385 E 46th St · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 64.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.5/30.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,075,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 6 units. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
This 6-family brick, semi-detached building is located in a prime East Flatbush location. All 6 apartments have been updated with their own gas and electric meters. The basement is full but semi-finished plus a resident superintendent. The building is in good condition, has a new hot water heater, a new roof, a new boiler and produces good income. The annual rent roll is $93,336 and annual taxes are $20,013. Building can be delivered with 1 apartment vacant. Close to transportation which includes the 2, 3, 4 and 5 trains and the B44, B44 SBS, B46 and B46 SBS, 6, 8, 35, 12 and 7 buses to get you wherever you want to go. Close to everything restaurants, eateries, SUNY Downstate Medical Center
Key facts
- 2,160 sq ft lot
- Built 1931
- Listed 175 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6 × 2-bed/1.2-bath units multifamily listed at $1.07M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($34k/yr) — positive. Per door: $476/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($13k rent vs $1.07M).
- Recommended offer: $946k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 190 active listings in the ZIP; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $13,018/mo this rent would consume 230% of the median local household income ($68k/yr) (locally 5458% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $32k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $301k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 175 days — a 12% lower offer ($946k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 175 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.38%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $6,406
- Equity at exit
- $160,286
- IRR
- 10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $234,638
- Equity at exit
- $92,946
Cash invested: $301,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11203
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 190
- Price-to-rent
- 41.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $13,018 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,637
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1,344 /mo · $16,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$448
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,734
- Net cashflow
- $2,855
Break-even live
6-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6× units | 2 | 1.2 | $13,020 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.2 | $2,170 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.2 | $2,170 |
| #3 | 2 | 1.2 | $2,170 |
| #4 | 2 | 1.2 | $2,170 |
| #5 | 2 | 1.2 | $2,170 |
| #6 | 2 | 1.2 | $2,170 |
| Total (6 units) | $13,018 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $268,750
- Closing costs
- $32,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2024-07-16status Pending
-
2024-05-29price $1,075,000
-
2024-05-20price $1,079,000
-
2024-03-18price $1,085,000
-
2024-01-23$1,088,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $156,216
- − Mortgage interest
- −$60,217
- − Property taxes
- −$16,125
- − Insurance
- −$5,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$12,497
- − Management
- −$12,497
- − Depreciation
- −$31,273
- Taxable income
- $18,232
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,376
- After-tax cash flow
- $29,886/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 74,817
- Household income
- $67,897
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5458.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 78% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% White 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 9%
- Foreign-born
- 49% · Canada, Mexico, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 10% Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -572.37%
- Current HPI
- 379.2379
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.89%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-1.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2024-07-16 Pending — BNYMLS
- 2024-05-29 Price Changed $1,075,000 BNYMLS
- 2024-05-20 Price Changed $1,079,000 BNYMLS
- 2024-03-18 Price Changed $1,085,000 BNYMLS
- 2024-01-23 Listed $1,088,000 BNYMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…