2110 Village Crossing Trl · Spring, TX 77373

$200,000

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,450 sqft · Townhouse public records · 14 Days on market

Built 2004 2,884 sqft lot Est $177k · 13% over

---

Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +20.8/30.0
• DSCR +6.6/10.0
• 1% rule +6.3/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.4/5.0
• Schools +2.0/10.0
• ARV discount +1.6/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

THERE'S NO PLACE LIKE HOME - This stylish, cozy townhome is nestled in a convenient and desirable location with a private back patio. The townhome comes complete with three spacious bedrooms, a welcoming kitchen/dining area, two and 1/2 bathrooms, 2 car garage, and retains the value of peaceful living while being conveniently close to shops, schools and the Woodlands. Affordable starter home or perfect investment opportunity. Come and see this great corner lot before it goes!

Key facts

• Wood vinyl floors
• Spacious living room
• Garage

Tags

• SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM
• WOOD VINYL FLOORS
• ENERGY EFFICIENT HOME
• BEAUTIFULLY LANDSCAPED YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: 2-car garage (total 2 parking spaces)
• Home design: Townhouse; Approximately 1,450 square feet
• Exterior features: Lot size approximately 2,884 sq ft

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $200k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $276 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
• Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.5% in Spring — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#635 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: schools C-, crime D, amenities F.
• Spring ISD (suburban): math 19% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #730 of 826 in TX (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 595 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 6 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $200,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.13% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.95%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.91%
• DSCR: 1.26
• GRM: 7.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $176,900
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
23621 Wildwood Green Way	0.07mi	3/2.5	1,440 (-1%)	13mo	$175,000	$122	85
23731 Pebworth Pl	0.20mi	3/2.5	1,564 (+8%)	21mo	$179,900	$115	60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -10.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.62×
• Total profit: $-21,349
• Equity at exit: $29,821

10-year hold

• IRR: -6.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.62×
• Total profit: $-21,125
• Equity at exit: $17,292

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77373

• Rents YoY: -0.3%
• Active inventory: 595
• Price-to-rent: 7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,263 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,049
• Tax from tax record: −$380 /mo · $4,557/yr
• Insurance: −$83
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$475
• Net cashflow: $276

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,914

Max offer price $200,000

Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $50,000
• Closing costs: $6,000
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 11 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $200,000 Active 14 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $200,000 Active 13 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $200,000 Active 12 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $200,000 Active 11 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $200,000 Active 9 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $200,000 Active 8 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $200,000 Active 5 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $200,000 Active 4 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $200,000 Active 3 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    remarks 699-char remark
11. 2026-06-04
    listed $200,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $4,557 · $380/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $4,557 · $380/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $27,158
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,203
• − Property taxes: −$4,557
• − Insurance: −$1,000
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,173
• − Management: −$2,173
• − Depreciation: −$5,818
• Taxable income: $234
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$56
• After-tax cash flow: $3,256/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Spring ISD
• NCES district ID: 4841220
• Math proficiency: 19% ▼ -13.00%
• Reading proficiency: 26% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $51,584
• Composite: 20.12/100
• National rank: #8643
• State rank: #730 of 826 in TX

Livability — Spring

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #635
• US rank: #12101

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Spring, TX
• County: Harris County · 4,702,590 people
• City population: 430,529
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 69,739
• Household income: $88,617
• Rent vs Own: 27.2% rent · 72.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 1050.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 5,571,493 people
• By 2030: 6,089,821 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 7,142,806 · +28.2%
• By 2050: 8,185,864 · +46.9%
• By 2075: 10,574,329 · +89.8%
• By 2100: 12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 40% White 30% Black 23% Two or more races 22% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 27% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 17% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 64% English-only · Spanish 32% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -142.98%
• Current HPI: 251.7231
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.30%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+61.9% since first listed

20 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-04 Listed $200,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
• 2016-10-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2016-10-05 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
• 2016-09-27 Pending — HARMLS
• 2016-09-24 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2016-08-22 Pending — HARMLS
• 2016-08-08 Pending — HARMLS
• 2016-07-28 Pending — HARMLS
• 2016-07-22 Price Changed $117,000 HARMLS
• 2016-06-17 Listed $119,900 HARMLS
• 2016-06-14 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2016-05-09 Price Changed $120,500 HARMLS
• 2016-05-06 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2016-04-28 Pending — HARMLS
• 2016-04-13 Pending — HARMLS
• 2016-04-07 Listed $123,500 HARMLS
• 2016-04-07 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2016-04-03 Pending — HARMLS
• 2016-04-01 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2016-03-28 Listed $123,500 HARMLS

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,557 · -5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.