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1312 Coyote Rd
C+ Composite 60.77
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.9/30.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$114,900

1312 Coyote Rd · Clovis, NM 88101
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,232 sqft · SingleFamily · 23 Days on market
Built 1985 Good condition 1.00 ac lot ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Affordable & Move-In Ready! For under $140,000, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath double-wide manufactured home sits on a permanent foundation—making it eligible for FHA, VA, MFA, and all loan types. Situated on 1 acre of land and just 10 minutes from Cannon Air Force Base, this home offers both convenience and peace. Step onto the charming wooden front porch and enjoy the beautiful scenery of tall, mature trees that give the property a private, serene feel. Inside, you’ll find a semi-updated open layout, complete with a walk-in pantry for extra storage. Two newer storage units are included with the property—perfect for hobbies, tools, or extra belongings. With plenty of space

Key facts

  • Permanent foundation
  • Tall mature trees
  • 1 acre of land

Tags

PERMANENT FOUNDATION1 ACRE OF LANDCHARMING WOODEN FRONT PORCHTALL MATURE TREESSEMI-UPDATED OPEN LAYOUTWALK-IN PANTRY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; One covered parking space; One garage space (attached)
  • Utilities: Septic tank
  • Home design: Residential ranch-style property; 1 acre lot
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Metal roof; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Includes dishwasher
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Laminate flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $247 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#171 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Clovis Municipal Schools (town): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #13 of 29 in NM (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 464 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 169 units permitted in Curry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Curry County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $113,176 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
8.87%
Cash-on-cash
9.21%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.54% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.5%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$588
Equity at exit
$17,132
10-year hold
IRR
12.6%
Equity multiple
2.11×
Total profit
$35,781
Equity at exit
$9,934

Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 88101

Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
464
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,318 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax est. 1.5%
$144 /mo · $1,724/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$277
Net cashflow
$247

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,005
Max offer price $114,900
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,725
Closing costs
$3,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1808 Debra St Clovis, NM 3.0 2.5 1412 $1,400 $0.99 43d 1 0.43mi
1500 Echols Ave Clovis, NM 2.0 1.0–2.0 912 $948 $1.04 43d 5 0.48mi
513 Tucker Ave Clovis, NM 3.0 2.0 1168 $1,150 $0.98 43d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $114,900 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $114,900 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $114,900 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $114,900 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $114,900 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $114,900 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $114,900 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $114,900 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $114,900 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $114,900 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $114,900 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $114,900 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $114,900 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $114,900 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $114,900 Active 3 DOM
  16. 2026-05-28
    listed $114,900 Active
  17. 2026-02-10
    price $129,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,814
− Mortgage interest
−$6,436
− Property taxes
−$1,724
− Insurance
−$574
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,265
− Management
−$1,265
− Depreciation
−$3,343
Taxable income
$1,207
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$290
After-tax cash flow
$2,675/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready manufactured home on a permanent foundation offers a good condition with potential for modest updates to enhance its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value.
  • Both Replace countertops — Updated countertops can improve both resale and rental value.
  • Both Install new flooring in bathrooms — New flooring can enhance both resale and rental value.
  • Both Update kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and attract more buyers and renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value.
  • Both Replace countertops — Updated countertops can improve both resale and rental value.
  • Both Install new flooring in bathrooms — New flooring can enhance both resale and rental value.
  • Both Update kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and attract more buyers and renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clovis Municipal Schools
NCES district ID
3500570
Math proficiency
31% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 14.00%
Median HH income
$40,532
Composite
33.52/100
National rank
#5435
State rank
#13 of 29 in NM

Livability — Clovis

Score
56/100
State rank
#171
US rank
#22374

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clovis, NM
County
Curry County · 44,846 people
City population
44,846
Metro
Clovis, NM
Population (ZIP)
44,846
Household income
$56,587
Rent vs Own
38.2% rent · 61.8% own
Severe rent burden
1724.0

Population outlook (Curry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,742 people
By 2030
47,759 · -2.0%
By 2040
45,444 · -6.8%
By 2050
42,403 · -13.0%
By 2075
33,878 · -30.5%
By 2100
22,414 · -54.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 47% White 42% Two or more races 14% Black 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 36%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 25%

Political lean MEDSL · Curry

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.6) · D 27.8% · R 70.4% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: -34.1pp · 2024: -42.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.6 2020: R+40.6 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+38.6 2008: R+34.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -150.79%
Current HPI
121.1877
Rent YoY
▲ 5.54%
Metro
Clovis, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-11.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $114,900 NMMLS
  • 2026-02-10 Price Changed $129,900 NMMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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