2511 Richwood Dr · Richmond, IN 47374

$149,900

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,176 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market

Built 1964 0.27 ac lot Est $160k · 6% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +16.1/30.0
• ARV discount +10.3/15.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Livability +4.2/5.0
• 1% rule +3.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.9/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

This wonderful modern brick ranch with 3 bedrooms & 1 ½ baths is ready for you and located in the sought after west-side of Richmond. This home has over 1,100 SF with many fine amenities such as: an oversized fenced-in backyard, a spacious living area with a large bay window that provides ample natural lighting, modern oversized kitchen with plenty of counterspace and an area for a dining setup, concrete back patio, a very clean attached 1 car garage, updated bathrooms, beautiful 4-seasons room, and too many more additional amenities to list. Call or text Kyle Tom today @ 765.220.0199 to schedule your own private tour or visit kyletom.com for additional details.

Key facts

• Spacious living area
• Concrete back patio
• Updated bathrooms

Tags

• OVERSIZED FENCED-IN BACKYARD
• SPACIOUS LIVING AREA
• LARGE BAY WINDOW
• MODERN OVERSIZED KITCHEN
• CONCRETE BACK PATIO
• UPDATED BATHROOMS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $77 ($920/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (17.9% below list).
• Recommended offer: $123k (17.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 5.2% in Richmond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 83/100 on livability (#10 in IN, #869 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D-.
• Richmond Community Schools (town): math 18% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in IN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Westview Elementary School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #790 of 994 statewide, top 81%, 241 students, 77% FRL); Dennis Middle School (math 9% / reading 22%, grade F, #293 of 330 statewide, top 90%, 597 students, 82% FRL); Richmond High School (math 21% / reading 48%, grade F, #270 of 369 statewide, top 77%, 1,332 students, 66% FRL).
• Market conditions: 278 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Wayne County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Recommended offer $123,095 (17.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.82% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.91%
• Cash-on-cash: 2.19%
• DSCR: 1.10
• GRM: 10.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $159,936
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2511 Richwood Dr	0.00mi	3/1.5	1,176 (0%)	1mo	$155,000	$132	99
2541 Richwood Dr	0.07mi	3/1.5	1,096 (-7%)	2mo	$174,900	$160	84
2809 Willow Dr	0.26mi	3/1.5	1,192 (+1%)	4mo	$128,000	$107	82
2501 Willow Dr	0.11mi	3/1.0	1,096 (-7%)	4mo	$169,900	$155	78
2423 NW B St	0.23mi	3/1.5	1,288 (+10%)	1mo	$189,000	$147	73
504 SW 20th St	0.53mi	3/2.5	1,232 (+5%)	3mo	$180,000	$146	61
2715 Birch Dr	0.21mi	3/1.0	1,008 (-14%)	5mo	$155,000	$154	61
1901 Western Dr	0.40mi	3/1.0	1,025 (-13%)	1mo	$124,900	$122	57
620 SW 18th St	0.71mi	3/1.0	1,144 (-3%)	5mo	$124,900	$109	56
1620 SW E St	0.67mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,092 (-7%)	1mo	$116,500	$107	49
232 NW 18th St	0.59mi	3/2.0	1,320 (+12%)	2mo	$150,000	$114	48
323 SW 15th St	0.73mi	3/1.0	1,032 (-12%)	1mo	$139,900	$136	43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -12.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.54×
• Total profit: $-19,474
• Equity at exit: $22,351

10-year hold

• IRR: -3.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.74×
• Total profit: $-10,944
• Equity at exit: $12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Indiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 47374

• Active inventory: 278
• Price-to-rent: 10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,231 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$786
• Tax from tax record: −$47 /mo · $567/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$258
• Net cashflow: $77

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,134

Max offer price $149,900

Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $162	-5% $119	+0% $77	+5% $34	+10% $-8
Rent	-10% $-21	-5% $28	+0% $77	+5% $125	+10% $174
Rate	-1.0pp $152	-0.5pp $115	base $77	+0.5pp $38	+1.0pp $-2

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,475
• Closing costs: $4,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-04-06
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-02
   listed $149,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $567 · $47/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $920 · $77/mo
• Expected delta: +$354/yr (+$29/mo · 62.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,771
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,397
• − Property taxes: −$567
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,182
• − Management: −$1,182
• − Depreciation: −$4,361
• Taxable loss: −$1,666
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$400
• After-tax cash flow: $1,320/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Richmond Community Schools
• NCES district ID: 1809510
• Math proficiency: 18% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 27% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $35,288
• Composite: 18.55/100
• National rank: #8913
• State rank: #270 of 301 in IN

Livability — Richmond

• Score: 83/100
• State rank: #10
• US rank: #869

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Richmond, IN
• County: Wayne County · 44,615 people
• City population: 44,615
• Metro: Richmond, IN
• Population (ZIP): 44,615
• Household income: $50,766
• Rent vs Own: 36.0% rent · 64.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 1600.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 63,316 people
• By 2030: 60,893 · -3.8%
• By 2040: 55,386 · -12.5%
• By 2050: 49,946 · -21.1%
• By 2075: 37,900 · -40.1%
• By 2100: 26,562 · -58.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (82%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 82% Two or more races 7% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+32.5) · D 32.9% · R 65.4% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -28.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.9pp · 2024: -32.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+32.5 2020: R+29.1 2016: R+30.1 2012: R+14.7 2008: R+3.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -118.64%
• Current HPI: 182.5038
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Richmond, IN
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.90%
• F500 in state: 18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$37B
▸Healthcare	1	$177B
▸Pharmaceuticals	1	$45B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$18B
▸Agriculture	1	$17B
▸Packaging	1	$12B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-06 Pending — RRELMS
• 2026-04-02 Listed $149,900 RRELMS

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $567 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.