6 Crystal Mews Ln · East Hampton North, NY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.2/30.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.4/10.0
- DSCR +0.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,795,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover the charm of East Hampton's latest 55+ community, featuring six beautifully crafted colonial-style homes set to be completed in 2024. These residences offer 3 bedrooms and 3.5 baths, each designed with spacious, open layouts and lofty ceilings that enhance the overall sense of grandeur. The living area is anchored by a sleek gas fireplace and seamlessly connects to a gourmet kitchen. Here, you'll find top-of-the-line stainless steel appliances, including a true gas stove, and an extended bar-style countertop perfect for casual meals. The kitchen also provides easy access to a private outdoor patio, ideal for al fresco dining. Each home boasts a luxurious main-floor master suite, fe
Key facts
- Colonial-style homes
- Slate patio
- Gas fireplace
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached private parking
- Utilities: Septic tank
- Home design: Townhouse (single-family residence); New construction; Two levels
- Construction: Wood siding and frame construction
- Exterior features: Located on a cul-de-sac; Near public transit; Close to shops
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom located downstairs
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring throughout
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating with forced air; Central air conditioning; One fireplace
- Interior features: Primary bedroom on the main level; Six total rooms; Full basement; Attic (see remarks)
- Laundry & utility: Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $1.79M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-6k ($-69k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($20k rent vs $1.79M).
- Recommended offer: $1.58M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,013 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- East Hampton Union Free School District (town): math 62% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #159 of 590 in NY (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: John M Marshall Elementary School (math 57% / reading 62%, grade B-, #745 of 2,108 statewide, top 39%, 548 students, 51% FRL); East Hampton Middle School (math 39% / reading 60%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 265 students, 42% FRL); East Hampton High School (math 94% / reading 98%, grade A+, #71 of 1,100 statewide, top 7%, 1,015 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 44% FRL vs 26% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.3%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $20,116/mo this rent would consume 186% of the median local household income ($130k/yr) (locally 896% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $22k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $94k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 570 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.58M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $300k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $420k; list at $1.79M implies a 327% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 570 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.64% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.84%
- DSCR
- 0.65
- GRM
- 13.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $3,127,200
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Crystal Mews Ln | 0.00mi | 3/3.5 | 2,400 (0%) | 0mo | $1,795,000 | $748 | 100 |
| 4 Crystal Mews Ln | 0.01mi | 3/4.0 | 2,400 (0%) | 13mo | $1,750,000 | $729 | 86 |
| 10 Lauras Ln | 0.39mi | 3/4.5 | 2,123 (-12%) | 6mo | $2,850,000 | $1,342 | 54 |
| 8 Lauras Ln | 0.43mi | 4/4.0 (+1) | 2,059 (-14%) | 5mo | $2,682,000 | $1,303 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-764,426
- Equity at exit
- $466,276
- IRR
- -10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-649,654
- Equity at exit
- $270,383
Cash invested: $875,616 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11937
- Rents YoY
- 12.3%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $20,116 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$16,399
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$3,909 /mo · $46,908/yr
- Insurance
- −$1,303
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$4,224
- Net cashflow
- $-5,720
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $781,800
- Closing costs
- $93,816
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Spring Close Ln East Hampton, NY | 4.0 | 4.5 | 2200 | $25,000 | $11.36 | 1d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 96 Town Ln East Hampton, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $25,000 | $13.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 493 Abrahams Path Amagansett, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $49,000 | $29.70 | 22d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 7 Miller Ln W East Hampton, NY | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2600 | $90,000 | $34.62 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-04-12status Pending
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2026-01-07status Active
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2026-01-01historical
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2025-05-29status Active
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2025-05-29historical
-
2025-05-25price $1,795,000
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2025-05-09price $1,825,000
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2025-03-22price $1,895,000
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2024-10-16price $1,995,000
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2024-09-13$2,095,000 Active
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2024-05-16$2,095,000 Active
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2022-04-13soldstatus $420,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,791 · $316/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $17,063 · $1,422/mo
- Expected delta
- +$13,272/yr (+$1,106/mo · 350.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $241,391
- − Mortgage interest
- −$175,172
- − Property taxes
- −$46,908
- − Insurance
- −$15,636
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$19,311
- − Management
- −$19,311
- − Depreciation
- −$90,973
- Taxable loss
- −$125,920
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$30,221
- After-tax cash flow
- $-38,417/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Hampton Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3609660
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $86,309
- Composite
- 57.85/100
- National rank
- #1046
- State rank
- #159 of 590 in NY
Livability — East Hampton North
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1013
- US rank
- #19706
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Hampton North, NY
- County
- Suffolk County · 679,920 people
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,882
- Household income
- $129,883
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 896.0
Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,505,262 people
- By 2030
- 1,498,318 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,471,101 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 1,424,848 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 1,337,157 · -11.2%
- By 2100
- 1,217,720 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 23% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Guatemala, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 28% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -285.21%
- Current HPI
- 444.1499
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 12.28%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+327.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-12 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-07 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-01 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-29 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-29 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-25 Price Changed $1,795,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-09 Price Changed $1,825,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-22 Price Changed $1,895,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-16 Price Changed $1,995,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-13 Listed $2,095,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-16 Listed $2,095,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $420,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,791 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…