17 E Trail · Point Pleasant, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this well-maintained mobile home nestled in a friendly 55+ community. Set on a spacious corner lot, this home offers extra privacy and outdoor space to enjoy. Two storage sheds located in the rear are included, providing convenient and ample storage. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfortable, easy living in a peaceful setting. Water heater replaced in 2020.
Key facts
- Extra privacy
- Outdoor space
- Peaceful setting
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $718 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $41k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 25.4% vs local median 2.8% in Point Pleasant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#136 in NJ, #3,574 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Brick Township Public School District (suburban): math 18% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #330 of 472 in NJ (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 293 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 68.36%
- DSCR
- 4.04
- GRM
- 1.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $388,700
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 327 Iroquois Dr | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 896 (+6%) | 5mo | $460,000 | $513 | 51 |
| 317 Shawnee Dr | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 920 (+9%) | 20mo | $370,000 | $402 | 37 |
| 95 Solar Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 968 (+15%) | 24mo | $445,000 | $460 | 18 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 68.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.09×
- Total profit
- $38,920
- Equity at exit
- $6,710
- IRR
- 72.4%
- Equity multiple
- 8.52×
- Total profit
- $94,769
- Equity at exit
- $3,891
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08724
- Active inventory
- 293
- Price-to-rent
- 1.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,252 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$56 /mo · $675/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$750
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$473
- Net cashflow
- $718
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $749 | -5% $733 | +0% $718 | +5% $702 | +10% $687 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $540 | -5% $629 | +0% $718 | +5% $807 | +10% $896 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $740 | -0.5pp $729 | base $718 | +0.5pp $706 | +1.0pp $694 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Coolidge Dr Brick, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $2,200 | $4.07 | 19d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2775 Hooper Ave Brick, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,300 | $2.09 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $750 · $9,000/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $45,000 Pending 99 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $45,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $45,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $45,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $45,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $45,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $45,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $45,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-05-19status Active 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained mobile home nestled in a friendly 55+ community. Set on a spacious corner lot, this home offers extra privacy and outdoor space to enjoy. Two storage sheds located in the rear are included, providing convenient and ample storage. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfortable, easy living in a peaceful setting. Water heater replaced in 2020.
-
2026-05-14status Pending 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained mobile home nestled in a friendly 55+ community. Set on a spacious corner lot, this home offers extra privacy and outdoor space to enjoy. Two storage sheds located in the rear are included, providing convenient and ample storage. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfortable, easy living in a peaceful setting. Water heater replaced in 2020.
-
2026-04-29price $45,000 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained mobile home nestled in a friendly 55+ community. Set on a spacious corner lot, this home offers extra privacy and outdoor space to enjoy. Two storage sheds located in the rear are included, providing convenient and ample storage. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfortable, easy living in a peaceful setting. Water heater replaced in 2020.
-
2026-04-29status Active 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained mobile home nestled in a friendly 55+ community. Set on a spacious corner lot, this home offers extra privacy and outdoor space to enjoy. Two storage sheds located in the rear are included, providing convenient and ample storage. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfortable, easy living in a peaceful setting. Water heater replaced in 2020.
-
2026-04-27status Pending 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained mobile home nestled in a friendly 55+ community. Set on a spacious corner lot, this home offers extra privacy and outdoor space to enjoy. Two storage sheds located in the rear are included, providing convenient and ample storage. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfortable, easy living in a peaceful setting. Water heater replaced in 2020.
-
2026-04-01status Active 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained mobile home nestled in a friendly 55+ community. Set on a spacious corner lot, this home offers extra privacy and outdoor space to enjoy. Two storage sheds located in the rear are included, providing convenient and ample storage. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfortable, easy living in a peaceful setting. Water heater replaced in 2020.
-
2026-03-28status Pending 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained mobile home nestled in a friendly 55+ community. Set on a spacious corner lot, this home offers extra privacy and outdoor space to enjoy. Two storage sheds located in the rear are included, providing convenient and ample storage. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfortable, easy living in a peaceful setting. Water heater replaced in 2020.
-
2026-02-23$49,900 Active 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained mobile home nestled in a friendly 55+ community. Set on a spacious corner lot, this home offers extra privacy and outdoor space to enjoy. Two storage sheds located in the rear are included, providing convenient and ample storage. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfortable, easy living in a peaceful setting. Water heater replaced in 2020.
-
2018-08-22soldstatus $252,500
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2018-08-15soldstatus $252,500 Sold 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Here's that super cozy home you've been looking for! This meticulously well maintained home features 3 bedrooms and 1full bath. Full Basement with seperate bilco door entrance. Upgraded Kitchen, HW floors, HWBB heat, Central Air, Stainless Steel Appliances, Granite Counter-tops, Newer Roof, Paved Driveway, on an Over-Sized Lot right off of Princeton Ave!! Perfect for First-Time Home Owners, down-sizing, close to the beach getaway or investor!! Conveniently located near transportation, restaurants, beaches and entertainment!! This is a must see!!
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2018-07-13status Pending 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Here's that super cozy home you've been looking for! This meticulously well maintained home features 3 bedrooms and 1full bath. Full Basement with seperate bilco door entrance. Upgraded Kitchen, HW floors, HWBB heat, Central Air, Stainless Steel Appliances, Granite Counter-tops, Newer Roof, Paved Driveway, on an Over-Sized Lot right off of Princeton Ave!! Perfect for First-Time Home Owners, down-sizing, close to the beach getaway or investor!! Conveniently located near transportation, restaurants, beaches and entertainment!! This is a must see!!
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2018-06-29soldstatus $248,500
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2018-06-27$259,000 Active 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Here's that super cozy home you've been looking for! This meticulously well maintained home features 3 bedrooms and 1full bath. Full Basement with seperate bilco door entrance. Upgraded Kitchen, HW floors, HWBB heat, Central Air, Stainless Steel Appliances, Granite Counter-tops, Newer Roof, Paved Driveway, on an Over-Sized Lot right off of Princeton Ave!! Perfect for First-Time Home Owners, down-sizing, close to the beach getaway or investor!! Conveniently located near transportation, restaurants, beaches and entertainment!! This is a must see!!
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2018-06-01soldstatus $248,500 Sold
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2018-04-30status Pending
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2018-04-09$259,900 Active
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1980-03-01soldstatus $53,000
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1978-06-01soldstatus $56,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,019
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$675
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,162
- − Management
- −$2,162
- − HOA
- −$9,000
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $8,967
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,152
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,462/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brick Township Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3402220
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,717
- Composite
- 28.31/100
- National rank
- #6785
- State rank
- #330 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Point Pleasant
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #136
- US rank
- #3574
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 25,732
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,573
Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 586,991 people
- By 2030
- 581,403 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 564,913 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 538,149 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 468,845 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 350,297 · -40.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ocean
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -524.30%
- Current HPI
- 380.6136
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
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Price history
-20.4% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Relisted — MOMLS
- 2026-05-14 Pending — MOMLS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $45,000 MOMLS
- 2026-04-29 Relisted — MOMLS
- 2026-04-27 Pending — MOMLS
- 2026-04-01 Relisted — MOMLS
- 2026-03-28 Pending — MOMLS
- 2026-02-23 Listed $49,900 MOMLS
- 2018-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $252,500 Public Records
- 2018-08-15 Sold (MLS) $252,500 MOMLS
- 2018-07-13 Pending — MOMLS
- 2018-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $248,500 Public Records
- 2018-06-27 Listed $259,000 MOMLS
- 2018-06-01 Sold (MLS) $248,500 MOMLS
- 2018-04-30 Pending — MOMLS
- 2018-04-09 Listed $259,900 MOMLS
- 1980-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
- 1978-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $56,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $6,350 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…