712 Stewart Ave · St. Paul, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$319,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 712 Stewart Ave. in Saint Paul! Proudly owned by the same owner for the last 26 years, this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers a comfortable blend of character, functionality, and major updates throughout. Natural light fills the inviting living spaces, creating a warm and welcoming feel from the moment you walk in. The spacious kitchen offers ample cabinet and countertop space, making everyday living and entertaining easy, while the functional layout provides flexibility for a variety of lifestyles. All three bedrooms are conveniently located on one level, providing comfortable living and an ideal layout for everyday convenience. The home’s thoughtful design makes
Key facts
- New water heater
- Updated furnace
- Large backyard deck
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with a monthly fee of $250 covering lawn care and snow removal
Exterior
- Parking: Tuck-under garage with asphalt driveway; Detached/attached 2-car garage (2 garage spaces)
- Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (in street); Natural gas
- Home design: Attached residential property; Two levels; Block foundation
- Construction: Block foundation; Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Public transit within six blocks; Medium tree coverage; Lot dimensions approximately 22 x 70
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Disposal
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (two upper level bedrooms and one upper-level primary bedroom listed); Bedroom sizes include approximately 11.9 x 15.6, 9.8 x 10.9, and 8.6 x 11.1
- Flooring: Tile floors
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (one on main floor, one on upper level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Tile floors; Kitchen window; Deck; Patio
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Washer hookup; Laundry located in basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $320k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $384 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $320k).
- Recommended offer: $310k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 145 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,522/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 1116% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($310k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.14%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-32,109
- Equity at exit
- $47,698
- IRR
- -2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-15,309
- Equity at exit
- $27,659
Cash invested: $89,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55102
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 145
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,522 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,678
- Tax from tax record
- −$338 /mo · $4,050/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- HOA
- −$250
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$740
- Net cashflow
- $384
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $79,975
- Closing costs
- $9,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 740 Victoria St S Saint Paul, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1076 | $3,746 | $3.48 | 2d | 39 | 0.36mi |
| 380 Randolph Ave Saint Paul, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 753 | $2,946 | $3.91 | 1d | 18 | 0.70mi |
| 470 Lexington Pkwy S Saint Paul, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1175 | $3,500 | $2.98 | 1d | 19 | 0.92mi |
| 871 Sibley Memorial Hwy Saint Paul, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1207 | $5,930 | $4.91 | 1d | 8 | 1.10mi |
| 695 Grand Ave Saint Paul, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1130 | $5,795 | $5.13 | 17d | 10 | 1.25mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $250 · $3,000/yr
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $319,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17pricedays on market $319,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $329,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $329,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $329,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $329,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $329,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $329,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $329,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $329,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $329,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $329,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $329,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-15$340,000 Active 1457-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,050 · $338/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,050 · $338/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,263
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,919
- − Property taxes
- −$4,050
- − Insurance
- −$1,600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,381
- − Management
- −$3,381
- − HOA
- −$3,000
- − Depreciation
- −$9,306
- Taxable loss
- −$374
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$90
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,697/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Paul Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2733840
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,316
- Composite
- 23.51/100
- National rank
- #7868
- State rank
- #270 of 301 in MN
Livability — St. Paul
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Paul, MN
- County
- Ramsey County · 542,837 people
- City population
- 280,599
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,630
- Household income
- $76,406
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1116.0
Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 603,431 people
- By 2030
- 636,459 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 700,596 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 765,819 · +26.9%
- By 2075
- 929,297 · +54.0%
- By 2100
- 1,053,924 · +74.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 10% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 10% Lithuanian 5% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -217.83%
- Current HPI
- 241.7112
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.60%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
-5.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $319,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-28 Price Changed $329,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-15 Listed $340,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $4,050 · +10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…