7222 Dogwood Trail Dr · Atascocita, TX 77346

$212,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,824 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 306 Days on market

Built 1984 7,039 sqft lot $116/sqft · 13% below area Est $244k · 13% under $43/mo HOA · 2% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +14.6/30.0
• ARV discount +13.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.2/10.0
• DSCR +4.5/10.0
• Appreciation +4.5/10.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

This charming one-story home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, perfectly blending comfort and functionality. The open layout features a welcoming living room with a cozy fireplace, while the kitchen includes a convenient bar for casual dining and entertaining. The primary suite boasts a double vanity and ample space for relaxation. Enjoy the outdoors in the spacious backyard, fully enclosed with a wood privacy fence. A two-car garage completes this well-maintained property. Schedule a showing today!

Key facts

• Double vanity
• Spacious backyard
• Convenient bar

Tags

• COZY FIREPLACE
• CONVENIENT BAR
• DOUBLE VANITY
• SPACIOUS BACKYARD
• WOOD PRIVACY FENCE

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $212k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $50 ($604/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $212k).
• Recommended offer: $187k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.1% in Atascocita — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#346 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Humble ISD (urban): math 38% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #262 of 826 in TX (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 669 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-0.9%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 306 days — a 12% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $43k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $73k; list at $212k implies a 190% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $186,560 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 306 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.02% ✓
• Cap rate: 6.58%
• Cash-on-cash: 1.02%
• DSCR: 1.05
• GRM: 8.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $244,460
• List price: $212,000
• Delta: -13.28%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
7322 Logging Trail Dr	0.14mi	4/2.0	1,858 (+2%)	1mo	$249,990	$135	90
18718 Jodywood Dr	0.27mi	4/2.0	1,728 (-5%)	0mo	$225,000	$130	79
18823 Long Trace Dr	0.09mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,644 (-10%)	2mo	$249,100	$152	72
18623 Polo Meadow Dr	0.52mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,822 (-0%)	3mo	$265,000	$145	68
18811 Sandia Pines Dr	0.18mi	3/2.0 (-1)	2,004 (+10%)	3mo	$265,000	$132	68
7006 Garnet Hill Ln	0.46mi	4/2.0	1,978 (+8%)	3mo	$272,000	$138	62
7403 Misty Morning Dr	0.29mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,628 (-11%)	3mo	$199,900	$123	61
18907 Jodywood Dr	0.24mi	3/2.5 (-1)	2,055 (+13%)	1mo	$265,000	$129	60
18927 Sandia Pines Dr	0.23mi	4/3.0	2,081 (+14%)	2mo	$209,000	$100	60
18614 Atasca Oaks Dr	0.74mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,820 (-0%)	2mo	$244,000	$134	56
19014 Pine Trace Ct	0.26mi	3/2.5 (-1)	2,065 (+13%)	4mo	$237,000	$115	56
7115 Rose Village Dr	0.72mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,900 (+4%)	1mo	$255,000	$134	53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.95% appreciation · 0.09% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -7.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.69×
• Total profit: $-18,318
• Equity at exit: $51,641

10-year hold

• IRR: -3.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.71×
• Total profit: $-17,299
• Equity at exit: $54,625

Cash invested: $59,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77346

• Home prices YoY: -0.4%
• Rents YoY: 0.1%
• Active inventory: 669
• Price-to-rent: 8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,162 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,112
• Tax from tax record: −$414 /mo · $4,971/yr
• Insurance: −$88
• HOA: −$43
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$454
• Net cashflow: $50

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,098

Max offer price $212,000

Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $53,000
• Closing costs: $6,360
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 21 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
7515 Echo Pines Dr Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1655	$1,850	$1.12	43d	1	0.19mi
7002 Echo Pines Dr Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1738	$1,869	$1.08	15d	1	0.30mi
7131 Maple Walk Dr Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1808	$1,895	$1.05	5d	1	0.31mi
7403 Misty Morning Dr Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1628	$1,900	$1.17	17d	1	0.31mi
18810 Woodbreeze Dr Humble, TX	4.0	2.5	2200	$2,279	$1.04	24d	1	0.52mi
7315 Wisteria Chase Pl Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1232	$1,232	$1.00	19d	1	0.54mi
18718 Walden Forest Dr Humble, TX	4.0	2.0	2224	$2,600	$1.17	1d	1	0.62mi
18835 Atasca Oaks Dr Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1432	$1,829	$1.28	5d	1	0.85mi
14100 Will Clayton Pkwy Humble, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1040	$1,910	$1.84	12d	1	0.93mi
14100 Will Clayton Pkwy Unit 3165 Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1393	$1,867	$1.34	2d	1	0.96mi
14100 Will Clayton Pkwy Unit 3174 Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1393	$1,910	$1.37	10d	1	0.96mi
14100 Will Clayton Pkwy Unit 14133 Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1393	$1,910	$1.37	43d	1	0.96mi
6227 Spruce Bough Ct Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1432	$1,800	$1.26	43d	1	1.02mi
19119 Sprintwood Ct Humble, TX	4.0	2.5	2487	$2,425	$0.98	21d	1	1.16mi
17401 W Lake Houston Pkwy Humble, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1085	$2,163	$1.99	1d	42	1.18mi
18103 Yellowstone Trl Humble, TX	4.0	2.5	2602	$2,371	$0.91	43d	1	1.20mi
17923 Diamond Peak Ct Humble, TX	4.0	2.0	2171	$2,336	$1.08	5d	1	1.23mi
17260 W Lake Houston Pkwy Atascocita, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.5	1065	$2,470	$2.32	1d	12	1.25mi
13513 Northline Lake Dr Houston, TX	3.0	3.0	2034	$2,800	$1.38	43d	1	1.31mi
6519 Kings Glen Dr Humble, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.5	1255	$2,813	$2.24	1d	16	1.39mi
16848 W Lake Houston Pkwy Humble, TX	3.0	1.0–2.5	1128	$2,563	$2.27	1d	28	1.45mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $43 · $516/yr

Listing history 32 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $212,000 Active 306 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $212,000 Active 305 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $212,000 Active 304 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $212,000 Active 303 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $212,000 Active 301 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   pricedays on market $212,000 Active 300 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $216,000 Active 297 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $216,000 Active 296 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $216,000 Active 295 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $216,000 Active 292 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $216,000 Active 291 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $216,000 Active 290 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $216,000 Active 289 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $216,000 Active 288 DOM
15. 2026-04-16
    status Active 505-char remark

    Show marketing remark (505 chars)

    This charming one-story home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, perfectly blending comfort and functionality. The open layout features a welcoming living room with a cozy fireplace, while the kitchen includes a convenient bar for casual dining and entertaining. The primary suite boasts a double vanity and ample space for relaxation. Enjoy the outdoors in the spacious backyard, fully enclosed with a wood privacy fence. A two-car garage completes this well-maintained property. Schedule a showing today!

16. 2026-03-18
    status Pending 505-char remark

    Show marketing remark (505 chars)

    This charming one-story home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, perfectly blending comfort and functionality. The open layout features a welcoming living room with a cozy fireplace, while the kitchen includes a convenient bar for casual dining and entertaining. The primary suite boasts a double vanity and ample space for relaxation. Enjoy the outdoors in the spacious backyard, fully enclosed with a wood privacy fence. A two-car garage completes this well-maintained property. Schedule a showing today!

17. 2026-03-09
    status Pending 505-char remark

    Show marketing remark (505 chars)

    This charming one-story home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, perfectly blending comfort and functionality. The open layout features a welcoming living room with a cozy fireplace, while the kitchen includes a convenient bar for casual dining and entertaining. The primary suite boasts a double vanity and ample space for relaxation. Enjoy the outdoors in the spacious backyard, fully enclosed with a wood privacy fence. A two-car garage completes this well-maintained property. Schedule a showing today!

18. 2026-01-09
    price $216,000 505-char remark

    Show marketing remark (505 chars)

    This charming one-story home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, perfectly blending comfort and functionality. The open layout features a welcoming living room with a cozy fireplace, while the kitchen includes a convenient bar for casual dining and entertaining. The primary suite boasts a double vanity and ample space for relaxation. Enjoy the outdoors in the spacious backyard, fully enclosed with a wood privacy fence. A two-car garage completes this well-maintained property. Schedule a showing today!

19. 2025-12-05
    price $220,000 505-char remark

    Show marketing remark (505 chars)

    This charming one-story home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, perfectly blending comfort and functionality. The open layout features a welcoming living room with a cozy fireplace, while the kitchen includes a convenient bar for casual dining and entertaining. The primary suite boasts a double vanity and ample space for relaxation. Enjoy the outdoors in the spacious backyard, fully enclosed with a wood privacy fence. A two-car garage completes this well-maintained property. Schedule a showing today!

20. 2025-10-03
    price $225,000 505-char remark

    Show marketing remark (505 chars)

    This charming one-story home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, perfectly blending comfort and functionality. The open layout features a welcoming living room with a cozy fireplace, while the kitchen includes a convenient bar for casual dining and entertaining. The primary suite boasts a double vanity and ample space for relaxation. Enjoy the outdoors in the spacious backyard, fully enclosed with a wood privacy fence. A two-car garage completes this well-maintained property. Schedule a showing today!

21. 2025-09-05
    price $227,000 505-char remark

    Show marketing remark (505 chars)

    This charming one-story home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, perfectly blending comfort and functionality. The open layout features a welcoming living room with a cozy fireplace, while the kitchen includes a convenient bar for casual dining and entertaining. The primary suite boasts a double vanity and ample space for relaxation. Enjoy the outdoors in the spacious backyard, fully enclosed with a wood privacy fence. A two-car garage completes this well-maintained property. Schedule a showing today!

22. 2025-08-22
    price $234,000 505-char remark

    Show marketing remark (505 chars)

    This charming one-story home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, perfectly blending comfort and functionality. The open layout features a welcoming living room with a cozy fireplace, while the kitchen includes a convenient bar for casual dining and entertaining. The primary suite boasts a double vanity and ample space for relaxation. Enjoy the outdoors in the spacious backyard, fully enclosed with a wood privacy fence. A two-car garage completes this well-maintained property. Schedule a showing today!

23. 2025-08-15
    price $240,000 505-char remark

    Show marketing remark (505 chars)

    This charming one-story home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, perfectly blending comfort and functionality. The open layout features a welcoming living room with a cozy fireplace, while the kitchen includes a convenient bar for casual dining and entertaining. The primary suite boasts a double vanity and ample space for relaxation. Enjoy the outdoors in the spacious backyard, fully enclosed with a wood privacy fence. A two-car garage completes this well-maintained property. Schedule a showing today!

24. 2025-08-01
    price $250,000 505-char remark

    Show marketing remark (505 chars)

    This charming one-story home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, perfectly blending comfort and functionality. The open layout features a welcoming living room with a cozy fireplace, while the kitchen includes a convenient bar for casual dining and entertaining. The primary suite boasts a double vanity and ample space for relaxation. Enjoy the outdoors in the spacious backyard, fully enclosed with a wood privacy fence. A two-car garage completes this well-maintained property. Schedule a showing today!

25. 2025-07-17
    listed $255,000 Active 505-char remark

    Show marketing remark (505 chars)

    This charming one-story home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, perfectly blending comfort and functionality. The open layout features a welcoming living room with a cozy fireplace, while the kitchen includes a convenient bar for casual dining and entertaining. The primary suite boasts a double vanity and ample space for relaxation. Enjoy the outdoors in the spacious backyard, fully enclosed with a wood privacy fence. A two-car garage completes this well-maintained property. Schedule a showing today!

26. 2014-03-17
    soldstatus
27. 2012-07-02
    historical
28. 2012-02-20
    listed $89,900
29. 2012-01-06
    soldstatus
30. 2006-05-10
    soldstatus
31. 2003-03-03
    soldstatus
32. 1993-05-21
    soldstatus $73,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $4,971 · $414/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $4,971 · $414/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,939
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,875
• − Property taxes: −$4,971
• − Insurance: −$1,060
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,075
• − Management: −$2,075
• − HOA: −$516
• − Depreciation: −$6,167
• Taxable loss: −$2,801
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$672
• After-tax cash flow: $1,276/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Humble ISD
• NCES district ID: 4823910
• Math proficiency: 38% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 44% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $83,946
• Composite: 38.55/100
• National rank: #4171
• State rank: #262 of 826 in TX

Livability — Atascocita

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #346
• US rank: #7586

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Atascocita, TX
• County: Harris County · 4,702,590 people
• City population: 79,538
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 79,538
• Household income: $122,241
• Rent vs Own: 18.3% rent · 81.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 1072.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 5,571,493 people
• By 2030: 6,089,821 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 7,142,806 · +28.2%
• By 2050: 8,185,864 · +46.9%
• By 2075: 10,574,329 · +89.8%
• By 2100: 12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
• Race & ethnicity: White 42% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 21% Two or more races 18% Asian 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 20% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
• Languages at home: 78% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -0.95%
• Current HPI: 218.0478
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.09%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+195.9% since first listed

18 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-16 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2026-03-18 Pending — HARMLS
• 2026-03-09 Pending — HARMLS
• 2026-01-09 Price Changed $216,000 HARMLS
• 2025-12-05 Price Changed $220,000 HARMLS
• 2025-10-03 Price Changed $225,000 HARMLS
• 2025-09-05 Price Changed $227,000 HARMLS
• 2025-08-22 Price Changed $234,000 HARMLS
• 2025-08-15 Price Changed $240,000 HARMLS
• 2025-08-01 Price Changed $250,000 HARMLS
• 2025-07-17 Listed $255,000 HARMLS
• 2014-03-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2012-07-02 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2012-02-20 Listed $89,900 HARMLS
• 2012-01-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2006-05-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2003-03-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1993-05-21 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,971 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.