303 S Elm St · Pittsburg, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Additional den
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $195 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 5.4% in Pittsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#270 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Pittsburg (town): math 29% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #111 of 169 in KS (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.8%/yr); 139 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $68k; list at $150k implies a 121% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.56%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $110,880
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 303 S Elm St | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 2,016 (0%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $74 | 97 |
| 201 S Walnut St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,950 (-3%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $54 | 71 |
| 503 S Elm St | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 | 2,170 (+8%) | 17mo | $132,500 | $61 | 65 |
| 103 N Walnut St | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 | 1,803 (-11%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $108 | 61 |
| 208 S Catalpa St | 0.67mi | 4/1.5 | 2,074 (+3%) | 6mo | $79,900 | $39 | 59 |
| 502 W Kansas St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,971 (-2%) | 11mo | $78,000 | $40 | 54 |
| 407 W Adams St | 0.69mi | 4/1.5 | 2,055 (+2%) | 18mo | $179,900 | $88 | 50 |
| 308 N Miles St | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 1,903 (-6%) | 10mo | $105,000 | $55 | 49 |
| 611 N Walnut St | 0.65mi | 4/1.5 | 1,906 (-6%) | 14mo | $79,900 | $42 | 49 |
| 612 W Kansas St | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 | 1,793 (-11%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $98 | 42 |
| 303 W Park St | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 | 1,716 (-15%) | 11mo | $69,000 | $40 | 40 |
| 405 W 5th St | 0.61mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,871 (-7%) | 18mo | $95,000 | $51 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-3,964
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.16×
- Total profit
- $48,701
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66762
- Rents YoY
- 13.8%
- Active inventory
- 139
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,506 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$146 /mo · $1,749/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $195
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-17status Pending
-
2026-03-22$150,000 Active
-
2002-04-01soldstatus $68,000
-
1993-05-01soldstatus $37,000
-
1992-03-01soldstatus $42,007
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,749 · $146/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,115 · $176/mo
- Expected delta
- +$366/yr (+$31/mo · 20.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,066
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,749
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,445
- − Management
- −$1,445
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$89
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$21
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,356/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pittsburg
- NCES district ID
- 2010710
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,608
- Composite
- 24.63/100
- National rank
- #7629
- State rank
- #111 of 169 in KS
Livability — Pittsburg
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #12149
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pittsburg, KS
- County
- Crawford County · 24,907 people
- City population
- 24,907
- Metro
- Pittsburg, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,907
- Household income
- $50,511
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1186.0
Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,393 people
- By 2030
- 39,540 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 39,452 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 39,188 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 39,038 · -0.9%
- By 2100
- 38,219 · -3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Crawford
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.5% · R 61.7% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: 1.4pp · 2024: -25.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.3 2020: R+23.1 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+6.5 2008: D+1.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -171.14%
- Current HPI
- 158.7878
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 13.80%
- Metro
- Pittsburg, KS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+257.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-22 Listed $150,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
- 1993-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
- 1992-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $42,007 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,749 · +12.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…