N 27th St Richmond, VA 3.0 3.5 1792 $2,600 $1.45 4d 1 0.24mi
2820 Q St Richmond, VA 3.0 2.0 1523 $2,195 $1.44 4d 1 0.25mi
3102 P St Unit B Richmond, VA 2.0 2.5 1313 $1,995 $1.52 4d 1 0.32mi
1221 N 26th St Richmond, VA 3.0 2.5 1900 $2,700 $1.42 23d 1 0.33mi
2914 R St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 1250 $1,500 $1.20 23d 1 0.35mi
517 N 21st St Unit 517B Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 1447 $1,884 $1.30 17d 1 0.38mi
307 N 29th St Richmond, VA 3.0 3.0 1992 $2,900 $1.46 4d 1 0.38mi
507 N 32nd St Unit A Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,995 $1.66 23d 1 0.40mi
811 N 33rd St Unit A Richmond, VA 3.0 2.0 1315 $1,900 $1.44 4d 1 0.40mi
811 N 33rd St Unit A Richmond, VA 3.0 2.0 1315 $1,900 $1.44 17d 1 0.40mi
1004 1/2 N 21st St Unit A Richmond, VA 3.0 2.0 1248 $2,195 $1.76 17d 1 0.42mi
2003 Cedar St Richmond, VA 3.0 2.0 1420 $2,200 $1.55 44d 1 0.44mi
2209 Fairmount Ave Richmond, VA 3.0 2.0 1652 $2,500 $1.51 44d 1 0.45mi
3018 S St Richmond, VA 3.0 2.5 1786 $2,645 $1.48 44d 1 0.46mi
1308 N 23rd St Richmond, VA 3.0 2.5 2052 $2,900 $1.41 17d 1 0.48mi
1920 Princess Anne Ave Richmond, VA 3.0 2.0 2000 $2,595 $1.30 4d 1 0.49mi
1404 N 30th St Richmond, VA 3.0 2.5 1700 $2,195 $1.29 4d 1 0.49mi
1408 N 29th St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 1528 $1,150 $0.75 20d 1 0.50mi
1903 E Marshall St Richmond, VA 3.0 1.0–2.0 723 $1,799 $2.49 1d 57 0.56mi
3508 E Clay St Unit A Richmond, VA 2.0 2.0 1188 $1,899 $1.60 14d 1 0.58mi
1427 N 22nd St Richmond, VA 3.0 2.5 1764 $2,700 $1.53 44d 1 0.59mi
1313 N 20th St Richmond, VA 3.0 2.0 2000 $2,045 $1.02 12d 1 0.59mi
3503 E Marshall St Unit 2 Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 12d 1 0.61mi
2525 E Main St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0–2.0 736 $1,895 $2.57 1d 10 0.61mi
2201 E Franklin St Richmond, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 905 $2,349 $2.59 3d 7 0.61mi
2213 E Franklin St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 862 $2,049 $2.38 4d 6 0.62mi
16 N 22nd St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 844 $1,675 $1.98 3d 7 0.64mi
2 S 25th St Richmond, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1050 $2,360 $2.25 2d 69 0.67mi
1901 E Franklin St Apt 5 Richmond, VA 3.0 3.0 1530 $1,850 $1.21 23d 1 0.72mi
11 S 21st St Unit 106 Richmond, VA 2.0 2.0 1709 $2,148 $1.26 44d 1 0.72mi
1617 N 21st St Richmond, VA 3.0 1.0 1157 $1,825 $1.58 4d 1 0.74mi
6 N 18th St Apt 301 Richmond, VA 2.0 2.0 1300 $1,695 $1.30 20d 1 0.80mi
10 Walnut Aly Unit A3 Richmond, VA 2.0 2.0 1217 $1,575 $1.29 16d 1 0.80mi
1817 E Main St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0–2.0 846 $1,955 $2.31 2d 40 0.83mi
1614 N 19th St Richmond, VA 4.0 2.0 1584 $2,395 $1.51 4d 1 1.01mi
100 S 15th St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 825 $1,749 $2.12 4d 4 1.03mi
2106 Newbourne St Richmond, VA 3.0 2.0 1172 $1,875 $1.60 44d 1 1.03mi
117 S 14th St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0–2.0 944 $2,333 $2.47 2d 19 1.06mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $239,999 Active 90 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $239,999 Active 89 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $239,999 Active 88 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $239,999 Active 87 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $239,999 Active 85 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $239,999 Active 82 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $239,999 Active 81 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $239,999 Active 80 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $239,999 Active 79 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $239,999 Active 75 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $239,999 Active 74 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $239,999 Active 73 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $239,999 Active 72 DOM
  14. 2026-04-28
    price $239,999 675-char remark
    Show marketing remark (675 chars)

    Charming two-story home located in Richmond’s East End, just minutes from Church Hill and downtown. This property offers a great opportunity for a buyer to add their personal touch and build equity. The home features a traditional layout with spacious living areas, abundant natural light, and generously sized bedrooms. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space, and the home provides solid functionality throughout. Situated on a corner lot with outdoor space and off-street parking potential. Updates needed, this home is ideal for a primary residence or investment property. Conveniently located near major highways, local amenities, and downtown Richmond. Sold as-is.

  15. 2026-03-18
    listed $249,999 Active 675-char remark
    Show marketing remark (675 chars)

    Charming two-story home located in Richmond’s East End, just minutes from Church Hill and downtown. This property offers a great opportunity for a buyer to add their personal touch and build equity. The home features a traditional layout with spacious living areas, abundant natural light, and generously sized bedrooms. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space, and the home provides solid functionality throughout. Situated on a corner lot with outdoor space and off-street parking potential. Updates needed, this home is ideal for a primary residence or investment property. Conveniently located near major highways, local amenities, and downtown Richmond. Sold as-is.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,352 · $196/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,352 · $196/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,071
− Mortgage interest
−$13,444
− Property taxes
−$2,352
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,006
− Management
−$2,006
− Depreciation
−$6,982
Taxable loss
−$2,918
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$700
After-tax cash flow
$1,851/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richmond City Public School District
NCES district ID
5103240
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$40,276
Composite
33.09/100
National rank
#5564
State rank
#123 of 131 in VA

Livability — Richmond

Score
84/100
State rank
#33
US rank
#793

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime D- Employment C Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Richmond, VA
County
Henrico County · 334,490 people
City population
287,109
Metro
Richmond, VA
Population (ZIP)
54,659
Household income
$55,731
Rent vs Own
56.2% rent · 43.8% own
Severe rent burden
3530.0

Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
262,263 people
By 2030
284,503 · +8.5%
By 2040
327,353 · +24.8%
By 2050
367,946 · +40.3%
By 2075
449,560 · +71.4%
By 2100
500,301 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 19% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Richmond

2024 margin
Solid D (+66.3) · D 82.0% · R 15.8% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
+7.2pp toward D · 2008: 59.1pp · 2024: 66.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+66.3 2020: D+68.0 2016: D+63.8 2012: D+55.7 2008: D+59.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -257.81%
Current HPI
324.0589
Rent YoY
▲ 6.38%
Metro
Richmond, VA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $239,999 CVRMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $249,999 CVRMLS

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2022): $2,352 · +38331.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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