🏷️ Likely Rental
191 Stockbridge Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$127,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 191 Stockbridge Avenue, a well-maintained home located in the City of Buffalo! This property features four bedrooms, one full bath, a comfortable living room, and a formal dining room, offering plenty of room for everyday living. The home also includes a full basement, providing additional storage or potential for future finishing. Currently rented for $1,380 per month to a long-term tenant, this property offers steady income and strong investment potential. It’s also a great option for an owner-occupant looking to build equity while enjoying affordable living. With solid mechanics and convenient access to shopping, public transportation, schools, and major routes, this property is a smart choice for any buyer. Don’t miss the opportunity to own this affordable, income-producing home Seller will provide the existing survey with an affidavit of no change and a 40-year search on the note.
Key facts
- 3,570 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 3 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $128k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $539 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $128k).
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 237 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $884 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $43k; list at $128k implies a 197% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.06%
- DSCR
- 1.80
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $199,312
- List price
- $127,900
- Delta
- -35.83%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37 Elmer Ave | 0.32mi | 4/1.0 | 1,327 (-2%) | 0mo | $170,000 | $128 | 81 |
| 153 Stockbridge Ave | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-8%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $120 | 75 |
| 14 Thornton Ave | 0.17mi | 4/2.0 | 1,445 (+6%) | 4mo | $239,900 | $166 | 74 |
| 461 Stockbridge Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,336 (-2%) | 4mo | $96,500 | $72 | 70 |
| 84 Elmer Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,510 (+11%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $83 | 65 |
| 496 Berkshire Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,266 (-7%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $99 | 62 |
| 148 Rounds Ave | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 | 1,389 (+2%) | 5mo | $155,000 | $112 | 60 |
| 622 Lasalle Ave | 0.57mi | 4/1.0 | 1,258 (-8%) | 3mo | $115,000 | $91 | 59 |
| 59 Martha Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,282 (-6%) | 1mo | $149,000 | $116 | 55 |
| 601 Lasalle Ave | 0.52mi | 4/1.0 | 1,188 (-13%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $139 | 53 |
| 347 Lisbon Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,558 (+14%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $116 | 47 |
| 597 Norfolk Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,490 (+10%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $107 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $9,810
- Equity at exit
- $19,070
- IRR
- 14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $37,880
- Equity at exit
- $11,058
Cash invested: $35,812 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14215
- Home prices YoY
- -30.0%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 237
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,631 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$671
- Tax from tax record
- −$25 /mo · $303/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$342
- Net cashflow
- $539
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,975
- Closing costs
- $3,837
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 140 Parkridge Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,500 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 263 Minnesota Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1242 | $1,500 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 265 Lisbon Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 222 Lisbon Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 222 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 97 Davidson Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,495 | $1.62 | 1d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 89 Lasalle Ave Buffalo, NY | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1024 | $2,997 | $2.93 | 1d | 10 | 0.55mi |
| 189 Westminster Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1065 | $1,595 | $1.50 | 10d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 65 Northrup Pl Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $2,500 | $1.70 | 14d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 60 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,650 | $1.18 | 1d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 74 Dorris Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 76 Vernon Pl Unit Lower Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,445 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 76 Vernon Pl Unit Upper Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,595 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 163 Carmel Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 91 Springville Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1660 | $2,350 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $127,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $127,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $127,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $127,900 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $127,900 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $127,900 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $127,900 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $127,900 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $127,900 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $127,900 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $127,900 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $127,900 Active 211 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $127,900 Active 210 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $127,900 Active 209 DOM
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2026-04-16price $127,900 924-char remark
Show marketing remark (924 chars)
Welcome to 191 Stockbridge Avenue, a well-maintained home located in the City of Buffalo! This property features four bedrooms, one full bath, a comfortable living room, and a formal dining room, offering plenty of room for everyday living. The home also includes a full basement, providing additional storage or potential for future finishing. Currently rented for $1,380 per month to a long-term tenant, this property offers steady income and strong investment potential. It’s also a great option for an owner-occupant looking to build equity while enjoying affordable living. With solid mechanics and convenient access to shopping, public transportation, schools, and major routes, this property is a smart choice for any buyer. Don’t miss the opportunity to own this affordable, income-producing home Seller will provide the existing survey with an affidavit of no change and a 40-year search on the note.
-
2026-02-21price $128,400 924-char remark
Show marketing remark (924 chars)
Welcome to 191 Stockbridge Avenue, a well-maintained home located in the City of Buffalo! This property features four bedrooms, one full bath, a comfortable living room, and a formal dining room, offering plenty of room for everyday living. The home also includes a full basement, providing additional storage or potential for future finishing. Currently rented for $1,380 per month to a long-term tenant, this property offers steady income and strong investment potential. It’s also a great option for an owner-occupant looking to build equity while enjoying affordable living. With solid mechanics and convenient access to shopping, public transportation, schools, and major routes, this property is a smart choice for any buyer. Don’t miss the opportunity to own this affordable, income-producing home Seller will provide the existing survey with an affidavit of no change and a 40-year search on the note.
-
2026-01-03price $128,900 924-char remark
Show marketing remark (924 chars)
Welcome to 191 Stockbridge Avenue, a well-maintained home located in the City of Buffalo! This property features four bedrooms, one full bath, a comfortable living room, and a formal dining room, offering plenty of room for everyday living. The home also includes a full basement, providing additional storage or potential for future finishing. Currently rented for $1,380 per month to a long-term tenant, this property offers steady income and strong investment potential. It’s also a great option for an owner-occupant looking to build equity while enjoying affordable living. With solid mechanics and convenient access to shopping, public transportation, schools, and major routes, this property is a smart choice for any buyer. Don’t miss the opportunity to own this affordable, income-producing home Seller will provide the existing survey with an affidavit of no change and a 40-year search on the note.
-
2025-11-11price $129,900 924-char remark
Show marketing remark (924 chars)
Welcome to 191 Stockbridge Avenue, a well-maintained home located in the City of Buffalo! This property features four bedrooms, one full bath, a comfortable living room, and a formal dining room, offering plenty of room for everyday living. The home also includes a full basement, providing additional storage or potential for future finishing. Currently rented for $1,380 per month to a long-term tenant, this property offers steady income and strong investment potential. It’s also a great option for an owner-occupant looking to build equity while enjoying affordable living. With solid mechanics and convenient access to shopping, public transportation, schools, and major routes, this property is a smart choice for any buyer. Don’t miss the opportunity to own this affordable, income-producing home Seller will provide the existing survey with an affidavit of no change and a 40-year search on the note.
-
2025-11-03$144,900 Active 924-char remark
Show marketing remark (924 chars)
Welcome to 191 Stockbridge Avenue, a well-maintained home located in the City of Buffalo! This property features four bedrooms, one full bath, a comfortable living room, and a formal dining room, offering plenty of room for everyday living. The home also includes a full basement, providing additional storage or potential for future finishing. Currently rented for $1,380 per month to a long-term tenant, this property offers steady income and strong investment potential. It’s also a great option for an owner-occupant looking to build equity while enjoying affordable living. With solid mechanics and convenient access to shopping, public transportation, schools, and major routes, this property is a smart choice for any buyer. Don’t miss the opportunity to own this affordable, income-producing home Seller will provide the existing survey with an affidavit of no change and a 40-year search on the note.
-
2015-12-22soldstatus $43,000
-
1995-07-14soldstatus $36,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $303 · $25/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,232 · $103/mo
- Expected delta
- +$929/yr (+$77/mo · 307.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,568
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,164
- − Property taxes
- −$303
- − Insurance
- −$640
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,565
- − Management
- −$1,565
- − Depreciation
- −$3,721
- Taxable income
- $4,610
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,106
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,362/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,524
- Household income
- $44,955
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2873.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 67% White 15% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -126.29%
- Current HPI
- 295.2966
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.67%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+255.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $127,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-02-21 Price Changed $128,400 WNYREIS
- 2026-01-03 Price Changed $128,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-11-11 Price Changed $129,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-11-03 Listed $144,900 WNYREIS
- 2015-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
- 1995-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $303 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…