CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
3664 Lakeview Dr SW
C- Composite 50.56
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.3/30.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.4/15.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$166,000

3664 Lakeview Dr SW · Holden Beach, NC 28462
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 840 sqft · Manufactured public records · 193 Days on market
Built 2022 5,227 sqft lot Est $155k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Own your own home for less than you can rent! Brand new 2 bedroom, 2 full bathroom single wide set up on its own land in supply. The home is located nicely in the Windy Point area of supply in one of the regions cleanest and quietest neighborhoods.

Key facts

  • Floored shed
  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Built 2022

Tags

PARTIALLY FENCED YARDFLOORED SHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: Lakeview Of Windy Pt; Road frontage unimproved; Zoning: Co-R-6000; Lot dimensions: 105 x 52 x 103 x 53 (0.12 acres)
  • HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street, unpaved parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Water connected; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawl space/no basement; Built as a manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Shed(s); Has view; No patio or porch; No fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 4 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric heating; Central air conditioning; Heat pump cooling
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; Ceiling fans; Window coverings
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $166k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $273 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (4.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.1% in Holden Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#334 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: cost of living D, health & safety D, amenities F.
  • Brunswick County Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #82 of 178 in NC (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Virginia Williamson Elem (math 50% / reading 49%, grade D, #417 of 1,410 statewide, top 32%, 502 students, 99% FRL); Cedar Grove Middle (math 30% / reading 36%, grade F, #305 of 475 statewide, top 65%, 434 students, 99% FRL); West Brunswick High (math 50% / reading 56%, grade C-, #281 of 535 statewide, top 53%, 1,526 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 53% district-wide (46 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 506 active listings in the ZIP; 6,112 units permitted in Brunswick County in 2024 (990 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Brunswick County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 193 days — a 12% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $126k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $146,080 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 193 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
8.27%
Cash-on-cash
7.05%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$155,400
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2088 Windy Ter SW 0.07mi 2/2.0 840 (0%) 24mo $155,000 $185 77

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.5%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-9,588
Equity at exit
$24,751
10-year hold
IRR
4.1%
Equity multiple
1.30×
Total profit
$13,716
Equity at exit
$14,353

Cash invested: $46,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28462

Active inventory
506
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,582 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$871
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $444/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$332
Net cashflow
$273

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,236
Max offer price $166,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,500
Closing costs
$4,980
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $166,000 Active 193 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $166,000 Active 192 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $166,000 Active 191 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $166,000 Active 190 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $166,000 Active 188 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $166,000 Active 187 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $166,000 Active 185 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $166,000 Active 184 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $166,000 Active 183 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $166,000 Active 180 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $166,000 Active 179 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $166,000 Active 178 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $166,000 Active 177 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $166,000 Active 176 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $166,000 Active 175 DOM
  16. 2026-04-29
    price $166,000
  17. 2026-02-21
    price $176,000
  18. 2025-12-06
    listed $181,000 Active
  19. 2025-12-04
    historical
  20. 2025-09-19
    price $183,500
  21. 2025-09-12
    listed $185,000 Active
  22. 2024-03-13
    soldstatus $125,900 Closed 249-char remark
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    Own your own home for less than you can rent! Brand new 2 bedroom, 2 full bathroom single wide set up on its own land in supply. The home is located nicely in the Windy Point area of supply in one of the regions cleanest and quietest neighborhoods.

  23. 2024-03-13
    soldstatus $126,000
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    Own your own home for less than you can rent! Brand new 2 bedroom, 2 full bathroom single wide set up on its own land in supply. The home is located nicely in the Windy Point area of supply in one of the regions cleanest and quietest neighborhoods.

  24. 2024-02-14
    status Pending 249-char remark
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    Own your own home for less than you can rent! Brand new 2 bedroom, 2 full bathroom single wide set up on its own land in supply. The home is located nicely in the Windy Point area of supply in one of the regions cleanest and quietest neighborhoods.

  25. 2024-02-11
    price $125,900 249-char remark
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    Own your own home for less than you can rent! Brand new 2 bedroom, 2 full bathroom single wide set up on its own land in supply. The home is located nicely in the Windy Point area of supply in one of the regions cleanest and quietest neighborhoods.

  26. 2024-02-08
    price $139,800 249-char remark
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    Own your own home for less than you can rent! Brand new 2 bedroom, 2 full bathroom single wide set up on its own land in supply. The home is located nicely in the Windy Point area of supply in one of the regions cleanest and quietest neighborhoods.

  27. 2024-01-31
    price $139,900 249-char remark
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    Own your own home for less than you can rent! Brand new 2 bedroom, 2 full bathroom single wide set up on its own land in supply. The home is located nicely in the Windy Point area of supply in one of the regions cleanest and quietest neighborhoods.

  28. 2024-01-27
    price $154,900 249-char remark
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    Own your own home for less than you can rent! Brand new 2 bedroom, 2 full bathroom single wide set up on its own land in supply. The home is located nicely in the Windy Point area of supply in one of the regions cleanest and quietest neighborhoods.

  29. 2024-01-20
    listed $164,900 Active 249-char remark
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    Own your own home for less than you can rent! Brand new 2 bedroom, 2 full bathroom single wide set up on its own land in supply. The home is located nicely in the Windy Point area of supply in one of the regions cleanest and quietest neighborhoods.

  30. 2023-10-10
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$444 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,361 · $113/mo
Expected delta
+$917/yr (+$76/mo · 206.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,984
− Mortgage interest
−$9,299
− Property taxes
−$444
− Insurance
−$830
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,519
− Management
−$1,519
− Depreciation
−$4,829
Taxable income
$545
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$131
After-tax cash flow
$3,146/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brunswick County Schools
NCES district ID
3700420
Math proficiency
45% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$47,494
Composite
39.23/100
National rank
#4011
State rank
#82 of 178 in NC

Livability — Holden Beach

Score
65/100
State rank
#334
US rank
#13586

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D Crime A Employment A+ Housing A Health & safety D User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Brunswick County · 131,536 people
Metro
Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
Population (ZIP)
12,340
Household income
$60,349
Rent vs Own
15.5% rent · 84.5% own
Severe rent burden
269.0

Population outlook (Brunswick County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
152,111 people
By 2030
165,705 · +8.9%
By 2040
188,494 · +23.9%
By 2050
206,228 · +35.6%
By 2075
237,876 · +56.4%
By 2100
251,451 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Black 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Brunswick

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.9) · D 37.2% · R 62.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.9 2020: R+25.0 2016: R+28.7 2012: R+22.2 2008: R+17.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -259.44%
Current HPI
144.2462
Rent YoY
Metro
Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+730.0% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $166,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-02-21 Price Changed $176,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-12-06 Listed $181,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-12-04 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2025-09-19 Price Changed $183,500 Hive MLS
  • 2025-09-12 Listed $185,000 Hive MLS
  • 2024-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $126,000 Public Records
  • 2024-03-13 Sold (MLS) $125,900 Hive MLS
  • 2024-02-14 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2024-02-11 Price Changed $125,900 Hive MLS
  • 2024-02-08 Price Changed $139,800 Hive MLS
  • 2024-01-31 Price Changed $139,900 Hive MLS
  • 2024-01-27 Price Changed $154,900 Hive MLS
  • 2024-01-20 Listed $164,900 Hive MLS
  • 2023-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+32.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $444 · +509.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…