814 Tilden St Unit STK · New York, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Cash flow +3.0/30.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Just imagine. .. with 10% down payment minimum. .. .owning your own, spacious, sunny, two bedroom Co-op on the first level of of 814 Tilden Street! This lovely unit has plenty of living space, closets and windows. Great for a first time purchaser. This well maintained building has a convenient laundry room, as well as a rentable storage unit. Easy access to everything. .. .public transportation just minutes away. The #2, and #5 subway trains, East Gun Hill Rd buses, the BXM11 Express Bus. Metro North and Major Highways, are close by. 24 hour Cherry Valley Marketplace, and Rite Aid are around the corner. Easy Access to Bay Plaza Mall, hospitals like Montefiore, Albert Einstein and Jacobi Med
Key facts
- Close to hospitals
- Laundry room
- Near entertainment
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association membership required; Association covers common area maintenance, exterior maintenance, grounds care, heat, snow removal and trash
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking; Other parking (waitlist); Has garage
- Utilities: Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
- Home design: Stock cooperative; Entry level: 1
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Ceiling fans; Elevator access; Accessible approach with ramp; Basement with walk-out access; Total of 4 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $160k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-519 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $150k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.2%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,559/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 10930% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 56% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 2.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- -13.90%
- DSCR
- 0.38
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.01×
- Total profit
- $-44,521
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-16,012
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10467
- Home prices YoY
- -32.8%
- Rents YoY
- 9.2%
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,559 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$200 /mo · $2,400/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$1,435
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$537
- Net cashflow
- $-519
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1250 Pelham Pkwy S Unit B Bronx, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $2,850 | $3.93 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $160,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $160,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $160,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $165,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-04-01$165,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,713
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$2,400
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,457
- − Management
- −$2,457
- − HOA
- −$17,220
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable loss
- −$8,238
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,977
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,248/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This well-maintained two-bedroom Co-op unit offers spacious living space and is conveniently located with easy access to public transportation and amenities. Minor repairs and updates to the interior walls and flooring would significantly enhance its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Paint — Some wear on interior walls
- Minor Flooring — Slight wear on hardwood flooring
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Refinish hardwood flooring — Refinished floors improve appearance and value
- Both Replace window treatments — New window treatments can increase curb appeal and interior aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Paint · Some wear on interior walls | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Flooring · Slight wear on hardwood flooring | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Refinish hardwood flooring — Refinished floors improve appearance and value ↑
- Both Replace window treatments — New window treatments can increase curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 96,421
- Household income
- $49,330
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10930.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 53% Black 28% Two or more races 11% White 9% Asian 6% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 16% Dominican 22%
- Foreign-born
- 39% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 41% English-only · Spanish 45% Other Indo-European 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.76%
- Current HPI
- 231.537
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.23%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Listed $165,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…