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4360 Drumheller Rd
D Composite 44.64
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.7/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.8/30.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$190,000

4360 Drumheller Rd · Bath, MI 48808
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
1.09 ac lot Est $226k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Bring your vision and make this spacious 1-acre property your own! This charming home offers solid potential for buyers looking for an opportunity to create something special! With generous outdoor space, mature trees, and room to expand, the possibilities are endless. The home features a functional layout with a dining area off the kitchen, a family room, living room and 1st floor laundry! The primary bedroom completes the 1st floor and 2 additional bedrooms on the 2nd floor. A detached 3-car garage (32x40) offers abundant space for vehicles, storage, workshop projects, or hobby enthusiasts! UPDATES INCLUDE: New roofs (house, garage & shed) - (2024), New furnace and A/C (2016) and New Septic Tank AND Drain field (2012). Freezer in bsmt stays w/ home. Home is being sold "as is".

Key facts

  • Functional layout
  • 1 acre property
  • Mature trees

Tags

1 ACRE PROPERTYGENEROUS OUTDOOR SPACEMATURE TREESDETACHED 3 CAR GARAGEFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTDINING AREA OFF KITCHEN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached oversized garage with 3 spaces; Garage door opener; Floor drain
  • Utilities: Septic tank; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Two levels; Living area approximately 1467; Primary use: residential
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Year built not specified
  • Exterior features: Deck; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (13.6 x 10.9); Bedroom 2 (13.7 x 10.5); Bedroom 3 (10.9 x 7.4)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Water softener (owned); Daylight full basement with crawl space (Michigan style)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer included; Main level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-53 ($-634/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $181k (4.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $153k (19.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $153k (19.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.0% in Bath — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#335 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bath Community Schools (suburban): math 25% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #247 of 540 in MI (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $152,649 (19.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
5.96%
Cash-on-cash
-1.19%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$226,380
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4364 E Clark Rd 0.53mi 3/1.0 960 (+4%) 24mo $235,000 $245 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.3%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-34,162
Equity at exit
$28,330
10-year hold
IRR
-10.6%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-34,120
Equity at exit
$16,428

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48808

Home prices YoY
-22.5%
Active inventory
24
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,526 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$183 /mo · $2,198/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$321
Net cashflow
$-53

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,593
Max offer price $180,671
Occupancy floor 98%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 695-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $190,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,198 · $183/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,562 · $214/mo
Expected delta
+$364/yr (+$30/mo · 16.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,318
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$2,198
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,465
− Management
−$1,465
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable loss
−$3,931
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$944
After-tax cash flow
$310/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bath Community Schools
NCES district ID
2604170
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$57,276
Composite
31.78/100
National rank
#5889
State rank
#247 of 540 in MI

Livability — Bath

Score
69/100
State rank
#335
US rank
#8214

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
6,424
Population (ZIP)
6,424

Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
81,490 people
By 2030
82,558 · +1.3%
By 2040
82,325 · +1.0%
By 2050
79,133 · -2.9%
By 2075
65,737 · -19.3%
By 2100
51,314 · -37.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clinton

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.6) · D 44.9% · R 53.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-9.3pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -8.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.6 2020: R+6.5 2016: R+12.7 2012: R+6.2 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.96%
Current HPI
258.5227
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $190,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $190,000 Greater Lansing AoR

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,198 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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