16 North St · Madison, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Schools +6.6/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$154,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Escape to the Connecticut shoreline with this beautifully maintained seasonal cottage in Dud's Village in Madison-the perfect summer retreat just minutes from the beach. Located less than one mile from Hammonasset Beach State Park, Connecticut's largest shoreline park, this charming getaway offers effortless access to two miles of sandy beaches, scenic walking and biking trails, and endless summer activities. Residents of Dud's Village also enjoy a private path that leads directly to the beach, making spontaneous sunset walks and beach days part of everyday life. This fully furnished, move-in-ready cottage has been thoughtfully maintained and cared for, allowing you to start enjoying the season immediately. The cozy interior includes one bedroom with built-in storage, a nicely stocked kitchen, a sleeper sofa for additional guests, a remodeled bathroom with a fresh modern feel, and the added convenience of an in-unit washer and dryer. Step outside to your spacious wrap-around deck, designed for relaxed coastal living and easy entertaining. The outdoor space comes complete with a grill, tabletop firepit, and patio seating, creating the perfect setting for summer evenings, morning coffee, or gathering with friends after a day at the beach.
Key facts
- Remodeled bathroom
- 2,178 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $154k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $489 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $154k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Madison School District (suburban): math 69% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #10 of 153 in CT (top 6%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 3% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $130k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.62%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $192,302
- List price
- $154,000
- Delta
- -19.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 1st St | 0.07mi | 1/1.0 | 470 (-1%) | 9mo | $187,000 | $398 | 87 |
| 48 East St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 480 (+1%) | 9mo | $182,000 | $379 | 82 |
| 25 1st St | 0.09mi | 1/1.0 | 468 (-2%) | 22mo | $185,000 | $395 | 75 |
| 73 South St | 0.07mi | 1/1.0 | 523 (+10%) | 7mo | $135,000 | $258 | 74 |
| 20 First St | 0.07mi | 1/1.0 | 410 (-14%) | 9mo | $141,500 | $345 | 66 |
| 9 Third St | 0.10mi | 1/1.0 | 520 (+9%) | 22mo | $185,400 | $357 | 62 |
| 133 W Main St Trlr C6 | 0.69mi | 1/1.0 | 520 (+9%) | 6mo | $13,000 | $25 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $6,247
- Equity at exit
- $22,962
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $45,699
- Equity at exit
- $13,315
Cash invested: $43,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06443
- Active inventory
- 105
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,967 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$808
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$192 /mo · $2,310/yr
- Insurance
- −$64
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$413
- Net cashflow
- $489
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,500
- Closing costs
- $4,620
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $154,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $154,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $154,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $154,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $154,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $154,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $154,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $154,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $154,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $154,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $154,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $154,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $154,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $154,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-04-01$154,000 Active 1256-char remark
Show marketing remark (1256 chars)
Escape to the Connecticut shoreline with this beautifully maintained seasonal cottage in Dud's Village in Madison-the perfect summer retreat just minutes from the beach. Located less than one mile from Hammonasset Beach State Park, Connecticut's largest shoreline park, this charming getaway offers effortless access to two miles of sandy beaches, scenic walking and biking trails, and endless summer activities. Residents of Dud's Village also enjoy a private path that leads directly to the beach, making spontaneous sunset walks and beach days part of everyday life. This fully furnished, move-in-ready cottage has been thoughtfully maintained and cared for, allowing you to start enjoying the season immediately. The cozy interior includes one bedroom with built-in storage, a nicely stocked kitchen, a sleeper sofa for additional guests, a remodeled bathroom with a fresh modern feel, and the added convenience of an in-unit washer and dryer. Step outside to your spacious wrap-around deck, designed for relaxed coastal living and easy entertaining. The outdoor space comes complete with a grill, tabletop firepit, and patio seating, creating the perfect setting for summer evenings, morning coffee, or gathering with friends after a day at the beach.
-
2025-10-17soldstatus $130,000 Closed 1489-char remark
Show marketing remark (1489 chars)
If you're dreaming of summers by the shoreline, this charming cottage in Dud's Village, Madison, offers the perfect seasonal escape. Less than a mile from Hammonasset Beach State Park-Connecticut's largest shoreline park-this move-in-ready cottage offers easy access to two miles of sandy beaches, scenic walking and biking paths, and endless outdoor activities. A private path from the village leads directly to the beach. Dud's Village is a seasonal community of well-kept cottages open from April 1 to October 31, ideal for those seeking a cozy, low-maintenance getaway. The village's friendly, close-knit atmosphere adds to its charm, all just minutes from downtown Madison's shops, dining, and attractions. The cottage comes fully furnished, including a sleeper sofa that accommodates two, and is equipped with a washer and dryer for added convenience. It also features a remodeled bathroom for a fresh, modern feel. Outdoors, enjoy a gas fireplace, grill, two patio sets, and a spacious wrap-around deck perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Additional highlights include proximity to Mohegan Sun Casino (just 35 miles away) and a low-maintenance lifestyle. The property is on a land lease with an annual lease of $5,200, and yearly taxes are $2,044. A cash purchase is required for the land lease structure. Buyers must be approved by the landowner, and rentals are not permitted per community rules. Visit the Dud's Village website for details. Whether you're after beach days,
-
2025-09-22status Under Contract 1489-char remark
Show marketing remark (1489 chars)
If you're dreaming of summers by the shoreline, this charming cottage in Dud's Village, Madison, offers the perfect seasonal escape. Less than a mile from Hammonasset Beach State Park-Connecticut's largest shoreline park-this move-in-ready cottage offers easy access to two miles of sandy beaches, scenic walking and biking paths, and endless outdoor activities. A private path from the village leads directly to the beach. Dud's Village is a seasonal community of well-kept cottages open from April 1 to October 31, ideal for those seeking a cozy, low-maintenance getaway. The village's friendly, close-knit atmosphere adds to its charm, all just minutes from downtown Madison's shops, dining, and attractions. The cottage comes fully furnished, including a sleeper sofa that accommodates two, and is equipped with a washer and dryer for added convenience. It also features a remodeled bathroom for a fresh, modern feel. Outdoors, enjoy a gas fireplace, grill, two patio sets, and a spacious wrap-around deck perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Additional highlights include proximity to Mohegan Sun Casino (just 35 miles away) and a low-maintenance lifestyle. The property is on a land lease with an annual lease of $5,200, and yearly taxes are $2,044. A cash purchase is required for the land lease structure. Buyers must be approved by the landowner, and rentals are not permitted per community rules. Visit the Dud's Village website for details. Whether you're after beach days,
-
2025-08-26status Active 1489-char remark
Show marketing remark (1489 chars)
If you're dreaming of summers by the shoreline, this charming cottage in Dud's Village, Madison, offers the perfect seasonal escape. Less than a mile from Hammonasset Beach State Park-Connecticut's largest shoreline park-this move-in-ready cottage offers easy access to two miles of sandy beaches, scenic walking and biking paths, and endless outdoor activities. A private path from the village leads directly to the beach. Dud's Village is a seasonal community of well-kept cottages open from April 1 to October 31, ideal for those seeking a cozy, low-maintenance getaway. The village's friendly, close-knit atmosphere adds to its charm, all just minutes from downtown Madison's shops, dining, and attractions. The cottage comes fully furnished, including a sleeper sofa that accommodates two, and is equipped with a washer and dryer for added convenience. It also features a remodeled bathroom for a fresh, modern feel. Outdoors, enjoy a gas fireplace, grill, two patio sets, and a spacious wrap-around deck perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Additional highlights include proximity to Mohegan Sun Casino (just 35 miles away) and a low-maintenance lifestyle. The property is on a land lease with an annual lease of $5,200, and yearly taxes are $2,044. A cash purchase is required for the land lease structure. Buyers must be approved by the landowner, and rentals are not permitted per community rules. Visit the Dud's Village website for details. Whether you're after beach days,
-
2025-08-07historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 1489-char remark
Show marketing remark (1489 chars)
If you're dreaming of summers by the shoreline, this charming cottage in Dud's Village, Madison, offers the perfect seasonal escape. Less than a mile from Hammonasset Beach State Park-Connecticut's largest shoreline park-this move-in-ready cottage offers easy access to two miles of sandy beaches, scenic walking and biking paths, and endless outdoor activities. A private path from the village leads directly to the beach. Dud's Village is a seasonal community of well-kept cottages open from April 1 to October 31, ideal for those seeking a cozy, low-maintenance getaway. The village's friendly, close-knit atmosphere adds to its charm, all just minutes from downtown Madison's shops, dining, and attractions. The cottage comes fully furnished, including a sleeper sofa that accommodates two, and is equipped with a washer and dryer for added convenience. It also features a remodeled bathroom for a fresh, modern feel. Outdoors, enjoy a gas fireplace, grill, two patio sets, and a spacious wrap-around deck perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Additional highlights include proximity to Mohegan Sun Casino (just 35 miles away) and a low-maintenance lifestyle. The property is on a land lease with an annual lease of $5,200, and yearly taxes are $2,044. A cash purchase is required for the land lease structure. Buyers must be approved by the landowner, and rentals are not permitted per community rules. Visit the Dud's Village website for details. Whether you're after beach days,
-
2025-06-19price $140,000 1489-char remark
Show marketing remark (1489 chars)
If you're dreaming of summers by the shoreline, this charming cottage in Dud's Village, Madison, offers the perfect seasonal escape. Less than a mile from Hammonasset Beach State Park-Connecticut's largest shoreline park-this move-in-ready cottage offers easy access to two miles of sandy beaches, scenic walking and biking paths, and endless outdoor activities. A private path from the village leads directly to the beach. Dud's Village is a seasonal community of well-kept cottages open from April 1 to October 31, ideal for those seeking a cozy, low-maintenance getaway. The village's friendly, close-knit atmosphere adds to its charm, all just minutes from downtown Madison's shops, dining, and attractions. The cottage comes fully furnished, including a sleeper sofa that accommodates two, and is equipped with a washer and dryer for added convenience. It also features a remodeled bathroom for a fresh, modern feel. Outdoors, enjoy a gas fireplace, grill, two patio sets, and a spacious wrap-around deck perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Additional highlights include proximity to Mohegan Sun Casino (just 35 miles away) and a low-maintenance lifestyle. The property is on a land lease with an annual lease of $5,200, and yearly taxes are $2,044. A cash purchase is required for the land lease structure. Buyers must be approved by the landowner, and rentals are not permitted per community rules. Visit the Dud's Village website for details. Whether you're after beach days,
-
2025-05-21$150,000 Active 1489-char remark
Show marketing remark (1489 chars)
If you're dreaming of summers by the shoreline, this charming cottage in Dud's Village, Madison, offers the perfect seasonal escape. Less than a mile from Hammonasset Beach State Park-Connecticut's largest shoreline park-this move-in-ready cottage offers easy access to two miles of sandy beaches, scenic walking and biking paths, and endless outdoor activities. A private path from the village leads directly to the beach. Dud's Village is a seasonal community of well-kept cottages open from April 1 to October 31, ideal for those seeking a cozy, low-maintenance getaway. The village's friendly, close-knit atmosphere adds to its charm, all just minutes from downtown Madison's shops, dining, and attractions. The cottage comes fully furnished, including a sleeper sofa that accommodates two, and is equipped with a washer and dryer for added convenience. It also features a remodeled bathroom for a fresh, modern feel. Outdoors, enjoy a gas fireplace, grill, two patio sets, and a spacious wrap-around deck perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Additional highlights include proximity to Mohegan Sun Casino (just 35 miles away) and a low-maintenance lifestyle. The property is on a land lease with an annual lease of $5,200, and yearly taxes are $2,044. A cash purchase is required for the land lease structure. Buyers must be approved by the landowner, and rentals are not permitted per community rules. Visit the Dud's Village website for details. Whether you're after beach days,
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,626
- − Property taxes
- −$2,310
- − Insurance
- −$770
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,888
- − Management
- −$1,888
- − Depreciation
- −$4,480
- Taxable income
- $3,638
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$873
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,000/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This charming, well-maintained seasonal cottage in Dud's Village, Madison, offers a perfect summer retreat with easy access to Hammonasset Beach State Park. The property is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed.
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
- Both replace outdoor furniture — Fresh outdoor furniture can attract more potential buyers or renters
- Both upgrade the air conditioning unit — Modernizing the HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both replace outdoor furniture — Fresh outdoor furniture can attract more potential buyers or renters ↑
- Both upgrade the air conditioning unit — Modernizing the HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison School District
- NCES district ID
- 0902280
- Math proficiency
- 69% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 75% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $103,788
- Composite
- 66.15/100
- National rank
- #435
- State rank
- #10 of 153 in CT
Livability — Madison
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,577
Population outlook (South Central Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 608,362
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 5% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · South Central Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.0% · R 38.9% · Other 2.1%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -375.58%
- Current HPI
- 242.8467
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
|
||
Price history
+2.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Listed $154,000 Smart MLS
- 2025-10-17 Sold (MLS) $130,000 Smart MLS
- 2025-09-22 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2025-08-26 Relisted — Smart MLS
- 2025-08-07 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2025-06-19 Price Changed $140,000 Smart MLS
- 2025-05-21 Listed $150,000 Smart MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…