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11756 SW Coster Rd
B Composite 71.56
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$111,400

11756 SW Coster Rd · Springfield, MI 49633
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,002 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 61 Days on market
Built 1995 2.50 ac lot $56/sqft · 65% below area Est $191k · 42% under ↓ 43% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Huge Price Reduction on this Auction Property * * Countryside Living can be yours! Nestled in the whispering pines of Kalkaska County, you may find what you're looking for. Consider this economically sized home on approximately 2.5 acres with a detached garage and additional outbuilding. This auction opportunity is definitely worth a look! All Bids and offers must be submitted to the seller through Hubzu.com where this property will be sold via auction. Located just a few miles from Fife Lake, this home may offer the perfect homestead or getaway option!

Key facts

  • Detached garage
  • 2.5 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

APPROXIMATELY 2.5 ACRESDETACHED GARAGEADDITIONAL OUTBUILDINGFEW MILES FROM FIFE LAKE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $111k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $384 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $111k).
  • Recommended offer: $105k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 2.0% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#472 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Forest Area Community Schools (rural): math 16% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #438 of 540 in MI (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Kalkaska County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $770 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kalkaska County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $85k (43%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $104,716 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
10.43%
Cash-on-cash
14.77%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$190,744
List price
$111,400
Delta
-41.60%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5887 SW Lund Rd 0.45mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,930 (-4%) 22mo $375,000 $194 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.3%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$6,370
Equity at exit
$16,610
10-year hold
IRR
14.7%
Equity multiple
2.18×
Total profit
$36,918
Equity at exit
$9,632

Cash invested: $31,192 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49633

Active inventory
60
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,362 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$584
Tax from tax record
$61 /mo · $736/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$286
Net cashflow
$384

Break-even live

Break-even rent $876
Max offer price $111,400
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,850
Closing costs
$3,342
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    status Pending 560-char remark
    Show marketing remark (560 chars)

    Huge Price Reduction on this Auction Property * * Countryside Living can be yours! Nestled in the whispering pines of Kalkaska County, you may find what you're looking for. Consider this economically sized home on approximately 2.5 acres with a detached garage and additional outbuilding. This auction opportunity is definitely worth a look! All Bids and offers must be submitted to the seller through Hubzu.com where this property will be sold via auction. Located just a few miles from Fife Lake, this home may offer the perfect homestead or getaway option!

  2. 2026-05-08
    status Pending 560-char remark
    Show marketing remark (560 chars)

    Huge Price Reduction on this Auction Property * * Countryside Living can be yours! Nestled in the whispering pines of Kalkaska County, you may find what you're looking for. Consider this economically sized home on approximately 2.5 acres with a detached garage and additional outbuilding. This auction opportunity is definitely worth a look! All Bids and offers must be submitted to the seller through Hubzu.com where this property will be sold via auction. Located just a few miles from Fife Lake, this home may offer the perfect homestead or getaway option!

  3. 2026-04-15
    price $111,400 560-char remark
    Show marketing remark (560 chars)

    Huge Price Reduction on this Auction Property * * Countryside Living can be yours! Nestled in the whispering pines of Kalkaska County, you may find what you're looking for. Consider this economically sized home on approximately 2.5 acres with a detached garage and additional outbuilding. This auction opportunity is definitely worth a look! All Bids and offers must be submitted to the seller through Hubzu.com where this property will be sold via auction. Located just a few miles from Fife Lake, this home may offer the perfect homestead or getaway option!

  4. 2026-04-14
    price $111,400 560-char remark
    Show marketing remark (560 chars)

    Huge Price Reduction on this Auction Property * * Countryside Living can be yours! Nestled in the whispering pines of Kalkaska County, you may find what you're looking for. Consider this economically sized home on approximately 2.5 acres with a detached garage and additional outbuilding. This auction opportunity is definitely worth a look! All Bids and offers must be submitted to the seller through Hubzu.com where this property will be sold via auction. Located just a few miles from Fife Lake, this home may offer the perfect homestead or getaway option!

  5. 2026-03-31
    price $139,700 560-char remark
    Show marketing remark (560 chars)

    Huge Price Reduction on this Auction Property * * Countryside Living can be yours! Nestled in the whispering pines of Kalkaska County, you may find what you're looking for. Consider this economically sized home on approximately 2.5 acres with a detached garage and additional outbuilding. This auction opportunity is definitely worth a look! All Bids and offers must be submitted to the seller through Hubzu.com where this property will be sold via auction. Located just a few miles from Fife Lake, this home may offer the perfect homestead or getaway option!

  6. 2026-03-30
    price $139,700 560-char remark
    Show marketing remark (560 chars)

    Huge Price Reduction on this Auction Property * * Countryside Living can be yours! Nestled in the whispering pines of Kalkaska County, you may find what you're looking for. Consider this economically sized home on approximately 2.5 acres with a detached garage and additional outbuilding. This auction opportunity is definitely worth a look! All Bids and offers must be submitted to the seller through Hubzu.com where this property will be sold via auction. Located just a few miles from Fife Lake, this home may offer the perfect homestead or getaway option!

  7. 2026-03-08
    listed $196,100 Active 560-char remark
    Show marketing remark (560 chars)

    Huge Price Reduction on this Auction Property * * Countryside Living can be yours! Nestled in the whispering pines of Kalkaska County, you may find what you're looking for. Consider this economically sized home on approximately 2.5 acres with a detached garage and additional outbuilding. This auction opportunity is definitely worth a look! All Bids and offers must be submitted to the seller through Hubzu.com where this property will be sold via auction. Located just a few miles from Fife Lake, this home may offer the perfect homestead or getaway option!

  8. 2026-03-08
    listed $196,100 Active 560-char remark
    Show marketing remark (560 chars)

    Huge Price Reduction on this Auction Property * * Countryside Living can be yours! Nestled in the whispering pines of Kalkaska County, you may find what you're looking for. Consider this economically sized home on approximately 2.5 acres with a detached garage and additional outbuilding. This auction opportunity is definitely worth a look! All Bids and offers must be submitted to the seller through Hubzu.com where this property will be sold via auction. Located just a few miles from Fife Lake, this home may offer the perfect homestead or getaway option!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$736 · $61/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,226 · $102/mo
Expected delta
+$490/yr (+$41/mo · 66.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,341
− Mortgage interest
−$6,240
− Property taxes
−$736
− Insurance
−$557
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,307
− Management
−$1,307
− Depreciation
−$3,241
Taxable income
$2,953
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$709
After-tax cash flow
$3,898/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Forest Area Community Schools
NCES district ID
2614570
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$43,072
Composite
20.09/100
National rank
#8649
State rank
#438 of 540 in MI

Livability — Springfield

Score
65/100
State rank
#472
US rank
#13384

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,325

Population outlook (Kalkaska County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,359 people
By 2030
17,222 · -0.8%
By 2040
16,643 · -4.1%
By 2050
15,810 · -8.9%
By 2075
13,772 · -20.7%
By 2100
10,976 · -36.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 3% Native American 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Scottish 3%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kalkaska

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.9) · D 27.8% · R 70.7% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-34.1pp toward R · 2008: -8.8pp · 2024: -42.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.9 2020: R+41.7 2016: R+44.1 2012: R+19.7 2008: R+8.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -208.84%
Current HPI
190.1931
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-43.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-08 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $111,400 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $111,400 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $139,700 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $139,700 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-08 Listed $196,100 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-08 Listed $196,100 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $736 · -73.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…