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1000 9th Street South #114
D Composite 42.04
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +9.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Cash flow +0.0/30.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$72,500

1000 9th Street South #114 · St. James, MN 56081
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 884 sqft · SingleFamily · 71 Days on market
Built 1996 Average condition $82/sqft · 24% below area Est $95k · 24% under $620/mo HOA · 75% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Attractive two-bedroom unit at Homestead Cooperative. This unit has a walk-thru kitchen, dining area, nice sized living room, primary bedroom has a large walk-in closet with organizers, and spacious second bedroom. Homestead Cooperative has many amenities to offer including community room with kitchen, recreation room, exercise room, beauty shop, extra storage area, and an attached garage. Must see to appreciate all the amenities this unit has to offer!

Key facts

  • Walk-thru kitchen
  • Recreation room
  • Walk-in closet

Tags

WALK-THRU KITCHENDINING AREALIVING ROOMWALK-IN CLOSETCOMMUNITY ROOMRECREATION ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-469 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $5k (93.7% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($825 rent vs $72k).
  • Recommended offer: $5k (93.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate -1.5% vs local median 3.5% in St. James — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. James Public School District (town): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #226 of 301 in MN (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: St. James Northside Elementary (math 45% / reading 42%, grade F, #569 of 857 statewide, top 67%, 480 students, 66% FRL); St. James Middle/High School (math 29% / reading 43%, grade F, #300 of 471 statewide, top 64%, 551 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 43% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4 units permitted in Watonwan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($501 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (9.0% local appreciation)).
  • Watonwan County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 75% of rent.
Recommended offer $4,594 (93.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 94% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
-1.47%
Cash-on-cash
-27.74%
DSCR
-0.23
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$94,900
List price
$72,500
Delta
-23.60%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1000 S 9th St #115 0.00mi 2/1.0 844 (-4%) 2mo $65,000 $77 91
920 S Armstrong Blvd 0.22mi 1/1.0 (-1) 984 (+11%) 1mo $97,850 $99 65
925 7th Street South St 0.12mi 2/1.0 952 (+8%) 21mo $85,000 $89 64
217 S 4th Street St 0.48mi 2/1.0 940 (+6%) 14mo $95,200 $101 56
1003 5th Avenue South Ave 0.43mi 2/— 1,012 (+14%) 22mo $120,000 $119 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.04% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.2%
Equity multiple
1.26×
Total profit
$5,286
Equity at exit
$60,309
10-year hold
IRR
6.7%
Equity multiple
2.92×
Total profit
$38,877
Equity at exit
$125,076

Cash invested: $20,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56081

Home prices YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$825 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$380
Tax est. 1.5%
$91 /mo · $1,088/yr
Insurance
$30
HOA
$620
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$173
Net cashflow
$-469

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,419
Max offer price $4,594
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-419 -5% $-444 +0% $-469 +5% $-494 +10% $-519
Rent -10% $-534 -5% $-502 +0% $-469 +5% $-437 +10% $-404
Rate -1.0pp $-433 -0.5pp $-451 base $-469 +0.5pp $-488 +1.0pp $-507

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,125
Closing costs
$2,175
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1212 Heckman Ct Unit 1 St James, MN 1.0 1.0 1100 $825 $0.75 45d 1 0.42mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$620 · $7,440/yr

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $72,500 Pending 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $72,500 Active 68 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $72,500 Active 67 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $72,500 Active 66 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $72,500 Active 64 DOM
  6. 2026-06-04
    days on market $72,500 Active 62 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $72,500 Active 61 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $72,500 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $72,500 Active 59 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $72,500 Active 58 DOM
  11. 2026-03-31
    listed $74,500 Active 457-char remark
    Show marketing remark (457 chars)

    Attractive two-bedroom unit at Homestead Cooperative. This unit has a walk-thru kitchen, dining area, nice sized living room, primary bedroom has a large walk-in closet with organizers, and spacious second bedroom. Homestead Cooperative has many amenities to offer including community room with kitchen, recreation room, exercise room, beauty shop, extra storage area, and an attached garage. Must see to appreciate all the amenities this unit has to offer!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,900
− Mortgage interest
−$4,061
− Property taxes
−$1,088
− Insurance
−$362
− Repairs & maintenance
−$792
− Management
−$792
− HOA
−$7,440
− Depreciation
−$2,109
Taxable loss
−$6,744
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,619
After-tax cash flow
$-4,013/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Average 55/100 Moderate rehab

This two-bedroom unit at Homestead Cooperative is in average condition with moderate rehab needs. It offers a walk-through kitchen, dining area, and spacious living areas. Updates to the interior walls, ceiling fans, and kitchen and bathroom fixtures would significantly enhance its value and appeal to potential buyers or renters.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear
  • Minor kitchen countertops — laminate wear
  • Minor bathroom fixtures — standard, no visible damage

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace ceiling fans — modernizes the space and improves air circulation
  • Both update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizes the kitchen and improves functionality
  • Both update bathroom fixtures — modernizes the bathroom and improves functionality

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · slight wear Minor $500–3,000
kitchen countertops · laminate wear Minor $500–3,000
bathroom fixtures · standard, no visible damage Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $1,500–9,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace ceiling fans — modernizes the space and improves air circulation
  • Both update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizes the kitchen and improves functionality
  • Both update bathroom fixtures — modernizes the bathroom and improves functionality

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. James Public School District
NCES district ID
2733600
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$48,256
Composite
33.89/100
National rank
#5345
State rank
#226 of 301 in MN

Livability — St. James

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. James, MN
City population
6,092
Population (ZIP)
6,092

Population outlook (Watonwan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,579 people
By 2030
10,354 · -2.1%
By 2040
9,923 · -6.2%
By 2050
9,558 · -9.7%
By 2075
9,236 · -12.7%
By 2100
8,812 · -16.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 35% Two or more races 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 15% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 29%

Political lean MEDSL · Watonwan

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.8) · D 35.1% · R 62.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-28.5pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -27.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.8 2020: R+21.5 2016: R+19.2 2012: R+0.5 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.04%
Current HPI
292.2265
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $74,500 RASM

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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