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931 Arch St Multi-family
B Composite 70.77
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$229,500

931 Arch St · Williamsport, PA 17701
None bd · None ba · 3,062 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1913 4,792 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

Don't miss this opportunity to add a fully occupied, well-maintained brick multifamily property to your portfolio. This solid income-producing asset features four residential units, including three 1-bedroom apartments and one 2-bedroom apartment, providing a diverse rental mix and consistent tenant demand.

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • 34 parking spots
  • Built 1913

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned CC; Has additional parcels

Exterior

  • Parking: 34 open parking spaces; Alley access to parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Residential income, multi-family (multi-units)
  • Construction: Brick, frame, stone, aluminum siding and wood siding construction; Stone and block foundation
  • Exterior features: Flat rubber and shingle roof; Alley access

Interior

  • Flooring: Laminate; Tile; Linoleum; Vinyl; Carpet
  • Heating & cooling: Radiant heating (including radiant floor); Natural gas hot water heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Laminate, tile, linoleum, vinyl and carpet flooring; Full dirt-floor basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a multifamily listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $230k).
  • Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 5.6% in Williamsport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#523 in PA, #4,841 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Williamsport Area SD (urban): math 38% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #349 of 539 in PA (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Lycoming County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,053/mo this rent would consume 91% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 2178% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lycoming County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $230k implies a 665% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $229,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.77%
Cap rate
14.90%
Cash-on-cash
30.72%
DSCR
2.37
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.43% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.1%
Equity multiple
2.14×
Total profit
$73,558
Equity at exit
$34,219
10-year hold
IRR
35.5%
Equity multiple
4.49×
Total profit
$224,150
Equity at exit
$19,843

Cash invested: $64,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17701

Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
188
Price-to-rent
19.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,053 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,204
Tax from tax record
$257 /mo · $3,089/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$851
Net cashflow
$1,645

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,970
Max offer price $229,500
Occupancy floor 54%

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 2 1 $1,159
Total (4 units) $4,053

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,375
Closing costs
$6,885
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $229,500 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $229,500 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $229,500 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $229,500 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $229,500 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    remarks 308-char remark
  7. 2026-06-12
    listed $229,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,089 · $257/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,358 · $280/mo
Expected delta
+$268/yr (+$22/mo · 8.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 27% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$48,636
− Mortgage interest
−$12,856
− Property taxes
−$3,089
− Insurance
−$1,148
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,891
− Management
−$3,891
− Depreciation
−$6,676
Taxable income
$17,086
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,101
After-tax cash flow
$15,643/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Williamsport Area SD
NCES district ID
4226460
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$38,637
Composite
34.63/100
National rank
#5150
State rank
#349 of 539 in PA

Livability — Williamsport

Score
74/100
State rank
#523
US rank
#4841

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Williamsport, PA
County
Lycoming County · 43,104 people
City population
43,104
Metro
Williamsport, PA
Population (ZIP)
43,104
Household income
$53,237
Rent vs Own
45.4% rent · 54.6% own
Severe rent burden
2178.0

Population outlook (Lycoming County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
114,164 people
By 2030
112,221 · -1.7%
By 2040
107,613 · -5.7%
By 2050
102,950 · -9.8%
By 2075
92,987 · -18.5%
By 2100
80,924 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 10% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lycoming

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.5) · D 28.8% · R 70.3%
2008→2024 swing
-17.3pp toward R · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -41.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.5 2020: R+41.3 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+33.3 2008: R+24.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.61%
Current HPI
216.7203
Rent YoY
▲ 4.43%
Metro
Williamsport, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+665.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $229,500 WBVAR
  • 1988-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,089 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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