6319 Coachwood Dr · Houston, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.7/30.0
- ARV discount +5.2/15.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Stunning single-story residence offering 4 generously sized, updated bedrooms and 2 beautifully renovated bathrooms. Thoughtfully designed with a light-filled atrium, this home showcases a designer inlaid stainless steel sink, elegant granite countertops, and refined finishes throughout. The spacious den features a warm, inviting fireplace, while the expansive backyard creates the perfect setting for entertaining or hosting memorable gatherings.
Key facts
- Inviting fireplace
- Light-filled atrium
- Expansive backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-63 ($-752/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $204k (5.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (6.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $196k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 199 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.25%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $204,427
- List price
- $215,000
- Delta
- 5.17%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11630 Coachfield Ln | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,909 (-6%) | 3mo | $219,900 | $115 | 82 |
| 6319 Ivyknoll Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,820 (-10%) | 6mo | $284,000 | $156 | 76 |
| 6030 Beaudry Dr | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,010 (-1%) | 3mo | $415,750 | $207 | 75 |
| 5911 Warm Springs Rd | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 2,035 (+0%) | 1mo | $317,000 | $156 | 73 |
| 6335 Portal Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.5 | 1,960 (-3%) | 1mo | $360,000 | $184 | 66 |
| 11618 Hillcroft Ave | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,062 (+2%) | 0mo | $200,000 | $97 | 66 |
| 6010 Cartagena St | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,171 (+7%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $101 | 64 |
| 5907 Beaudry Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 2,172 (+7%) | 2mo | $385,000 | $177 | 64 |
| 6405 Dawnridge Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.5 | 1,758 (-13%) | 7mo | $229,900 | $131 | 56 |
| 7619 Southmeadow Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,854 (-8%) | 4mo | $285,000 | $154 | 51 |
| 5830 Cartagena St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 2,191 (+8%) | 6mo | $309,600 | $141 | 50 |
| 7631 Southmeadow Dr | 0.71mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,304 (+14%) | 6mo | $244,000 | $106 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.02% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-44,540
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- -27.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.10×
- Total profit
- $-65,976
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77035
- Rents YoY
- 0.0%
- Active inventory
- 199
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,006 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$403 /mo · $4,839/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$27
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$421
- Net cashflow
- $-63
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6031 Cerritos Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2232 | $2,450 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 11418 Braewick Dr Unit 1514798P Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1991 | $12,178 | $6.12 | 22d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 6171 Dryad Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2240 | $2,000 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 11714 Hillcroft Ave Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2156 | $8,750 | $4.06 | 22d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 11714 Hillcroft Ave Unit 1019510P Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2152 | $14,236 | $6.62 | 22d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 6038 W Airport Blvd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1617 | $1,755 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5907 Warm Springs Rd Unit 1019555P Houston, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2357 | $14,324 | $6.08 | 22d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5907 Warm Springs Rd Houston, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2368 | $8,750 | $3.70 | 22d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 12115 Hillcroft Ave Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1837 | $1,961 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 6011 Bankside Dr Unit Labs Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1635 | $2,140 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 5631 Cerritos Dr Unit 1514826P Houston, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1883 | $11,906 | $6.32 | 22d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 5615 Cerritos Dr Unit 1514815P Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1883 | $7,300 | $3.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5751 Firenza Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1777 | $5,750 | $3.24 | 1d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 12404 Riva Ridge Ln Houston, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1679 | $1,750 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 5815 Farwell Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2418 | $2,200 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 5518 McKnight St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $2,800 | $1.81 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 11280 Braes Forest Dr #301 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2908 | $1,000 | $0.34 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 6222 Rutherglenn Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2202 | $2,400 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 12463 Windy Wisp Ln Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1817 | $1,795 | $0.99 | 3d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $27 · $324/yr
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $215,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $215,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $215,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $215,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $215,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $215,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $215,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $215,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $215,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $215,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $215,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-04-24price $215,000 449-char remark
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
Stunning single-story residence offering 4 generously sized, updated bedrooms and 2 beautifully renovated bathrooms. Thoughtfully designed with a light-filled atrium, this home showcases a designer inlaid stainless steel sink, elegant granite countertops, and refined finishes throughout. The spacious den features a warm, inviting fireplace, while the expansive backyard creates the perfect setting for entertaining or hosting memorable gatherings.
-
2026-04-21status Active 449-char remark
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
Stunning single-story residence offering 4 generously sized, updated bedrooms and 2 beautifully renovated bathrooms. Thoughtfully designed with a light-filled atrium, this home showcases a designer inlaid stainless steel sink, elegant granite countertops, and refined finishes throughout. The spacious den features a warm, inviting fireplace, while the expansive backyard creates the perfect setting for entertaining or hosting memorable gatherings.
-
2026-04-16status Pending 449-char remark
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
Stunning single-story residence offering 4 generously sized, updated bedrooms and 2 beautifully renovated bathrooms. Thoughtfully designed with a light-filled atrium, this home showcases a designer inlaid stainless steel sink, elegant granite countertops, and refined finishes throughout. The spacious den features a warm, inviting fireplace, while the expansive backyard creates the perfect setting for entertaining or hosting memorable gatherings.
-
2026-03-19$230,000 Active 449-char remark
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
Stunning single-story residence offering 4 generously sized, updated bedrooms and 2 beautifully renovated bathrooms. Thoughtfully designed with a light-filled atrium, this home showcases a designer inlaid stainless steel sink, elegant granite countertops, and refined finishes throughout. The spacious den features a warm, inviting fireplace, while the expansive backyard creates the perfect setting for entertaining or hosting memorable gatherings.
-
2022-06-13soldstatus
-
2014-06-03soldstatus
-
2014-05-28soldstatus Sold 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Single story home with 4 spacious updated bedrooms and 2 updated bathrooms. This home features a well designed atrium, designer inlayed stainless steel sink, granite kitchen countertops, new ceramic tile and carpet. The den features a cozy fireplace. Enjoy the relaxing backyard for your next BQ. Spacious home for entertaining.
-
2014-05-11status Pending 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Single story home with 4 spacious updated bedrooms and 2 updated bathrooms. This home features a well designed atrium, designer inlayed stainless steel sink, granite kitchen countertops, new ceramic tile and carpet. The den features a cozy fireplace. Enjoy the relaxing backyard for your next BQ. Spacious home for entertaining.
-
2014-05-02status Option Pending 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Single story home with 4 spacious updated bedrooms and 2 updated bathrooms. This home features a well designed atrium, designer inlayed stainless steel sink, granite kitchen countertops, new ceramic tile and carpet. The den features a cozy fireplace. Enjoy the relaxing backyard for your next BQ. Spacious home for entertaining.
-
2014-04-25$113,000 Active 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Single story home with 4 spacious updated bedrooms and 2 updated bathrooms. This home features a well designed atrium, designer inlayed stainless steel sink, granite kitchen countertops, new ceramic tile and carpet. The den features a cozy fireplace. Enjoy the relaxing backyard for your next BQ. Spacious home for entertaining.
-
2013-12-31soldstatus Sold
-
2013-12-06status Pending
-
2013-11-25$42,400 Active
-
2013-11-25historical
-
2013-04-09status Pending, Continue to Show
-
2013-04-05status Active
-
2013-04-02status Pending, Continue to Show
-
2013-02-27$55,900 Active
-
2013-01-24historical
-
2012-09-27$45,000 Active
-
2002-01-16soldstatus
-
2001-07-06soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,839 · $403/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,839 · $403/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,071
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$4,839
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,926
- − Management
- −$1,926
- − HOA
- −$324
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable loss
- −$4,316
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,036
- After-tax cash flow
- $284/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,019
- Household income
- $58,686
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2844.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 42% Black 29% White 23% Two or more races 19% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 56% English-only · Spanish 37% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -145.44%
- Current HPI
- 266.5195
- Rent YoY
- ▬ 0.02%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+377.8% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $215,000 HARMLS
- 2026-04-21 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2026-04-16 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $230,000 HARMLS
- 2022-06-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-06-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-05-28 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2014-05-11 Pending — HARMLS
- 2014-05-02 Pending — HARMLS
- 2014-04-25 Listed $113,000 HARMLS
- 2013-12-31 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2013-12-06 Pending — HARMLS
- 2013-11-25 Listed $42,400 HARMLS
- 2013-11-25 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2013-04-09 Pending — HARMLS
- 2013-04-05 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2013-04-02 Pending — HARMLS
- 2013-02-27 Listed $55,900 HARMLS
- 2013-01-24 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2012-09-27 Listed $45,000 HARMLS
- 2002-01-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2001-07-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $4,839 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…