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🌊 Lakefront
B- Composite 65.23
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.3/30.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$229,900

1201 Marseille Dr #17 · Miami Beach, FL 33141
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 589 sqft · Condo public records · 552 Days on market
Built 1946 $460/mo HOA · 14% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Walking distance to the beach, with a nice canal/bay view. Lots of closet storage space. Priced to sell, put your finishing touches. Seller Motivated!

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Porcelain floors
  • Corner unit

Tags

CORNER UNITINTERCOSTAL VIEWSPORCELAIN FLOORSQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESRAIN SHOWER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Pets allowed with restrictions
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $460; Association covers common areas, insurance, structural maintenance, and water; Community amenities include barbecue and picnic area

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Security: Complex fenced
  • Utilities: Water service included in association fee
  • Home design: Block construction; 1 story entry (property has 2 total stories); West-facing; Attached property
  • Construction: Block construction; Resale property; Builder model: 1/1 corner
  • Exterior features: Deck; Storm/security shutters; Complex is fenced; Intracoastal access (waterfront)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Blinds; Breakfast bar; Living/dining room; First floor entry; Main living area on entry level; Tub with shower

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $167 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $230k).
  • Recommended offer: $202k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 1.5% in Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#108 in FL, #1,672 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities D-, cost of living F.
  • Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 644 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,269/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 3521% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 552 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $91k; list at $230k implies a 153% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $202,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 552 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  10. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  11. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  12. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  13. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  14. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
9.39%
Cash-on-cash
11.07%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.44% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.5%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-34,248
Equity at exit
$34,279
10-year hold
IRR
-15.0%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-45,840
Equity at exit
$19,878

Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33141

Rents YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
644
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,269 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$227 /mo · $2,723/yr
Insurance
$96
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$460
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$686
Net cashflow
$167

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,057
Max offer price $229,900
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,475
Closing costs
$6,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$460 · $5,520/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 45 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $229,900 Active 552 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $229,900 Active 551 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $229,900 Active 550 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $229,900 Active 549 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $229,900 Active 547 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $229,900 Active 543 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $229,900 Active 542 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $229,900 Active 541 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $229,900 Active 538 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $229,900 Active 537 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $229,900 Active 536 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $229,900 Active 535 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $229,900 Active 534 DOM
  14. 2026-05-19
    price $229,900
  15. 2026-04-22
    price $219,900
  16. 2026-03-09
    status Active
  17. 2026-03-04
    historical Active Under Contract
  18. 2026-01-26
    price $209,900
  19. 2026-01-15
    price $219,900
  20. 2025-11-21
    price $225,000
  21. 2025-09-15
    price $229,900
  22. 2025-08-12
    price $239,900
  23. 2025-07-10
    price $245,000
  24. 2025-05-08
    status Active
  25. 2025-03-31
    status Pending
  26. 2025-01-23
    price $249,900
  27. 2025-01-14
    price $259,900
  28. 2024-12-04
    price $264,900
  29. 2024-11-12
    price $269,900
  30. 2024-11-05
    listed $279,900 Active
  31. 2022-09-29
    status Pending
  32. 2022-09-29
    historical
  33. 2022-08-11
    status Active
  34. 2022-05-06
    status Pending
  35. 2022-04-15
    price $259,900
  36. 2022-03-19
    status Active
  37. 2022-03-15
    historical Active Under Contract
  38. 2022-03-03
    listed $269,900 Active
  39. 2021-02-12
    soldstatus $91,000 Closed 150-char remark
    Show marketing remark (150 chars)

    Walking distance to the beach, with a nice canal/bay view. Lots of closet storage space. Priced to sell, put your finishing touches. Seller Motivated!

  40. 2021-01-04
    historical Active Under Contract 150-char remark
    Show marketing remark (150 chars)

    Walking distance to the beach, with a nice canal/bay view. Lots of closet storage space. Priced to sell, put your finishing touches. Seller Motivated!

  41. 2020-12-21
    price $134,900 150-char remark
    Show marketing remark (150 chars)

    Walking distance to the beach, with a nice canal/bay view. Lots of closet storage space. Priced to sell, put your finishing touches. Seller Motivated!

  42. 2020-11-09
    listed $155,000 Active 150-char remark
    Show marketing remark (150 chars)

    Walking distance to the beach, with a nice canal/bay view. Lots of closet storage space. Priced to sell, put your finishing touches. Seller Motivated!

  43. 2001-02-27
    soldstatus $50,000
  44. 1992-04-30
    soldstatus $30,000
  45. 1989-01-26
    soldstatus $15,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,723 · $227/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,723 · $227/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,223
− Mortgage interest
−$12,878
− Property taxes
−$2,723
− Insurance
−$6,268
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,138
− Management
−$3,138
− HOA
−$5,520
− Depreciation
−$6,688
Taxable loss
−$1,129
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$271
After-tax cash flow
$2,279/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Miami-Dade
NCES district ID
1200390
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,928
Composite
41.76/100
National rank
#3397
State rank
#40 of 73 in FL

Livability — Miami Beach

Score
80/100
State rank
#108
US rank
#1672

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment B Housing C- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Miami Beach, FL
County
Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
City population
90,533
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
36,438
Household income
$68,738
Rent vs Own
62.5% rent · 37.5% own
Severe rent burden
3521.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,126,439 people
By 2030
3,325,765 · +6.4%
By 2040
3,697,561 · +18.3%
By 2050
4,012,134 · +28.3%
By 2075
4,605,612 · +47.3%
By 2100
4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (67%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 67% Two or more races 36% White 20% Black 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 27% Salvadoran 6%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2% Armenian 1%
Foreign-born
62% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
18% English-only · Spanish 69% Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

2024 margin
R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -472.71%
Current HPI
336.7298
Rent YoY
▲ 0.44%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1383.2% since first listed
32 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $229,900 MARMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $219,900 MARMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Relisted MARMLS
  • 2026-03-04 Contingent MARMLS
  • 2026-01-26 Price Changed $209,900 MARMLS
  • 2026-01-15 Price Changed $219,900 MARMLS
  • 2025-11-21 Price Changed $225,000 MARMLS
  • 2025-09-15 Price Changed $229,900 MARMLS
  • 2025-08-12 Price Changed $239,900 MARMLS
  • 2025-07-10 Price Changed $245,000 MARMLS
  • 2025-05-08 Relisted MARMLS
  • 2025-03-31 Pending MARMLS
  • 2025-01-23 Price Changed $249,900 MARMLS
  • 2025-01-14 Price Changed $259,900 MARMLS
  • 2024-12-04 Price Changed $264,900 MARMLS
  • 2024-11-12 Price Changed $269,900 MARMLS
  • 2024-11-05 Listed $279,900 MARMLS
  • 2022-09-29 Pending MARMLS
  • 2022-09-29 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2022-08-11 Relisted MARMLS
  • 2022-05-06 Pending MARMLS
  • 2022-04-15 Price Changed $259,900 MARMLS
  • 2022-03-19 Relisted MARMLS
  • 2022-03-15 Contingent MARMLS
  • 2022-03-03 Listed $269,900 MARMLS
  • 2021-02-12 Sold (MLS) $91,000 MARMLS
  • 2021-01-04 Contingent MARMLS
  • 2020-12-21 Price Changed $134,900 MARMLS
  • 2020-11-09 Listed $155,000 MARMLS
  • 2001-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 1992-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 1989-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $15,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+17.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,723 · -16.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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