671 NE 195 St Unit 122-E · Ives Estates, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
SELLER MOTIVATED ! Beautiful 1 Bedroom , 1 Badthroom 1/2 Badthroom , great community Pool, Gym, clubhose amenties including pool tables , close to the beach, shopping, malls and restaurants
Key facts
- Community pool
- Close to beach
- $365 HOA
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.6% in Ives Estates — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#191 in FL, #3,061 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 572 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 488 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $62k (31%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $135k implies a 127% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 5→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 488 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.35%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-8,367
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- -1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-3,440
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33179
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 572
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,020 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$173 /mo · $2,071/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$365
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$424
- Net cashflow
- $294
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5100 SW 41st St Pembroke Park, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 815 | $1,699 | $2.08 | 19d | 3 | 1.30mi |
| 5100 SW 41st St Pembroke Park, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 815 | $1,650 | $2.02 | 3d | 4 | 1.30mi |
| 5525 SW 41st St Hollywood, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1031 | $2,145 | $2.08 | 3d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3874 SW 48th Ave #3874 Pembroke Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,150 | $2.26 | 7d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3856 SW 48th Ave #3856 Pembroke Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,150 | $2.26 | 16d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3826 SW 48th Ave Unit 3826 Pembroke Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,200 | $2.32 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3826 SW 48th Ave Unit 3826 Pembroke Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,200 | $2.32 | 5d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3842 SW 48th Ave Hollywood, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 966 | $2,000 | $2.07 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3828 SW 48th Ave Unit D27 Hollywood, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,300 | $2.42 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3838 SW 48th Ave Unit 3838 Pembroke Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 966 | $2,200 | $2.28 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 5440 SW 38th Ct West Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,900 | $2.47 | 7d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 5440 SW 38th Ct West Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,900 | $2.47 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 5460 SW 38th Ct West Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $2,350 | $2.64 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 5540 SW 38th Ct West Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $2,000 | $2.60 | 10d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $365 · $4,380/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-03-27status Pending
-
2026-03-07historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-05price $135,000
-
2026-03-05status Active
-
2026-02-16historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-01-30price $134,000
-
2026-01-30status Active
-
2026-01-19status Pending
-
2025-09-22price $164,000
-
2025-09-19price $174,000
-
2025-07-16price $175,000
-
2025-01-17price $177,000
-
2025-01-15price $175,000
-
2025-01-03price $180,000
-
2024-12-27price $184,000
-
2024-12-16price $185,000
-
2024-12-10price $190,000
-
2024-11-30price $193,000
-
2024-11-24price $196,000
-
2024-11-13$197,000 Active
-
2024-10-29historical $1,490
-
2024-10-28$1,490
-
2002-02-01soldstatus $59,500
-
1998-01-27soldstatus $27,000
-
1996-08-23soldstatus $32,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,071 · $173/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,071 · $173/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 5 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,246
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,071
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,940
- − Management
- −$1,940
- − HOA
- −$4,380
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $1,751
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$420
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,113/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ives Estates
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #191
- US rank
- #3061
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ives Estates, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 51,591
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,591
- Household income
- $65,211
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3123.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 23% White 19% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 6% Dominican 3% Salvadoran 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 13% Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 48% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 42% English-only · Spanish 37% French/Haitian/Cajun 13% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -608.34%
- Current HPI
- 328.1733
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.22%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+315.4% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-27 Pending — MARMLS
- 2026-03-07 Contingent — MARMLS
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $135,000 MARMLS
- 2026-03-05 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2026-02-16 Contingent — MARMLS
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $134,000 MARMLS
- 2026-01-30 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2026-01-19 Pending — MARMLS
- 2025-09-22 Price Changed $164,000 MARMLS
- 2025-09-19 Price Changed $174,000 MARMLS
- 2025-07-16 Price Changed $175,000 MARMLS
- 2025-01-17 Price Changed $177,000 MARMLS
- 2025-01-15 Price Changed $175,000 MARMLS
- 2025-01-03 Price Changed $180,000 MARMLS
- 2024-12-27 Price Changed $184,000 MARMLS
- 2024-12-16 Price Changed $185,000 MARMLS
- 2024-12-10 Price Changed $190,000 MARMLS
- 2024-11-30 Price Changed $193,000 MARMLS
- 2024-11-24 Price Changed $196,000 MARMLS
- 2024-11-13 Listed $197,000 MARMLS
- 2024-10-29 Rental Removed $1,490 MARMLS
- 2024-10-28 Listed for Rent $1,490 MARMLS
- 2002-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $59,500 Public Records
- 1998-01-27 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
- 1996-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $32,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,071 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…