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Beautiful Home 3268 Abbington
B Composite 71.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$92,900

Beautiful Home 3268 Abbington · Jackson, MI 49201
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · Manufactured · 798 Days on market
Built 2024

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Built 2024
  • Listed 797 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Listed for $92,900

Exterior

  • Home design: Spec home from the "The Reserves" plan; Single-family property (details on stories and entry level not provided)
  • Construction: Built/listed in 2024 (new construction inventory: Spec)
  • Exterior features: Exterior details not provided

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Standard interior (no additional interior feature details provided)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $93k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $475 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $93k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 5.4% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#197 in MI, #4,970 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, employment F.
  • Northwest Community Schools (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 540 in MI (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.3%/yr); 362 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 317 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (103 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $642 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 798 days — a 12% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $81,752 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 798 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.52%
Cap rate
12.43%
Cash-on-cash
21.91%
DSCR
1.98
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$45,472
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3286 Braeburn St 0.06mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,540 (-2%) 5mo $20,000 $13 85
3717 Cypress 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,516 (-3%) 11mo $40,000 $26 70
3806 Catalpa 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,456 (-7%) 14mo $42,500 $29 63
3844 Havenwood Blvd 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,456 (-7%) 14mo $53,000 $36 60
3842 Jarrow Ln 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,404 (-10%) 8mo $64,000 $46 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$22,695
Equity at exit
$13,852
10-year hold
IRR
31.6%
Equity multiple
4.57×
Total profit
$92,817
Equity at exit
$8,032

Cash invested: $26,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49201

Rents YoY
10.3%
Active inventory
362
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,414 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$487
Tax est. 1.5%
$116 /mo · $1,394/yr
Insurance
$39
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$297
Net cashflow
$475

Break-even live

Break-even rent $813
Max offer price $92,900
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,225
Closing costs
$2,787
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3999 Sherwood Lakes Blvd Jackson, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,339 $1.27 44d 1 0.11mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $92,900 Active 798 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $92,900 Active 797 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $92,900 Active 796 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $92,900 Active 795 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $92,900 Active 794 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $92,900 Active 792 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $92,900 Active 791 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $92,900 Active 789 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $92,900 Active 788 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $92,900 Active 787 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $92,900 Active 786 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $92,900 Active 783 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $92,900 Active 782 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $92,900 Active 781 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $92,900 Active 780 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $92,900 Active 779 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $92,900 Active 778 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,968
− Mortgage interest
−$5,204
− Property taxes
−$1,394
− Insurance
−$464
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,357
− Management
−$1,357
− Depreciation
−$2,703
Taxable income
$4,488
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,077
After-tax cash flow
$4,623/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northwest Community Schools
NCES district ID
2626010
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$47,509
Composite
25.88/100
National rank
#7342
State rank
#360 of 540 in MI

Livability — Jackson

Score
74/100
State rank
#197
US rank
#4970

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Jackson County · 85,581 people
City population
85,581
Metro
Jackson, MI
Population (ZIP)
49,107
Household income
$74,484
Rent vs Own
25.8% rent · 74.2% own
Severe rent burden
840.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
156,365 people
By 2030
153,123 · -2.1%
By 2040
144,981 · -7.3%
By 2050
135,671 · -13.2%
By 2075
113,833 · -27.2%
By 2100
86,592 · -44.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 38.6% · R 59.9% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-23.7pp toward R · 2008: 2.4pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+5.8 2008: D+2.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -198.89%
Current HPI
185.3773
Rent YoY
▲ 10.32%
Metro
Jackson, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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