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17 E Trail
D Composite 44.13
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$45,000

17 E Trail · Point Pleasant, NJ 08724
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 845 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 99 Days on market
Built 1990 $750/mo HOA · 33% of rent ↓ 20% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this well-maintained mobile home nestled in a friendly 55+ community. Set on a spacious corner lot, this home offers extra privacy and outdoor space to enjoy. Two storage sheds located in the rear are included, providing convenient and ample storage. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfortable, easy living in a peaceful setting. Water heater replaced in 2020.

Key facts

  • Extra privacy
  • Outdoor space
  • Peaceful setting

Tags

CORNER LOTEXTRA PRIVACYOUTDOOR SPACESTORAGE SHEDSPEACEFUL SETTING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $718 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $41k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 25.4% vs local median 2.8% in Point Pleasant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#136 in NJ, #3,574 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Brick Township Public School District (suburban): math 18% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #330 of 472 in NJ (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 293 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $40,950 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.00%
Cap rate
25.43%
Cash-on-cash
68.36%
DSCR
4.04
GRM
1.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$388,700
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
327 Iroquois Dr 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 896 (+6%) 5mo $460,000 $513 51
317 Shawnee Dr 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 920 (+9%) 20mo $370,000 $402 37
95 Solar Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 968 (+15%) 24mo $445,000 $460 18

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
68.2%
Equity multiple
4.09×
Total profit
$38,920
Equity at exit
$6,710
10-year hold
IRR
72.4%
Equity multiple
8.52×
Total profit
$94,769
Equity at exit
$3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08724

Active inventory
293
Price-to-rent
1.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,252 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax est. 1.5%
$56 /mo · $675/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$750
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$473
Net cashflow
$718

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,343
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $749 -5% $733 +0% $718 +5% $702 +10% $687
Rent -10% $540 -5% $629 +0% $718 +5% $807 +10% $896
Rate -1.0pp $740 -0.5pp $729 base $718 +0.5pp $706 +1.0pp $694

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
21 Coolidge Dr Brick, NJ 2.0 1.0 540 $2,200 $4.07 19d 1 1.08mi
2775 Hooper Ave Brick, NJ 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,300 $2.09 25d 1 1.22mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$750 · $9,000/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $45,000 Pending 99 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 96 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 95 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 94 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $45,000 Active 91 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $45,000 Active 90 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 89 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 88 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 87 DOM
  10. 2026-05-19
    status Active 373-char remark
    Show marketing remark (373 chars)

    Welcome to this well-maintained mobile home nestled in a friendly 55+ community. Set on a spacious corner lot, this home offers extra privacy and outdoor space to enjoy. Two storage sheds located in the rear are included, providing convenient and ample storage. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfortable, easy living in a peaceful setting. Water heater replaced in 2020.

  11. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 373-char remark
    Show marketing remark (373 chars)

    Welcome to this well-maintained mobile home nestled in a friendly 55+ community. Set on a spacious corner lot, this home offers extra privacy and outdoor space to enjoy. Two storage sheds located in the rear are included, providing convenient and ample storage. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfortable, easy living in a peaceful setting. Water heater replaced in 2020.

  12. 2026-04-29
    price $45,000 373-char remark
    Show marketing remark (373 chars)

    Welcome to this well-maintained mobile home nestled in a friendly 55+ community. Set on a spacious corner lot, this home offers extra privacy and outdoor space to enjoy. Two storage sheds located in the rear are included, providing convenient and ample storage. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfortable, easy living in a peaceful setting. Water heater replaced in 2020.

  13. 2026-04-29
    status Active 373-char remark
    Show marketing remark (373 chars)

    Welcome to this well-maintained mobile home nestled in a friendly 55+ community. Set on a spacious corner lot, this home offers extra privacy and outdoor space to enjoy. Two storage sheds located in the rear are included, providing convenient and ample storage. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfortable, easy living in a peaceful setting. Water heater replaced in 2020.

  14. 2026-04-27
    status Pending 373-char remark
    Show marketing remark (373 chars)

    Welcome to this well-maintained mobile home nestled in a friendly 55+ community. Set on a spacious corner lot, this home offers extra privacy and outdoor space to enjoy. Two storage sheds located in the rear are included, providing convenient and ample storage. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfortable, easy living in a peaceful setting. Water heater replaced in 2020.

  15. 2026-04-01
    status Active 373-char remark
    Show marketing remark (373 chars)

    Welcome to this well-maintained mobile home nestled in a friendly 55+ community. Set on a spacious corner lot, this home offers extra privacy and outdoor space to enjoy. Two storage sheds located in the rear are included, providing convenient and ample storage. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfortable, easy living in a peaceful setting. Water heater replaced in 2020.

  16. 2026-03-28
    status Pending 373-char remark
    Show marketing remark (373 chars)

    Welcome to this well-maintained mobile home nestled in a friendly 55+ community. Set on a spacious corner lot, this home offers extra privacy and outdoor space to enjoy. Two storage sheds located in the rear are included, providing convenient and ample storage. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfortable, easy living in a peaceful setting. Water heater replaced in 2020.

  17. 2026-02-23
    listed $49,900 Active 373-char remark
    Show marketing remark (373 chars)

    Welcome to this well-maintained mobile home nestled in a friendly 55+ community. Set on a spacious corner lot, this home offers extra privacy and outdoor space to enjoy. Two storage sheds located in the rear are included, providing convenient and ample storage. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfortable, easy living in a peaceful setting. Water heater replaced in 2020.

  18. 2018-08-22
    soldstatus $252,500
  19. 2018-08-15
    soldstatus $252,500 Sold 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    Here's that super cozy home you've been looking for! This meticulously well maintained home features 3 bedrooms and 1full bath. Full Basement with seperate bilco door entrance. Upgraded Kitchen, HW floors, HWBB heat, Central Air, Stainless Steel Appliances, Granite Counter-tops, Newer Roof, Paved Driveway, on an Over-Sized Lot right off of Princeton Ave!! Perfect for First-Time Home Owners, down-sizing, close to the beach getaway or investor!! Conveniently located near transportation, restaurants, beaches and entertainment!! This is a must see!!

  20. 2018-07-13
    status Pending 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    Here's that super cozy home you've been looking for! This meticulously well maintained home features 3 bedrooms and 1full bath. Full Basement with seperate bilco door entrance. Upgraded Kitchen, HW floors, HWBB heat, Central Air, Stainless Steel Appliances, Granite Counter-tops, Newer Roof, Paved Driveway, on an Over-Sized Lot right off of Princeton Ave!! Perfect for First-Time Home Owners, down-sizing, close to the beach getaway or investor!! Conveniently located near transportation, restaurants, beaches and entertainment!! This is a must see!!

  21. 2018-06-29
    soldstatus $248,500
  22. 2018-06-27
    listed $259,000 Active 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    Here's that super cozy home you've been looking for! This meticulously well maintained home features 3 bedrooms and 1full bath. Full Basement with seperate bilco door entrance. Upgraded Kitchen, HW floors, HWBB heat, Central Air, Stainless Steel Appliances, Granite Counter-tops, Newer Roof, Paved Driveway, on an Over-Sized Lot right off of Princeton Ave!! Perfect for First-Time Home Owners, down-sizing, close to the beach getaway or investor!! Conveniently located near transportation, restaurants, beaches and entertainment!! This is a must see!!

  23. 2018-06-01
    soldstatus $248,500 Sold
  24. 2018-04-30
    status Pending
  25. 2018-04-09
    listed $259,900 Active
  26. 1980-03-01
    soldstatus $53,000
  27. 1978-06-01
    soldstatus $56,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,019
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$675
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,162
− Management
−$2,162
− HOA
−$9,000
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$8,967
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,152
After-tax cash flow
$6,462/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brick Township Public School District
NCES district ID
3402220
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$68,717
Composite
28.31/100
National rank
#6785
State rank
#330 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Point Pleasant

Score
76/100
State rank
#136
US rank
#3574

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
25,732
Population (ZIP)
41,573

Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
586,991 people
By 2030
581,403 · -1.0%
By 2040
564,913 · -3.8%
By 2050
538,149 · -8.3%
By 2075
468,845 · -20.1%
By 2100
350,297 · -40.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ocean

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -524.30%
Current HPI
380.6136
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-20.4% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Relisted MOMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Pending MOMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $45,000 MOMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Relisted MOMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Pending MOMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Relisted MOMLS
  • 2026-03-28 Pending MOMLS
  • 2026-02-23 Listed $49,900 MOMLS
  • 2018-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $252,500 Public Records
  • 2018-08-15 Sold (MLS) $252,500 MOMLS
  • 2018-07-13 Pending MOMLS
  • 2018-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $248,500 Public Records
  • 2018-06-27 Listed $259,000 MOMLS
  • 2018-06-01 Sold (MLS) $248,500 MOMLS
  • 2018-04-30 Pending MOMLS
  • 2018-04-09 Listed $259,900 MOMLS
  • 1980-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
  • 1978-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $56,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,350 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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