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191 Stockbridge Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 75.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$127,900

191 Stockbridge Ave · Buffalo, NY 14215
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,361 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1920 3,570 sqft lot $94/sqft · 36% below area Est $199k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 191 Stockbridge Avenue, a well-maintained home located in the City of Buffalo! This property features four bedrooms, one full bath, a comfortable living room, and a formal dining room, offering plenty of room for everyday living. The home also includes a full basement, providing additional storage or potential for future finishing. Currently rented for $1,380 per month to a long-term tenant, this property offers steady income and strong investment potential. It’s also a great option for an owner-occupant looking to build equity while enjoying affordable living. With solid mechanics and convenient access to shopping, public transportation, schools, and major routes, this property is a smart choice for any buyer. Don’t miss the opportunity to own this affordable, income-producing home Seller will provide the existing survey with an affidavit of no change and a 40-year search on the note.

Key facts

  • 3,570 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 3 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $127,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$199,312) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $128k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $539 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $128k).
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 237 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $884 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $43k; list at $128k implies a 197% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $127,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
11.35%
Cash-on-cash
18.06%
DSCR
1.80
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$199,312
List price
$127,900
Delta
-35.83%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
37 Elmer Ave 0.32mi 4/1.0 1,327 (-2%) 0mo $170,000 $128 81
153 Stockbridge Ave 0.07mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,248 (-8%) 3mo $150,000 $120 75
14 Thornton Ave 0.17mi 4/2.0 1,445 (+6%) 4mo $239,900 $166 74
461 Stockbridge Ave 0.39mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,336 (-2%) 4mo $96,500 $72 70
84 Elmer Ave 0.23mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,510 (+11%) 1mo $125,000 $83 65
496 Berkshire Ave 0.46mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,266 (-7%) 1mo $125,000 $99 62
148 Rounds Ave 0.70mi 4/1.0 1,389 (+2%) 5mo $155,000 $112 60
622 Lasalle Ave 0.57mi 4/1.0 1,258 (-8%) 3mo $115,000 $91 59
59 Martha Ave 0.63mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,282 (-6%) 1mo $149,000 $116 55
601 Lasalle Ave 0.52mi 4/1.0 1,188 (-13%) 1mo $165,000 $139 53
347 Lisbon Ave 0.41mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,558 (+14%) 3mo $180,000 $116 47
597 Norfolk Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,490 (+10%) 4mo $160,000 $107 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.2%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$9,810
Equity at exit
$19,070
10-year hold
IRR
14.6%
Equity multiple
2.06×
Total profit
$37,880
Equity at exit
$11,058

Cash invested: $35,812 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14215

Home prices YoY
-30.0%
Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
237
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,631 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$671
Tax from tax record
$25 /mo · $303/yr
Insurance
$53
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$342
Net cashflow
$539

Break-even live

Break-even rent $948
Max offer price $127,900
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,975
Closing costs
$3,837
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
140 Parkridge Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 990 $1,500 $1.52 43d 1 0.21mi
263 Minnesota Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1242 $1,500 $1.21 14d 1 0.36mi
265 Lisbon Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 43d 1 0.43mi
222 Lisbon Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,400 $1.00 43d 1 0.47mi
222 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,400 $1.08 23d 1 0.47mi
97 Davidson Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 925 $1,495 $1.62 1d 1 0.53mi
89 Lasalle Ave Buffalo, NY 1.0–4.0 1.0–4.0 1024 $2,997 $2.93 1d 10 0.55mi
189 Westminster Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.5 1065 $1,595 $1.50 10d 1 0.60mi
65 Northrup Pl Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 1467 $2,500 $1.70 14d 1 0.65mi
60 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,650 $1.18 1d 1 0.95mi
74 Dorris Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 43d 1 1.02mi
76 Vernon Pl Unit Lower Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1190 $1,445 $1.21 14d 1 1.18mi
76 Vernon Pl Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1190 $1,595 $1.34 14d 1 1.18mi
163 Carmel Rd Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,800 $1.29 2d 1 1.21mi
91 Springville Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 2.0 1660 $2,350 $1.42 23d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $127,900 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $127,900 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on marketlisting id $127,900 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $127,900 Active 224 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $127,900 Active 222 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $127,900 Active 221 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $127,900 Active 219 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $127,900 Active 218 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $127,900 Active 217 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $127,900 Active 216 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $127,900 Active 212 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $127,900 Active 211 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $127,900 Active 210 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $127,900 Active 209 DOM
  15. 2026-04-16
    price $127,900 924-char remark
    Show marketing remark (924 chars)

    Welcome to 191 Stockbridge Avenue, a well-maintained home located in the City of Buffalo! This property features four bedrooms, one full bath, a comfortable living room, and a formal dining room, offering plenty of room for everyday living. The home also includes a full basement, providing additional storage or potential for future finishing. Currently rented for $1,380 per month to a long-term tenant, this property offers steady income and strong investment potential. It’s also a great option for an owner-occupant looking to build equity while enjoying affordable living. With solid mechanics and convenient access to shopping, public transportation, schools, and major routes, this property is a smart choice for any buyer. Don’t miss the opportunity to own this affordable, income-producing home Seller will provide the existing survey with an affidavit of no change and a 40-year search on the note.

  16. 2026-02-21
    price $128,400 924-char remark
    Show marketing remark (924 chars)

    Welcome to 191 Stockbridge Avenue, a well-maintained home located in the City of Buffalo! This property features four bedrooms, one full bath, a comfortable living room, and a formal dining room, offering plenty of room for everyday living. The home also includes a full basement, providing additional storage or potential for future finishing. Currently rented for $1,380 per month to a long-term tenant, this property offers steady income and strong investment potential. It’s also a great option for an owner-occupant looking to build equity while enjoying affordable living. With solid mechanics and convenient access to shopping, public transportation, schools, and major routes, this property is a smart choice for any buyer. Don’t miss the opportunity to own this affordable, income-producing home Seller will provide the existing survey with an affidavit of no change and a 40-year search on the note.

  17. 2026-01-03
    price $128,900 924-char remark
    Show marketing remark (924 chars)

    Welcome to 191 Stockbridge Avenue, a well-maintained home located in the City of Buffalo! This property features four bedrooms, one full bath, a comfortable living room, and a formal dining room, offering plenty of room for everyday living. The home also includes a full basement, providing additional storage or potential for future finishing. Currently rented for $1,380 per month to a long-term tenant, this property offers steady income and strong investment potential. It’s also a great option for an owner-occupant looking to build equity while enjoying affordable living. With solid mechanics and convenient access to shopping, public transportation, schools, and major routes, this property is a smart choice for any buyer. Don’t miss the opportunity to own this affordable, income-producing home Seller will provide the existing survey with an affidavit of no change and a 40-year search on the note.

  18. 2025-11-11
    price $129,900 924-char remark
    Show marketing remark (924 chars)

    Welcome to 191 Stockbridge Avenue, a well-maintained home located in the City of Buffalo! This property features four bedrooms, one full bath, a comfortable living room, and a formal dining room, offering plenty of room for everyday living. The home also includes a full basement, providing additional storage or potential for future finishing. Currently rented for $1,380 per month to a long-term tenant, this property offers steady income and strong investment potential. It’s also a great option for an owner-occupant looking to build equity while enjoying affordable living. With solid mechanics and convenient access to shopping, public transportation, schools, and major routes, this property is a smart choice for any buyer. Don’t miss the opportunity to own this affordable, income-producing home Seller will provide the existing survey with an affidavit of no change and a 40-year search on the note.

  19. 2025-11-03
    listed $144,900 Active 924-char remark
    Show marketing remark (924 chars)

    Welcome to 191 Stockbridge Avenue, a well-maintained home located in the City of Buffalo! This property features four bedrooms, one full bath, a comfortable living room, and a formal dining room, offering plenty of room for everyday living. The home also includes a full basement, providing additional storage or potential for future finishing. Currently rented for $1,380 per month to a long-term tenant, this property offers steady income and strong investment potential. It’s also a great option for an owner-occupant looking to build equity while enjoying affordable living. With solid mechanics and convenient access to shopping, public transportation, schools, and major routes, this property is a smart choice for any buyer. Don’t miss the opportunity to own this affordable, income-producing home Seller will provide the existing survey with an affidavit of no change and a 40-year search on the note.

  20. 2015-12-22
    soldstatus $43,000
  21. 1995-07-14
    soldstatus $36,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$303 · $25/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,232 · $103/mo
Expected delta
+$929/yr (+$77/mo · 307.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,568
− Mortgage interest
−$7,164
− Property taxes
−$303
− Insurance
−$640
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,565
− Management
−$1,565
− Depreciation
−$3,721
Taxable income
$4,610
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,106
After-tax cash flow
$5,362/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
42,524
Household income
$44,955
Rent vs Own
50.0% rent · 50.0% own
Severe rent burden
2873.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (67%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 67% White 15% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -126.29%
Current HPI
295.2966
Rent YoY
▲ 0.67%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+255.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $127,900 WNYREIS
  • 2026-02-21 Price Changed $128,400 WNYREIS
  • 2026-01-03 Price Changed $128,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-11-11 Price Changed $129,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-11-03 Listed $144,900 WNYREIS
  • 2015-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
  • 1995-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $303 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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