10806 Whitecap Dr · Riverview, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.3/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
$379,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Enjoy this 4-bedroom, 3 bath home nestled in the beautiful community of Summerfield in Riverview, FL. The Popular "Normandy" Model by Lennar featuring a triple split floor plan is a one owner home and previously loved by that one owner. Granite counters in kitchen and all baths! Stainless steel appliances. Tile throughout living areas and wet areas, carpet in bedrooms. Spacious master suite with walk in closet and master bath featuring garden tub with separate shower. Jack and Jill bath between bedrooms 2 and 3. Plenty of room to gather in the formal dining room. Enjoy the covered and fully screened lanai with your morning cup of coffee. Home also features a fully fenced backyard with Avocado, Walnut and Tangerine trees. Home has a new water softener, water purifier in kitchen, professionally installed exterior generator hook up and the washer/dryer convey. New ROOF 2025. Great location minutes away from I-75 near the interstate, New St. Joseph Hospital, Brandon, Tampa, MacDill Air Force Base, restaurants, sporting events, beaches and shopping.
Key facts
- Carpet in bedrooms
- Walk in closet
- 5,579 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $379k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-229 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $339k (10.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $258k (31.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $258k (31.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#134 in FL, #2,000 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities F.
- Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Summerfield Crossings Elementary School (math 43% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,330 of 2,144 statewide, top 63%, 869 students, 53% FRL); East Bay High School (math 24% / reading 35%, grade F, #447 of 667 statewide, top 68%, 1,995 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 463 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.4%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($356k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.59%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 12.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.42% appreciation · 1.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-55,073
- Equity at exit
- $83,885
- IRR
- -7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-62,152
- Equity at exit
- $81,763
Cash invested: $106,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33579
- Home prices YoY
- -0.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 463
- Price-to-rent
- 12.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,579 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,988
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $887/yr
- Insurance
- −$158
- HOA
- −$47
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$542
- Net cashflow
- $-229
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-14 | -5% $-122 | +0% $-229 | +5% $-336 | +10% $-443 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-433 | -5% $-331 | +0% $-229 | +5% $-127 | +10% $-25 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-38 | -0.5pp $-132 | base $-229 | +0.5pp $-327 | +1.0pp $-427 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $94,750
- Closing costs
- $11,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11025 Whittney Chase Dr Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $2,170 | $1.41 | 0d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 11030 Whittney Chase Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $2,295 | $1.81 | 1d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 10925 Subtle Trail Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1716 | $2,000 | $1.17 | 26d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 13130 Fennway Ridge Dr Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1736 | $2,219 | $1.28 | 5d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 13114 Fennway Ridge Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1556 | $2,225 | $1.43 | 0d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 11105 Cherrywood Ln Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $2,110 | $1.55 | 26d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 11110 Cherrywood Ln Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $2,045 | $1.62 | 7d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 11009 Golden Silence Dr Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2154 | $2,800 | $1.30 | 26d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 11025 Golden Silence Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1785 | $2,210 | $1.24 | 16d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 11218 Scotchwood Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1546 | $2,150 | $1.39 | 17d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 10805 Australian Pine Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1897 | $2,350 | $1.24 | 26d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 12962 Fennway Ridge Dr Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2098 | $2,950 | $1.41 | 26d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 10610 Opus Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1292 | $1,999 | $1.55 | 5d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 12938 Fennway Ridge Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1541 | $2,000 | $1.30 | 1d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 10401 Opus Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1341 | $2,095 | $1.56 | 7d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 13625 Silver Charm Ct Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1907 | $2,350 | $1.23 | 26d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 10505 Opus Dr Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1942 | $2,550 | $1.31 | 26d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 11164 Golden Silence Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1930 | $2,050 | $1.06 | 26d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 11121 Kempton Vista Dr Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1983 | $2,350 | $1.19 | 26d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 10932 Keys Gate Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1408 | $1,750 | $1.24 | 5d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 12942 Utopia Gardens Way Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1668 | $2,350 | $1.41 | 5d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 12942 Utopia Gardens Way Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1668 | $2,390 | $1.43 | 1d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 10811 Brickside Ct Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1408 | $1,675 | $1.19 | 26d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 10811 Brickside Ct Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1408 | $1,675 | $1.19 | 20d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 12961 Utopia Gardens Way Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1668 | $1,890 | $1.13 | 18d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 13305 Silvercreek Dr Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1743 | $2,099 | $1.20 | 7d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 11322 Torrey Pines Dr Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2194 | $2,300 | $1.05 | 26d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 10221 Summerview Cir Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1481 | $1,969 | $1.33 | 26d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 10334 Summerview Cir Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $2,180 | $1.53 | 1d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 10220 Summer Palm Dr Riverview, FL | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $2,493 | $1.90 | 3d | 19 | 0.90mi |
| 13423 Beechberry Dr Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2322 | $2,795 | $1.20 | 0d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 11176 Leland Groves Dr Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2318 | $2,700 | $1.16 | 7d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 11167 Leland Groves Dr Riverview, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2526 | $3,500 | $1.39 | 26d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 11211 Flora Springs Dr Riverview, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2320 | $2,723 | $1.17 | 26d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 10614 Shady Branch Dr Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2482 | $2,286 | $0.92 | 16d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 13016 Prestwick Dr Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2506 | $3,500 | $1.40 | 26d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 14010 Hollow Leaf Pl Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $2,195 | $1.31 | 12d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 12820 Belvedere Song Way Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1513 | $2,000 | $1.32 | 26d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 11510 Harlan Eddy Ct Riverview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2351 | $2,700 | $1.15 | 26d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 12805 Avelar Manor Pl Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1832 | $2,375 | $1.30 | 26d | 1 | 1.16mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $47 · $564/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $379,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $379,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $379,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $379,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $379,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $379,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $379,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $380,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $380,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $380,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $380,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $380,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $380,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $380,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $380,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $380,000 1070-char remark
Show marketing remark (1070 chars)
Enjoy this 4-bedroom, 3 bath home nestled in the beautiful community of Summerfield in Riverview, FL. The Popular "Normandy" Model by Lennar featuring a triple split floor plan is a one owner home and previously loved by that one owner. Granite counters in kitchen and all baths! Stainless steel appliances. Tile throughout living areas and wet areas, carpet in bedrooms. Spacious master suite with walk in closet and master bath featuring garden tub with separate shower. Jack and Jill bath between bedrooms 2 and 3. Plenty of room to gather in the formal dining room. Enjoy the covered and fully screened lanai with your morning cup of coffee. Home also features a fully fenced backyard with Avocado, Walnut and Tangerine trees. Home has a new water softener, water purifier in kitchen, professionally installed exterior generator hook up and the washer/dryer convey. New ROOF 2025. Great location minutes away from I-75 near the interstate, New St. Joseph Hospital, Brandon, Tampa, MacDill Air Force Base, restaurants, sporting events, beaches and shopping.
-
2026-04-10$391,000 Active 1070-char remark
Show marketing remark (1070 chars)
Enjoy this 4-bedroom, 3 bath home nestled in the beautiful community of Summerfield in Riverview, FL. The Popular "Normandy" Model by Lennar featuring a triple split floor plan is a one owner home and previously loved by that one owner. Granite counters in kitchen and all baths! Stainless steel appliances. Tile throughout living areas and wet areas, carpet in bedrooms. Spacious master suite with walk in closet and master bath featuring garden tub with separate shower. Jack and Jill bath between bedrooms 2 and 3. Plenty of room to gather in the formal dining room. Enjoy the covered and fully screened lanai with your morning cup of coffee. Home also features a fully fenced backyard with Avocado, Walnut and Tangerine trees. Home has a new water softener, water purifier in kitchen, professionally installed exterior generator hook up and the washer/dryer convey. New ROOF 2025. Great location minutes away from I-75 near the interstate, New St. Joseph Hospital, Brandon, Tampa, MacDill Air Force Base, restaurants, sporting events, beaches and shopping.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $887 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,146 · $262/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,258/yr (+$188/mo · 254.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,950
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,230
- − Property taxes
- −$887
- − Insurance
- −$1,895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,476
- − Management
- −$2,476
- − HOA
- −$564
- − Depreciation
- −$11,025
- Taxable loss
- −$9,604
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,305
- After-tax cash flow
- $-441/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsborough
- NCES district ID
- 1200870
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,622
- Composite
- 41.6/100
- National rank
- #3435
- State rank
- #41 of 73 in FL
Livability — Riverview
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #134
- US rank
- #2000
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Riverview, FL
- County
- Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
- City population
- 137,988
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,470
- Household income
- $116,134
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 258.0
Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,022 people
- By 2030
- 1,733,968 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 1,979,565 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 2,203,427 · +37.1%
- By 2075
- 2,667,893 · +66.0%
- By 2100
- 2,891,558 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 42% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 24% Two or more races 19% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% British 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.42%
- Current HPI
- 240.5825
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.18%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-2.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $380,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-10 Listed $391,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $887 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…