675 Fm 1713 · Whitney, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Lot is on route to Lake Whitney, McCown Park and bridge over Lake to Bosque Count. High traffic volume
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1980
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential (Single Family Residence)
- Financial info: Listing terms include cash, conventional, and owner-carry options
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Carport with 2 covered spaces; 2 carport spaces
- Utilities: Cable available; City sewer; City water; Electricity connected; No municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; Property attached: Yes
- Construction: Siding construction; Built in 1980
- Exterior features: Lot under 0.5 acre (approximately 0.28 acre); Subdivision: Loma Alta
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on level 1; one bedroom listed on level 2)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 2 half bathrooms
- Interior features: Cable TV available; High-speed internet available; One living area; One dining area; Total of 8 rooms; One-level layout
- Laundry & utility: No washer/dryer or other utility appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $439 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 3.4% in Whitney — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#282 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Whitney ISD (rural): math 42% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #378 of 826 in TX (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Whitney El (393 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 55% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 644 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Hill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hill County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.09%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $145,740
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109 Bluebonnet Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,424 (+3%) | 1mo | $189,000 | $133 | 76 |
| 103 Sulak | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-3%) | 5mo | $200,000 | $149 | 68 |
| 180 Canyon Dr | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,476 (+6%) | 3mo | $35,000 | $24 | 63 |
| 116 Hilltop Ln | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,518 (+9%) | 21mo | $115,000 | $76 | 62 |
| 145 Timberline Dr | 0.20mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,548 (+12%) | 7mo | $179,900 | $116 | 58 |
| 177 Catfish Trl | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,472 (+6%) | 9mo | $155,000 | $105 | 56 |
| 140 Deep Canyon Dr | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,209 (-13%) | 19mo | $74,900 | $62 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $10,102
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.45×
- Total profit
- $44,724
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76692
- Home prices YoY
- -6.5%
- Active inventory
- 644
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,449 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $999/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $439
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $501 | -5% $470 | +0% $439 | +5% $408 | +10% $376 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $324 | -5% $381 | +0% $439 | +5% $496 | +10% $553 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $494 | -0.5pp $467 | base $439 | +0.5pp $410 | +1.0pp $381 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $109,999 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,999 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,999 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $109,999 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $110,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 208-char remark
-
2026-06-02$110,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $999 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,013 · $168/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,014/yr (+$85/mo · 101.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,385
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$999
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,391
- − Management
- −$1,391
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $3,694
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$886
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,377/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Whitney ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4845720
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,861
- Composite
- 34.97/100
- National rank
- #5060
- State rank
- #378 of 826 in TX
Livability — Whitney
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #282
- US rank
- #6568
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,662
Population outlook (Hill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,013 people
- By 2030
- 33,289 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 31,688 · -6.8%
- By 2050
- 30,100 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 26,818 · -21.2%
- By 2100
- 22,918 · -32.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 4% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Hill
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.4) · D 17.5% · R 81.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.0pp toward R · 2008: -41.4pp · 2024: -64.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.4 2020: R+60.7 2016: R+58.4 2012: R+53.0 2008: R+41.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -17.72%
- Current HPI
- 252.9827
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+238.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $110,000 NTREIS
- 2021-08-30 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2021-07-28 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2021-07-26 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2021-04-12 Listed $32,500 NTREIS
- 2000-01-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $999 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…