15 S 1st St Unit A505 · Minneapolis, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.2/30.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$146,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Vibrancy of living in downtown! Minneapolis! Massive gated landscaped courtyard w/8 maintained gas grills, 80' outdoor pool, private outdoor tennis courts, 2 fitness centers, M & W sauna, rooftop patio, party room w/ full kitchen, library. 24 hr onsite maintenance and security. Cross street to 8 miles of skyway, Steps to river pkwy, Guthrie, restaurants, Vikings Stadium. Heated secure underground pkg avail for $95/mo via waiting list. Adjacent studio also for sale potential 2 bed floor plan.
Key facts
- Outdoor pool
- Rooftop deck
- Skyline views
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Shared building amenities include laundry, coin-op laundry, and multiple community spaces
- HOA & community: HOA managed by Sudler Management; Monthly association fee; Association amenities include: controlled access, elevator(s), lobby entrance, patio, tennis courts, trails, car wash, in-ground sprinkler system, common garden, and shared amenities; Association covers air conditioning, gas, heating, hazard insurance, lawn care, grounds maintenance, professional management, sewer, snow removal and water
Exterior
- Parking: Heated underground parking; Additional onsite parking available for a fee; Secured parking and open parking options
- Security: 24-hour guard; Controlled access / secured building
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
- Home design: Attached residential unit; One-story living; Main-level entry
- Construction: Other foundation type
- Exterior features: Stone exterior; Shared below-ground heated pool; Exercise room in building; Shared community rooms including amusement/party room, business center, community room, and guest suite
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (approx. 7.7 x 11.4)
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level (approx. 10.10 x 16.2)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Accessible features including 36+ inch doors, 42+ inch hallways, grab bars in bathroom, no internal or external stairs, and an accessible elevator
- Laundry & utility: Shared laundry / coin-op laundry available in the building
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $146k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $25 ($298/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $146k).
- Recommended offer: $144k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.1% in Minneapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#110 in MN, #2,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
- Minneapolis Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #217 of 301 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $398 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-611 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
- Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-0.4% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($144k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.73%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.42% appreciation · 5.49% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $36
- Equity at exit
- $39,366
- IRR
- 8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.03×
- Total profit
- $42,032
- Equity at exit
- $44,966
Cash invested: $40,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 34 Tenant-Leaning
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Minneapolis
- 34 Tenant-Leaning · D+50
ZIP-level market 55401
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 160
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,023 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$766
- Tax from tax record
- −$166 /mo · $1,993/yr
- Insurance
- −$61
- HOA
- −$581
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$425
- Net cashflow
- $25
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,500
- Closing costs
- $4,380
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 S Marquette Ave Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 970 | $1,516 | $1.56 | 2d | 12 | 0.05mi |
| 120 Hennepin Ave Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 960 | $2,590 | $2.70 | 7d | 10 | 0.08mi |
| 115 2nd Ave S Minneapolis, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 508 | $1,371 | $2.70 | 2d | 15 | 0.12mi |
| 222 Hennepin Ave Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 994 | $2,040 | $2.05 | 1d | 12 | 0.17mi |
| 110 N 1st St Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 885 | $1,719 | $1.94 | 2d | 20 | 0.17mi |
| 120 N 2nd St Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1039 | $1,591 | $1.53 | 1d | 19 | 0.20mi |
| 270 Hennepin Ave Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1505 | $4,088 | $2.72 | 2d | 54 | 0.23mi |
| 313 Washington Ave S Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 836 | $2,288 | $2.73 | 2d | 9 | 0.27mi |
| 365 Nicollet Mall Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1656 | $4,363 | $2.63 | 2d | 33 | 0.28mi |
| 400 Marquette Ave Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1103 | $2,905 | $2.63 | 1d | 14 | 0.31mi |
| 316 N 2nd St Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 795 | $1,417 | $1.78 | 2d | 10 | 0.33mi |
| 465 Nicollet Mall Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1153 | $3,030 | $2.63 | 1d | 14 | 0.34mi |
| 360 1st St N Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 889 | $1,834 | $2.06 | 2d | 11 | 0.35mi |
| 101 S 5th St Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1249 | $2,289 | $1.83 | 2d | 35 | 0.38mi |
| 401 N 1st St Minneapolis, MN | — | 1.0 | 531 | $1,282 | $2.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 337 N Washington Ave Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 796 | $2,114 | $2.65 | 1d | 30 | 0.42mi |
| 250 Portland Ave Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $1,950 | $2.16 | 2d | 11 | 0.44mi |
| 225 Portland Ave Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 837 | $2,410 | $2.88 | 2d | 70 | 0.46mi |
| 608 2nd Ave S Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 999 | $1,823 | $1.82 | 2d | 34 | 0.48mi |
| 511 S 4th St Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 882 | $2,215 | $2.51 | 2d | 11 | 0.48mi |
| 432 N 1st St Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1067 | $1,395 | $1.31 | 2d | 6 | 0.50mi |
| 240 Park Ave Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1047 | $2,075 | $1.98 | 2d | 2 | 0.51mi |
| 205 Park Ave Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 859 | $1,809 | $2.11 | 7d | 5 | 0.52mi |
| 360 N 5th Ave Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1185 | $4,452 | $3.75 | 2d | 85 | 0.52mi |
| 528 Washington Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 543 | $2,629 | $4.84 | 2d | 18 | 0.52mi |
| 600 5th Ave S Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 915 | $1,440 | $1.57 | 1d | 9 | 0.56mi |
| 240 Chicago Ave Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 825 | $2,164 | $2.62 | 1d | 11 | 0.59mi |
| 700 S 4th St Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 897 | $2,688 | $2.99 | 1d | 26 | 0.59mi |
| 616 N Washington Ave Unit 1014635P Minneapolis, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $4,168 | $5.62 | 7d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 616 N Washington Ave Unit 1014633P Minneapolis, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $3,776 | $5.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 607 N Washington Ave Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 845 | $1,855 | $2.20 | 2d | 4 | 0.60mi |
| 608 N 3rd St Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 746 | $2,446 | $3.28 | 1d | 64 | 0.60mi |
| 315 N 7th Ave Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 748 | $2,314 | $3.09 | 1d | 12 | 0.62mi |
| 811 Washington Ave S Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 862 | $1,660 | $1.93 | 19d | 9 | 0.62mi |
| 650 Portland Ave Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1104 | $2,825 | $2.56 | 2d | 18 | 0.63mi |
| 431 S 7th St #2610 Minneapolis, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 430 | $1,250 | $2.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 333 E Hennepin Ave Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 786 | $2,458 | $3.13 | 1d | 18 | 0.64mi |
| 431 S 7th St Minneapolis, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 430 | $1,250 | $2.91 | 10d | 2 | 0.65mi |
| 431 S 7th St Minneapolis, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 430 | $1,250 | $2.91 | 43d | 2 | 0.65mi |
| 200 University Ave SE Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1554 | $3,878 | $2.49 | 1d | 25 | 0.65mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $581 · $6,972/yr
- Likely covers
- gaspoolgymsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $146,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $146,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $146,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $146,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $146,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $146,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $146,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $146,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $146,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-03$146,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,993 · $166/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,993 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,279
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,178
- − Property taxes
- −$1,993
- − Insurance
- −$730
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,942
- − Management
- −$1,942
- − HOA
- −$6,972
- − Depreciation
- −$4,247
- Taxable loss
- −$1,726
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$414
- After-tax cash flow
- $712/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Minneapolis Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2721240
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,521
- Composite
- 34.92/100
- National rank
- #5067
- State rank
- #217 of 301 in MN
Livability — Minneapolis
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #110
- US rank
- #2525
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Minneapolis, MN
- County
- Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
- City population
- 417,555
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,816
- Household income
- $113,522
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 610.0
Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,405,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,492,650 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 1,660,157 · +18.1%
- By 2050
- 1,823,498 · +29.8%
- By 2075
- 2,221,283 · +58.1%
- By 2100
- 2,509,976 · +78.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Asian 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 10% Romanian 7% Lithuanian 5%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.42%
- Current HPI
- 233.936
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.49%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+32.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $146,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-05 Rental Removed $1,395 RMLSND
- 2024-07-19 Listed for Rent $1,395 RMLSND
- 2024-06-11 Rental Removed $1,395 RMLSND
- 2024-04-11 Listed for Rent $1,395 RMLSND
- 2018-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $157,000 Public Records
- 2018-10-26 Sold (MLS) $157,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-29 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-14 Listed $160,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1997-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,993 · +13.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…