2202 Ogden Ave · Superior, WI 54880

$219,900

4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,802 sqft · Other · 1 Days on market

Built 1917 0.81 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +14.4/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +4.4/10.0
• Livability +4.3/5.0
• 1% rule +3.8/10.0
• Rent growth +3.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.4/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Well-maintained duplex offering flexibility for investors or owner-occupants alike! The main floor unit features 2 bedrooms, an updated kitchen, and a spacious living room with a comfortable layout. Upstairs, you?ll find another 2-bedroom unit with new flooring, a brand-new kitchen, updated finishes, and a charming porch just off the living room?perfect for relaxing mornings or evenings. Additional updates include a gas boiler installed in 2010 and low-maintenance vinyl siding. The property has been well cared for throughout the years, making it a solid investment opportunity. The main floor tenant is currently month-to-month, offering added flexibility for future plans. A great opportunity to own a clean, move-in-ready duplex with strong potential!

Key facts

• Charming porch
• New flooring
• Gas boiler

Tags

• UPDATED KITCHEN
• NEW FLOORING
• CHARMING PORCH
• GAS BOILER
• LOW-MAINTENANCE VINYL SIDING

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Unit rents: one unit $825, other unit $1,000

Exterior

• Parking: Gravel parking; On-street parking
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
• Home design: Residential income property; Duplex; Two-story
• Construction: Full, partially finished basement
• Exterior features: Asphalt shingle roof; Near public transit; Paved road frontage on a city street; Lot roughly 64 x 55 (0.81 acre)

Interior

• Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units
• Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Natural gas
• Interior features: Balcony; Porch; Satellite dish

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $220k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $46 ($553/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (12.3% below list).
• Recommended offer: $193k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.6% in Superior — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 86/100 on livability (#21 in WI, #337 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-.
• Superior School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #290 of 342 in WI (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 110 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Douglas County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $192,843 (12.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.88% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.54%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.90%
• DSCR: 1.04
• GRM: 9.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.76% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -15.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.46×
• Total profit: $-33,157
• Equity at exit: $32,788

10-year hold

• IRR: -6.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.56×
• Total profit: $-26,974
• Equity at exit: $19,013

Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 73 Landlord-Friendly
• State Wisconsin: 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 54880

• Rents YoY: 2.8%
• Active inventory: 168
• Price-to-rent: 9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,928 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,153
• Tax from tax record: −$233 /mo · $2,790/yr
• Insurance: −$92
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$405
• Net cashflow: $46

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,870

Max offer price $219,900

Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $54,975
• Closing costs: $6,597
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1806 John Ave Unit 1 Superior, WI	4.0	2.0	1600	$1,850	$1.16	43d	1	0.33mi

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-05-09
   status Pending 759-char remark

   Show marketing remark (759 chars)

   Well-maintained duplex offering flexibility for investors or owner-occupants alike! The main floor unit features 2 bedrooms, an updated kitchen, and a spacious living room with a comfortable layout. Upstairs, you?ll find another 2-bedroom unit with new flooring, a brand-new kitchen, updated finishes, and a charming porch just off the living room?perfect for relaxing mornings or evenings. Additional updates include a gas boiler installed in 2010 and low-maintenance vinyl siding. The property has been well cared for throughout the years, making it a solid investment opportunity. The main floor tenant is currently month-to-month, offering added flexibility for future plans. A great opportunity to own a clean, move-in-ready duplex with strong potential!

2. 2026-05-09
   status Pending 759-char remark

   Show marketing remark (759 chars)

   Well-maintained duplex offering flexibility for investors or owner-occupants alike! The main floor unit features 2 bedrooms, an updated kitchen, and a spacious living room with a comfortable layout. Upstairs, you?ll find another 2-bedroom unit with new flooring, a brand-new kitchen, updated finishes, and a charming porch just off the living room?perfect for relaxing mornings or evenings. Additional updates include a gas boiler installed in 2010 and low-maintenance vinyl siding. The property has been well cared for throughout the years, making it a solid investment opportunity. The main floor tenant is currently month-to-month, offering added flexibility for future plans. A great opportunity to own a clean, move-in-ready duplex with strong potential!

3. 2026-05-08
   listed $219,900 Active 759-char remark

   Show marketing remark (759 chars)

   Well-maintained duplex offering flexibility for investors or owner-occupants alike! The main floor unit features 2 bedrooms, an updated kitchen, and a spacious living room with a comfortable layout. Upstairs, you?ll find another 2-bedroom unit with new flooring, a brand-new kitchen, updated finishes, and a charming porch just off the living room?perfect for relaxing mornings or evenings. Additional updates include a gas boiler installed in 2010 and low-maintenance vinyl siding. The property has been well cared for throughout the years, making it a solid investment opportunity. The main floor tenant is currently month-to-month, offering added flexibility for future plans. A great opportunity to own a clean, move-in-ready duplex with strong potential!

4. 2026-05-08
   listed $219,900 Active 759-char remark

   Show marketing remark (759 chars)

   Well-maintained duplex offering flexibility for investors or owner-occupants alike! The main floor unit features 2 bedrooms, an updated kitchen, and a spacious living room with a comfortable layout. Upstairs, you?ll find another 2-bedroom unit with new flooring, a brand-new kitchen, updated finishes, and a charming porch just off the living room?perfect for relaxing mornings or evenings. Additional updates include a gas boiler installed in 2010 and low-maintenance vinyl siding. The property has been well cared for throughout the years, making it a solid investment opportunity. The main floor tenant is currently month-to-month, offering added flexibility for future plans. A great opportunity to own a clean, move-in-ready duplex with strong potential!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $2,790 · $233/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,429 · $286/mo
• Expected delta: +$639/yr (+$53/mo · 22.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,141
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,318
• − Property taxes: −$2,790
• − Insurance: −$1,100
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,851
• − Management: −$1,851
• − Depreciation: −$6,397
• Taxable loss: −$3,166
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$760
• After-tax cash flow: $1,313/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Superior School District
• NCES district ID: 5514670
• Math proficiency: 23% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 34% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $43,659
• Composite: 24.31/100
• National rank: #7711
• State rank: #290 of 342 in WI

Livability — Superior

• Score: 86/100
• State rank: #21
• US rank: #337

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Superior, WI
• County: Douglas County · 30,312 people
• City population: 30,312
• Metro: Duluth, MN-WI
• Population (ZIP): 30,312
• Household income: $68,275
• Rent vs Own: 36.6% rent · 63.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 1018.0

Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 42,505 people
• By 2030: 41,269 · -2.9%
• By 2040: 37,829 · -11.0%
• By 2050: 34,043 · -19.9%
• By 2075: 25,892 · -39.1%
• By 2100: 19,487 · -54.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (90%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1% Asian 1% Native American 1%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 10% Romanian 9% Lithuanian 4%
• Foreign-born: 2% · China, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Douglas

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+5.3) · D 52.0% · R 46.6% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -27.9pp toward R · 2008: 33.2pp · 2024: 5.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+5.3 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+7.6 2012: D+31.3 2008: D+33.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -167.80%
• Current HPI: 226.557
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.76%
• Metro: Duluth, MN-WI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.10%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Machinery	4	$23B
▸Industrial Technology	2	$36B
▸Insurance	1	$36B
▸Professional Services	1	$19B
▸Utilities	1	$9B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$3B

Price history

+0.0% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-09 Pending — LSAR
• 2026-05-09 Pending — SAAR
• 2026-05-08 Listed $219,900 SAAR
• 2026-05-08 Listed $219,900 LSAR

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,790 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.