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252 Dodge Ct
B- Composite 69.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

252 Dodge Ct · Sebewaing, MI 48759
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 32 Days on market
Built 1968 8,712 sqft lot Est $129k · 23% under ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 252 Dodge Ct. Nestled on a private drive in a quiet neighborhood. This cute home is located just outside the village of Sebewaing. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms with a large living room. In the backyard you will find a large cement patio great for gatherings or watching the sunrise. Amenities include city water and natural gas. Also including a small shed gives room for extra storage. New high efficiency furnace installed in February of 2025. This home is move in ready.

Key facts

  • Small shed
  • City water
  • Quiet private street

Tags

QUIET PRIVATE STREETLARGE CEMENT PATIOSMALL SHEDCITY WATERNATURAL GASALL APPLIANCES INCLUDED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Natural gas
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single-story
  • Construction: Built in 1968; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Aluminum exterior; Road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen approx. 9 x 12; Includes range/oven, microwave, refrigerator, dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level: 14 x 11, 12 x 11, and 8 (approx.)
  • Bathrooms: Two total bathrooms (one full); Main-level bath approx. 8 x 5 (lavatory area 7 x 6)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas fuel
  • Interior features: Open 1-story layout; Living room (22 x 14)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $279 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#205 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Unionville-Sebewaing Area S.D. (rural): math 34% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #212 of 540 in MI (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 67 units permitted in Huron County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Huron County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $96,903 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.65%
Cash-on-cash
11.97%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$129,024
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
930 E Pine St 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (+4%) 4mo $85,000 $71 63
113 Auch St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,071 (-7%) 9mo $120,000 $112 49
64 Auch St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,295 (+12%) 4mo $135,000 $104 47
345 Tenth St St 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,020 (-12%) 21mo $177,000 $174 40
77 Auch St 0.61mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,320 (+15%) 11mo $155,000 $117 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.4%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$1,551
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
11.0%
Equity multiple
1.86×
Total profit
$24,084
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48759

Home prices YoY
-7.7%
Active inventory
7
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,113 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $412/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$279

Break-even live

Break-even rent $759
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 32 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 31 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 30 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 29 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,900 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 23 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 22 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,900 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,900 Active 17 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 16 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 15 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 14 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 13 DOM
  16. 2026-05-22
    price $99,900
  17. 2026-05-17
    listed $109,900 Active
  18. 2026-05-12
    listed $109,900 Active 494-char remark
    Show marketing remark (494 chars)

    Welcome to 252 Dodge Ct. Nestled on a private drive in a quiet neighborhood. This cute home is located just outside the village of Sebewaing. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms with a large living room. In the backyard you will find a large cement patio great for gatherings or watching the sunrise. Amenities include city water and natural gas. Also including a small shed gives room for extra storage. New high efficiency furnace installed in February of 2025. This home is move in ready.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$412 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$975 · $81/mo
Expected delta
+$563/yr (+$47/mo · 136.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,352
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$412
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,068
− Management
−$1,068
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$1,802
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$432
After-tax cash flow
$2,917/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Unionville-Sebewaing Area S.D.
NCES district ID
2634440
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$46,715
Composite
34.14/100
National rank
#5280
State rank
#212 of 540 in MI

Livability — Sebewaing

Score
73/100
State rank
#205
US rank
#5193

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,439

Population outlook (Huron County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
29,325 people
By 2030
27,810 · -5.2%
By 2040
24,571 · -16.2%
By 2050
21,573 · -26.4%
By 2075
16,120 · -45.0%
By 2100
11,097 · -62.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Huron

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.6) · D 29.1% · R 69.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-40.2pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -40.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.6 2020: R+39.3 2016: R+38.2 2012: R+14.8 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -26.92%
Current HPI
321.0491
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-17 Listed $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $109,900 FSBO.com

Property tax history

-7.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $412 · -55.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…