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1212 Carr Pl
D+ Composite 45.77
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.0/30.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

1212 Carr Pl · Oshkosh, WI 54901
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,360 sqft · Other public records · 56 Days on market
Built 1888 5,300 sqft lot $125/sqft · 18% below area Est $207k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

E-Side of Oshkosh 1.5 story Farmhouse set on cul-de-sac and close to neighborhood park. Enclosed porch. Currently leased to long-term tenant at $995 per month thru 10/31/2026. All utilities paid by tenant.

Key facts

  • Manageable size yard
  • Partial basement
  • E-side of oshkosh

Tags

E-SIDE OF OSHKOSHCUL-DE-SACNEIGHBORHOOD PARKENCLOSED PORCHPARTIAL BASEMENTMANAGEABLE SIZE YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Included with the home: range and refrigerator; Exclusions: personal property of tenants

Exterior

  • Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer
  • Home design: 2-story single-family home; Construction completed; Property zoned residential
  • Construction: Finished above-grade area approximately 1,360; Finished below-grade area: 0; Lot size about 0.12 acre; Year built information from assessor/public records
  • Exterior features: Cedar exterior; Sidewalks on the lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (approx. 14 x 11); Includes range/oven and refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the upper level (approx. 14 x 11); Second bedroom on the upper level (approx. 13 x 11); Third bedroom on the main level (approx. 9 x 7); Fourth bedroom on the main level (approx. 8 x 7)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas fuel
  • Interior features: Partial basement with block and stone walls; Living room on the main level; Dining room on the main level; Den/office on the main level
  • Laundry & utility: No specific laundry details provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-70 ($-841/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $158k (7.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (18.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $138k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.7% in Oshkosh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#29 in WI, #574 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
  • Oshkosh Area School District (urban): math 33% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #246 of 342 in WI (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 82 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 652 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (333 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Winnebago County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $78k; list at $170k implies a 119% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1888 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $138,105 (18.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1888 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
5.80%
Cash-on-cash
-1.77%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$206,852
List price
$169,900
Delta
-17.86%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.1%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-29,190
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
-5.7%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-19,189
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 54901

Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
82
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,381 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$199 /mo · $2,392/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$290
Net cashflow
$-70

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,470
Max offer price $157,520
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
835 Waugoo Ave Unit A Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0 1000 $995 $0.99 44d 1 0.40mi
513 Evans St Unit 1514469P Oshkosh, WI 3.0 1.5 1270 $2,909 $2.29 21d 1 0.73mi
548 Bowen St Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0 900 $850 $0.94 13d 1 0.81mi
1119 S Main St Unit 1121 Oshkosh, WI 3.0 1.0 1066 $1,250 $1.17 21d 1 0.83mi
100 N Main St Oshkosh, WI 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,495 $1.36 13d 1 0.85mi
1120 E Parkway Ave Oshkosh, WI 2.0 2.0 950 $1,195 $1.26 13d 1 0.85mi
35 W 14th Ave Unit 35A Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 44d 1 0.94mi
106 W 9th Ave Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0 900 $995 $1.11 44d 1 0.94mi
622 Grand St Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0 900 $895 $0.99 44d 1 1.02mi
212 W 8th Ave Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,099 $1.00 21d 1 1.04mi
417 Marion Rd Oshkosh, WI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 778 $2,500 $3.21 13d 10 1.15mi
319 E Irving Ave Oshkosh, WI 3.0 1.5 1384 $1,250 $0.90 44d 1 1.16mi
155 Jackson St Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0–2.0 716 $1,775 $2.48 21d 8 1.20mi
1745 Oregon St Oshkosh, WI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1079 $1,282 $1.19 13d 6 1.28mi
650 N Main St Oshkosh, WI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 925 $1,524 $1.65 21d 12 1.30mi
95 Dawes St Oshkosh, WI 3.0 2.0 1520 $1,650 $1.09 44d 1 1.36mi
512 Algoma Blvd Unit 212 Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0 900 $999 $1.11 13d 1 1.38mi
405 Michigan St Unit 1061622P Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0 1097 $2,526 $2.30 21d 1 1.43mi
416 W 17th Ave Unit 416 Oshkosh, WI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,450 $1.32 44d 1 1.43mi
306 Wisconsin St Oshkosh, WI 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,500 $1.00 44d 1 1.46mi
532 W 5th Ave Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0 1120 $2,495 $2.23 44d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $169,900 Active 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,900 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,900 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,900 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,900 Active 52 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $169,900 Active 50 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,900 Active 49 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $169,900 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,900 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,900 Active 45 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $169,900 Active 44 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 39 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 38 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 37 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $175,000 Active 36 DOM
  16. 2026-04-23
    listed $175,000 Active 310-char remark
  17. 2026-04-18
    historical 205-char remark
    Show marketing remark (205 chars)

    E-Side of Oshkosh 1.5 story Farmhouse set on cul-de-sac and close to neighborhood park. Enclosed porch. Currently leased to long-term tenant at $995 per month thru 10/31/2026. All utilities paid by tenant.

  18. 2025-10-17
    listed $175,000 Active 205-char remark
    Show marketing remark (205 chars)

    E-Side of Oshkosh 1.5 story Farmhouse set on cul-de-sac and close to neighborhood park. Enclosed porch. Currently leased to long-term tenant at $995 per month thru 10/31/2026. All utilities paid by tenant.

  19. 2005-10-06
    soldstatus $77,500
  20. 2003-03-28
    soldstatus $16,500
  21. 2003-03-28
    soldstatus $21,100

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,392 · $199/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,768 · $231/mo
Expected delta
+$376/yr (+$31/mo · 15.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,573
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$2,392
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,326
− Management
−$1,326
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$3,780
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$907
After-tax cash flow
$66/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oshkosh Area School District
NCES district ID
5511190
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,048
Composite
28.92/100
National rank
#6634
State rank
#246 of 342 in WI

Livability — Oshkosh

Score
85/100
State rank
#29
US rank
#574

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oshkosh, WI
County
Winnebago County · 155,689 people
City population
81,810
Metro
Oshkosh-Neenah, WI
Population (ZIP)
37,294
Household income
$61,794
Rent vs Own
50.4% rent · 49.6% own
Severe rent burden
1484.0

Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
175,480 people
By 2030
177,928 · +1.4%
By 2040
180,873 · +3.1%
By 2050
181,302 · +3.3%
By 2075
184,071 · +4.9%
By 2100
175,932 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.9% · R 51.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-16.4pp toward R · 2008: 11.7pp · 2024: -4.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.8 2020: R+4.0 2016: R+7.4 2012: D+3.8 2008: D+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -128.12%
Current HPI
187.7253
Rent YoY
▲ 4.97%
Metro
Oshkosh-Neenah, WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+929.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Price Changed $169,900 RANW
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $175,000 RANW
  • 2026-04-18 Listing Removed RANW
  • 2025-10-17 Listed $175,000 RANW
  • 2005-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $77,500 Public Records
  • 2003-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $21,100 Public Records
  • 2003-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $16,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,392 · +18.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…