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263 DISCOVERY LANE Plan
C- Composite 53.57
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.5/30.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.0/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.6/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,995

263 DISCOVERY LANE Plan · North Fort Myers, FL 33903
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 900 sqft · Manufactured · 163 Days on market
Est $117k · 15% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Experience refined, low-maintenance living in this beautifully appointed new 2 bedroom, 2 bath open-concept home, designed with the 55+ lifestyle in mind. The kitchen showcases elegant track lighting and a complete appliance package, blending style with everyday functionality. The spacious main suite features a private en-suite with a walk-in shower, while the guest bath offers a tub/shower combination ideal for both comfort and relaxation. A private storage shed provides ample space for your extras, and the covered carport adds convenience while enhancing your outdoor living experience

Key facts

  • Open-concept home
  • Covered carport
  • Private en-suite

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT HOMECOMPLETE APPLIANCE PACKAGEPRIVATE EN-SUITEWALK-IN SHOWERPRIVATE STORAGE SHEDCOVERED CARPORT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Address: 8791 Littleton Rd, North Fort Myers FL 33903; Status: Active; Last modified: 2026-04-28T16:08:08.419Z
  • Financial info: List price $134,995

Exterior

  • Home design: Plan: 263 DISCOVERY LANE

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
  • Interior features: Living area of 900

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $314 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.6% in North Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#269 in FL, #4,409 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 472 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $118,795 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
9.09%
Cash-on-cash
9.98%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$117,000
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3541 Celestial Way 0.57mi 2/2.0 864 (-4%) 7mo $50,000 $58 61
16034 Citron Way 0.66mi 2/2.0 960 (+7%) 7mo $125,000 $130 52
16041 Citron Way 0.69mi 2/2.0 960 (+7%) 6mo $92,000 $96 51
564 Hogan Dr 0.44mi 2/2.0 1,018 (+13%) 12mo $144,900 $142 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.7%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-6,454
Equity at exit
$20,128
10-year hold
IRR
1.0%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$2,380
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,799 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33903

Rents YoY
-1.9%
Active inventory
472
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,579 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$332
Net cashflow
$314

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,181
Max offer price $134,995
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,749
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8791 Littleton Rd North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1074 $1,549 $1.44 23d 1 0.14mi
28 Nyborg Ave North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1042 $1,299 $1.25 14d 1 0.18mi
3404 Rainbow Ln North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,800 $1.70 3d 1 0.57mi
3260 Stockton St North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 1.0–2.0 976 $2,371 $2.43 1d 27 0.61mi
571 Sunrise Ln North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1004 $1,400 $1.39 23d 1 0.70mi
538 State St North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,199 $1.20 23d 1 0.78mi
2700 Diplomat Pkwy E Cape Coral, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1116 $2,382 $2.13 3d 41 0.82mi
260 Stockton St North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 924 $1,200 $1.30 3d 1 0.92mi
248 Stockton St North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 924 $1,300 $1.41 23d 1 0.93mi
247 Stockton St North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 924 $1,325 $1.43 23d 1 0.95mi
446 San Bernardino St North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 1104 $1,590 $1.44 10d 1 0.95mi
2774 Wedgewood Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 880 $1,300 $1.48 23d 1 1.00mi
3050 Steeple Cir Cape Coral, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1003 $1,668 $1.66 2d 27 1.05mi
4120 Pine Drop Ln North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 957 $1,895 $1.98 23d 1 1.17mi
16363 Teresa Ln North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 23d 1 1.38mi
240 W Mariana Ave Apt B North Fort Myers, FL 1.0 1.0 600 $1,295 $2.16 23d 1 1.38mi
2095 Eloise Cir North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 840 $1,295 $1.54 23d 1 1.43mi
2027 Eloise Cir North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 822 $1,300 $1.58 3d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $134,995 Active 163 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $134,995 Active 162 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $134,995 Active 161 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $134,995 Active 159 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $134,995 Active 155 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $134,995 Active 153 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $134,995 Active 147 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $134,995 Active 146 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,947
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,025
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,516
− Management
−$1,516
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$1,726
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$414
After-tax cash flow
$3,359/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Fort Myers

Score
74/100
State rank
#269
US rank
#4409

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Fort Myers, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
57,035
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,655
Household income
$56,993
Rent vs Own
17.6% rent · 82.4% own
Severe rent burden
468.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -172.26%
Current HPI
256.773
Rent YoY
▼ -1.94%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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