11756 SW Coster Rd · Springfield, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$111,400
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Huge Price Reduction on this Auction Property * * Countryside Living can be yours! Nestled in the whispering pines of Kalkaska County, you may find what you're looking for. Consider this economically sized home on approximately 2.5 acres with a detached garage and additional outbuilding. This auction opportunity is definitely worth a look! All Bids and offers must be submitted to the seller through Hubzu.com where this property will be sold via auction. Located just a few miles from Fife Lake, this home may offer the perfect homestead or getaway option!
Key facts
- Detached garage
- 2.5 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $111k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $384 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $111k).
- Recommended offer: $105k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 2.0% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#472 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Forest Area Community Schools (rural): math 16% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #438 of 540 in MI (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Kalkaska County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $770 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kalkaska County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $85k (43%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.77%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $190,744
- List price
- $111,400
- Delta
- -41.60%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5887 SW Lund Rd | 0.45mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,930 (-4%) | 22mo | $375,000 | $194 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $6,370
- Equity at exit
- $16,610
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.18×
- Total profit
- $36,918
- Equity at exit
- $9,632
Cash invested: $31,192 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49633
- Active inventory
- 60
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,362 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$584
- Tax from tax record
- −$61 /mo · $736/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$286
- Net cashflow
- $384
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,850
- Closing costs
- $3,342
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending 560-char remark
Show marketing remark (560 chars)
Huge Price Reduction on this Auction Property * * Countryside Living can be yours! Nestled in the whispering pines of Kalkaska County, you may find what you're looking for. Consider this economically sized home on approximately 2.5 acres with a detached garage and additional outbuilding. This auction opportunity is definitely worth a look! All Bids and offers must be submitted to the seller through Hubzu.com where this property will be sold via auction. Located just a few miles from Fife Lake, this home may offer the perfect homestead or getaway option!
-
2026-05-08status Pending 560-char remark
Show marketing remark (560 chars)
Huge Price Reduction on this Auction Property * * Countryside Living can be yours! Nestled in the whispering pines of Kalkaska County, you may find what you're looking for. Consider this economically sized home on approximately 2.5 acres with a detached garage and additional outbuilding. This auction opportunity is definitely worth a look! All Bids and offers must be submitted to the seller through Hubzu.com where this property will be sold via auction. Located just a few miles from Fife Lake, this home may offer the perfect homestead or getaway option!
-
2026-04-15price $111,400 560-char remark
Show marketing remark (560 chars)
Huge Price Reduction on this Auction Property * * Countryside Living can be yours! Nestled in the whispering pines of Kalkaska County, you may find what you're looking for. Consider this economically sized home on approximately 2.5 acres with a detached garage and additional outbuilding. This auction opportunity is definitely worth a look! All Bids and offers must be submitted to the seller through Hubzu.com where this property will be sold via auction. Located just a few miles from Fife Lake, this home may offer the perfect homestead or getaway option!
-
2026-04-14price $111,400 560-char remark
Show marketing remark (560 chars)
Huge Price Reduction on this Auction Property * * Countryside Living can be yours! Nestled in the whispering pines of Kalkaska County, you may find what you're looking for. Consider this economically sized home on approximately 2.5 acres with a detached garage and additional outbuilding. This auction opportunity is definitely worth a look! All Bids and offers must be submitted to the seller through Hubzu.com where this property will be sold via auction. Located just a few miles from Fife Lake, this home may offer the perfect homestead or getaway option!
-
2026-03-31price $139,700 560-char remark
Show marketing remark (560 chars)
Huge Price Reduction on this Auction Property * * Countryside Living can be yours! Nestled in the whispering pines of Kalkaska County, you may find what you're looking for. Consider this economically sized home on approximately 2.5 acres with a detached garage and additional outbuilding. This auction opportunity is definitely worth a look! All Bids and offers must be submitted to the seller through Hubzu.com where this property will be sold via auction. Located just a few miles from Fife Lake, this home may offer the perfect homestead or getaway option!
-
2026-03-30price $139,700 560-char remark
Show marketing remark (560 chars)
Huge Price Reduction on this Auction Property * * Countryside Living can be yours! Nestled in the whispering pines of Kalkaska County, you may find what you're looking for. Consider this economically sized home on approximately 2.5 acres with a detached garage and additional outbuilding. This auction opportunity is definitely worth a look! All Bids and offers must be submitted to the seller through Hubzu.com where this property will be sold via auction. Located just a few miles from Fife Lake, this home may offer the perfect homestead or getaway option!
-
2026-03-08$196,100 Active 560-char remark
Show marketing remark (560 chars)
Huge Price Reduction on this Auction Property * * Countryside Living can be yours! Nestled in the whispering pines of Kalkaska County, you may find what you're looking for. Consider this economically sized home on approximately 2.5 acres with a detached garage and additional outbuilding. This auction opportunity is definitely worth a look! All Bids and offers must be submitted to the seller through Hubzu.com where this property will be sold via auction. Located just a few miles from Fife Lake, this home may offer the perfect homestead or getaway option!
-
2026-03-08$196,100 Active 560-char remark
Show marketing remark (560 chars)
Huge Price Reduction on this Auction Property * * Countryside Living can be yours! Nestled in the whispering pines of Kalkaska County, you may find what you're looking for. Consider this economically sized home on approximately 2.5 acres with a detached garage and additional outbuilding. This auction opportunity is definitely worth a look! All Bids and offers must be submitted to the seller through Hubzu.com where this property will be sold via auction. Located just a few miles from Fife Lake, this home may offer the perfect homestead or getaway option!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $736 · $61/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,226 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- +$490/yr (+$41/mo · 66.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,341
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,240
- − Property taxes
- −$736
- − Insurance
- −$557
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,307
- − Management
- −$1,307
- − Depreciation
- −$3,241
- Taxable income
- $2,953
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$709
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,898/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Forest Area Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2614570
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,072
- Composite
- 20.09/100
- National rank
- #8649
- State rank
- #438 of 540 in MI
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #472
- US rank
- #13384
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,325
Population outlook (Kalkaska County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,359 people
- By 2030
- 17,222 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 16,643 · -4.1%
- By 2050
- 15,810 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 13,772 · -20.7%
- By 2100
- 10,976 · -36.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Native American 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Scottish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kalkaska
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.9) · D 27.8% · R 70.7% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.1pp toward R · 2008: -8.8pp · 2024: -42.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.9 2020: R+41.7 2016: R+44.1 2012: R+19.7 2008: R+8.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -208.84%
- Current HPI
- 190.1931
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
-43.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-08 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $111,400 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $111,400 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $139,700 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $139,700 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-08 Listed $196,100 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-08 Listed $196,100 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $736 · -73.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…