196 Lakeridge Dr · Temple, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.3/15.0
- Cash flow +7.4/30.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.7/10.0
- DSCR +1.5/10.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This well appointed three bedroom, two bath, four sided brick ranch is located in the Plantation of Lakeshore community and offers a thoughtful one level layout designed for comfort and ease. Highlights include a level lot, patio with outdoor fire pit, and a four sided brick storage building for added functionality. Inside, the kitchen features stainless steel appliances, a breakfast area, and bar seating overlooking the family room. A separate sitting room with a gas log fireplace and large windows throughout provide warmth and natural light.
Key facts
- Four sided brick
- Patio and fire pit
- Bar seating
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-511 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $210k (30.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (32.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $202k (32.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#60 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Carroll County (rural): math 42% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #38 of 174 in GA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 189 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 876 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (150 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Carroll County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($273k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $221k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.67% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.51%
- DSCR
- 0.75
- GRM
- 12.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $312,098
- List price
- $299,900
- Delta
- -3.91%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 196 Lakeridge Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 2,103 (0%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $131 | 99 |
| 240 River Oak Ct | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 2,044 (-3%) | 5mo | $339,000 | $166 | 70 |
| 27 Magnolia Bay | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 2,235 (+6%) | 16mo | $336,000 | $150 | 68 |
| 360 S Red Oak Way | 0.42mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,020 (-4%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $129 | 63 |
| 525 Clinton Dr | 0.33mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,191 (+4%) | 9mo | $320,000 | $146 | 63 |
| 309 Dean Ct | 0.37mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,193 (+4%) | 11mo | $319,000 | $145 | 59 |
| 375 Lakeridge Dr | 0.35mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,100 (-0%) | 19mo | $470,000 | $224 | 58 |
| 148 White Pine Ln | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,805 (-14%) | 10mo | $229,900 | $127 | 58 |
| 390 Bar J Rd | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,925 (-8%) | 6mo | $279,900 | $145 | 49 |
| 100 Slash Pine Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,798 (-14%) | 19mo | $275,000 | $153 | 46 |
| 576 Bar J Rd | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,790 (-15%) | 20mo | $260,000 | $145 | 44 |
| 16 Edgewater Dr | 0.59mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,376 (+13%) | 14mo | $465,000 | $196 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $130,841
- Equity at exit
- $270,174
- IRR
- 17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.89×
- Total profit
- $410,997
- Equity at exit
- $582,640
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30179
- Home prices YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 189
- Price-to-rent
- 12.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,019 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$266 /mo · $3,193/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$17
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$424
- Net cashflow
- $-511
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 186 S Red Oak Way Temple, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1736 | $1,790 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 269 Villa Rosa Way Temple, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1664 | $1,925 | $1.16 | 1d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 273 Patriot Dr Temple, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1720 | $2,100 | $1.22 | 12d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 261 Stagecoach Pass Temple, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2205 | $1,779 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 121 Breckenridge Pt Temple, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1687 | $1,800 | $1.07 | 19d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 215 Waters Edge Pkwy Temple, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2290 | $2,099 | $0.92 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 142 Waters Edge Pkwy Temple, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2185 | $1,999 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $17 · $204/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-05-10status Pending 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (552 chars)
This well appointed three bedroom, two bath, four sided brick ranch is located in the Plantation of Lakeshore community and offers a thoughtful one level layout designed for comfort and ease. Highlights include a level lot, patio with outdoor fire pit, and a four sided brick storage building for added functionality. Inside, the kitchen features stainless steel appliances, a breakfast area, and bar seating overlooking the family room. A separate sitting room with a gas log fireplace and large windows throughout provide warmth and natural light.
-
2026-05-10status Under Contract 552-char remark
Show marketing remark (552 chars)
This well appointed three bedroom, two bath, four sided brick ranch is located in the Plantation of Lakeshore community and offers a thoughtful one level layout designed for comfort and ease. Highlights include a level lot, patio with outdoor fire pit, and a four sided brick storage building for added functionality. Inside, the kitchen features stainless steel appliances, a breakfast area, and bar seating overlooking the family room. A separate sitting room with a gas log fireplace and large windows throughout provide warmth and natural light.
-
2026-04-08price $299,900 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (552 chars)
This well appointed three bedroom, two bath, four sided brick ranch is located in the Plantation of Lakeshore community and offers a thoughtful one level layout designed for comfort and ease. Highlights include a level lot, patio with outdoor fire pit, and a four sided brick storage building for added functionality. Inside, the kitchen features stainless steel appliances, a breakfast area, and bar seating overlooking the family room. A separate sitting room with a gas log fireplace and large windows throughout provide warmth and natural light.
-
2026-04-08price $299,900 552-char remark
Show marketing remark (552 chars)
This well appointed three bedroom, two bath, four sided brick ranch is located in the Plantation of Lakeshore community and offers a thoughtful one level layout designed for comfort and ease. Highlights include a level lot, patio with outdoor fire pit, and a four sided brick storage building for added functionality. Inside, the kitchen features stainless steel appliances, a breakfast area, and bar seating overlooking the family room. A separate sitting room with a gas log fireplace and large windows throughout provide warmth and natural light.
-
2026-02-26status Active 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
This well appointed three bedroom, two bath, four sided brick ranch is located in the Plantation of Lakeshore community and offers a thoughtful one level layout designed for comfort and ease. Highlights include a level lot, patio with outdoor fire pit, and a four sided brick storage building for added functionality. Inside, the kitchen features stainless steel appliances, a breakfast area, and bar seating overlooking the family room. A separate sitting room with a gas log fireplace and large windows throughout provide warmth and natural light.
-
2026-02-26status Back On Market 552-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
This well appointed three bedroom, two bath, four sided brick ranch is located in the Plantation of Lakeshore community and offers a thoughtful one level layout designed for comfort and ease. Highlights include a level lot, patio with outdoor fire pit, and a four sided brick storage building for added functionality. Inside, the kitchen features stainless steel appliances, a breakfast area, and bar seating overlooking the family room. A separate sitting room with a gas log fireplace and large windows throughout provide warmth and natural light.
-
2026-02-26status Under Contract 552-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
This well appointed three bedroom, two bath, four sided brick ranch is located in the Plantation of Lakeshore community and offers a thoughtful one level layout designed for comfort and ease. Highlights include a level lot, patio with outdoor fire pit, and a four sided brick storage building for added functionality. Inside, the kitchen features stainless steel appliances, a breakfast area, and bar seating overlooking the family room. A separate sitting room with a gas log fireplace and large windows throughout provide warmth and natural light.
-
2026-02-26status Pending 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
This well appointed three bedroom, two bath, four sided brick ranch is located in the Plantation of Lakeshore community and offers a thoughtful one level layout designed for comfort and ease. Highlights include a level lot, patio with outdoor fire pit, and a four sided brick storage building for added functionality. Inside, the kitchen features stainless steel appliances, a breakfast area, and bar seating overlooking the family room. A separate sitting room with a gas log fireplace and large windows throughout provide warmth and natural light.
-
2026-02-20price $319,900 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (552 chars)
This well appointed three bedroom, two bath, four sided brick ranch is located in the Plantation of Lakeshore community and offers a thoughtful one level layout designed for comfort and ease. Highlights include a level lot, patio with outdoor fire pit, and a four sided brick storage building for added functionality. Inside, the kitchen features stainless steel appliances, a breakfast area, and bar seating overlooking the family room. A separate sitting room with a gas log fireplace and large windows throughout provide warmth and natural light.
-
2026-02-20price $319,900 552-char remark
Show marketing remark (552 chars)
This well appointed three bedroom, two bath, four sided brick ranch is located in the Plantation of Lakeshore community and offers a thoughtful one level layout designed for comfort and ease. Highlights include a level lot, patio with outdoor fire pit, and a four sided brick storage building for added functionality. Inside, the kitchen features stainless steel appliances, a breakfast area, and bar seating overlooking the family room. A separate sitting room with a gas log fireplace and large windows throughout provide warmth and natural light.
-
2026-01-12$349,900 Active 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (552 chars)
This well appointed three bedroom, two bath, four sided brick ranch is located in the Plantation of Lakeshore community and offers a thoughtful one level layout designed for comfort and ease. Highlights include a level lot, patio with outdoor fire pit, and a four sided brick storage building for added functionality. Inside, the kitchen features stainless steel appliances, a breakfast area, and bar seating overlooking the family room. A separate sitting room with a gas log fireplace and large windows throughout provide warmth and natural light.
-
2026-01-12$349,900 New 552-char remark
Show marketing remark (552 chars)
This well appointed three bedroom, two bath, four sided brick ranch is located in the Plantation of Lakeshore community and offers a thoughtful one level layout designed for comfort and ease. Highlights include a level lot, patio with outdoor fire pit, and a four sided brick storage building for added functionality. Inside, the kitchen features stainless steel appliances, a breakfast area, and bar seating overlooking the family room. A separate sitting room with a gas log fireplace and large windows throughout provide warmth and natural light.
-
2020-10-28soldstatus $221,000
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2020-10-15soldstatus $221,000 Sold
-
2020-09-09status Under Contract
-
2020-09-05$199,900 New
-
2015-10-13price $159,000
-
2015-09-24soldstatus $159,000 Sold
-
2015-09-24soldstatus $159,000
-
2015-08-10status Under Contract
-
2015-08-10price $169,900
-
2015-07-10$169,900 New
-
2015-06-30historical
-
2014-09-30$169,000 New
-
1995-05-12soldstatus $17,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,193 · $266/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,193 · $266/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,228
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$3,193
- − Insurance
- −$3,002
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,938
- − Management
- −$1,938
- − HOA
- −$204
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable loss
- −$11,571
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,777
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,355/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carroll County
- NCES district ID
- 1300840
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,692
- Composite
- 35.62/100
- National rank
- #4888
- State rank
- #38 of 174 in GA
Livability — Temple
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #60
- US rank
- #5802
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Carroll County · 124,888 people
- City population
- 19,882
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,882
- Household income
- $76,571
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 396.0
Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 123,370 people
- By 2030
- 127,186 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 133,534 · +8.2%
- By 2050
- 137,612 · +11.5%
- By 2075
- 142,892 · +15.8%
- By 2100
- 136,294 · +10.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Carroll
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.2) · D 29.1% · R 70.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -41.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.2 2020: R+39.0 2016: R+40.1 2012: R+37.7 2008: R+32.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 27.16%
- Current HPI
- 435.3863
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+1613.7% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Pending — FMLS
- 2026-05-10 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $299,900 FMLS
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $299,900 GAMLS
- 2026-02-26 Relisted — FMLS
- 2026-02-26 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-02-26 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-02-26 Pending — FMLS
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $319,900 FMLS
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $319,900 GAMLS
- 2026-01-12 Listed $349,900 GAMLS
- 2026-01-12 Listed $349,900 FMLS
- 2020-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $221,000 Public Records
- 2020-10-15 Sold (MLS) $221,000 GAMLS
- 2020-09-09 Pending — GAMLS
- 2020-09-05 Listed $199,900 GAMLS
- 2015-10-13 Price Changed $159,000 GAMLS
- 2015-09-24 Sold (MLS) $159,000 GAMLS
- 2015-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $159,000 Public Records
- 2015-08-10 Pending — GAMLS
- 2015-08-10 Price Changed $169,900 GAMLS
- 2015-07-10 Listed $169,900 GAMLS
- 2015-06-30 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2014-09-30 Listed $169,000 GAMLS
- 1995-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $17,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,193 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…