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3327 Elmley Ave
B+ Composite 77.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.1/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0

$119,500

3327 Elmley Ave · Baltimore, MD 21213
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 896 sqft · Townhouse public records · 99 Days on market
Built 1924 1,098 sqft lot $133/sqft · 10% below area Est $133k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Huge Price Cut. .. Fully Renovated 3-level townhouse with Central HVAC System. New water heater. Newly remodeled kitchen with Granite, SS Appliances. All bathrooms are fully renovated with tiles and new vanities. New Floor throughout the houses. Newly painted house. New doors, . Fully ready to move in house or ready to rent immediately. .. .. ..

Key facts

  • New water heater
  • Central hvac system
  • New floor

Tags

CENTRAL HVAC SYSTEMNEW WATER HEATERGRANITE SS APPLIANCESALL BATHROOMS FULLY RENOVATEDNEW FLOORNEWLY PAINTED HOUSE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $528 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $109k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 319 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $147 of equity ($826 loan paydown + $-679 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 30y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $120k implies a 378% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $108,745 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
11.59%
Cash-on-cash
18.93%
DSCR
1.84
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$133,054
List price
$119,500
Delta
-10.19%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3307 Elmora Ave 0.09mi 3/1.0 896 (0%) 3mo $155,000 $173 94
3427 Ravenwood Ave 0.14mi 3/1.0 896 (0%) 0mo $120,900 $135 93
3224 Elmora Ave 0.09mi 3/1.0 896 (0%) 5mo $82,000 $92 91
3338 Elmora Ave 0.06mi 2/1.0 (-1) 896 (0%) 2mo $149,500 $167 91
3315 Lyndale Ave 0.04mi 2/1.5 (-1) 896 (0%) 1mo $145,000 $162 90
3410 Elmora Ave 0.08mi 3/2.0 896 (0%) 4mo $93,500 $104 89
3205 Ravenwood Ave 0.16mi 3/1.0 896 (0%) 6mo $58,500 $65 88
3215 Elmora Ave 0.12mi 4/1.5 (+1) 896 (0%) 5mo $115,000 $128 83
3335 Lyndale Ave 0.04mi 4/3.0 (+1) 896 (0%) 5mo $125,000 $140 81
3300 Elmley Ave 0.05mi 4/2.0 (+1) 952 (+6%) 5mo $161,000 $169 74
3332 Brendan Ave 0.54mi 3/1.5 870 (-3%) 1mo $128,000 $147 67
2709 E Hoffman St 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 840 (-6%) 1mo $115,000 $137 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.57% appreciation · 5.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.3%
Equity multiple
1.93×
Total profit
$30,960
Equity at exit
$31,344
10-year hold
IRR
25.8%
Equity multiple
3.98×
Total profit
$99,586
Equity at exit
$35,093

Cash invested: $33,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21213

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
319
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,712 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$627
Tax from tax record
$148 /mo · $1,778/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$360
Net cashflow
$528

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,044
Max offer price $119,500
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,875
Closing costs
$3,585
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3317 Lyndale Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 43d 1 0.06mi
3315 Lyndale Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 896 $1,650 $1.84 17d 1 0.06mi
3339 Elmora Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 896 $1,600 $1.79 43d 1 0.09mi
3218 Lyndale Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1020 $1,500 $1.47 23d 1 0.10mi
3221 Lyndale Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1020 $1,700 $1.67 23d 1 0.10mi
3322 Ravenwood Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 932 $1,800 $1.93 23d 1 0.11mi
3343 Ravenwood Ave Unit 3343 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 948 $1,855 $1.96 17d 1 0.13mi
3902 Erdman Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,275 $1.27 23d 1 0.45mi
3646 Lyndale Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 840 $1,475 $1.76 43d 1 0.46mi
2311 E Lafayette Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 43d 1 0.64mi
3028 Kenyon Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1075 $1,395 $1.30 43d 1 0.68mi
2410 E Federal St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 720 $2,200 $3.06 23d 1 0.69mi
1323 N Kenwood Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1060 $1,350 $1.27 23d 1 0.72mi
1310 N Ellwood Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 12d 1 0.73mi
1310 N Ellwood Ave #1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 21d 1 0.73mi
3566 Dudley Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 896 $1,800 $2.01 23d 1 0.81mi
1832 E 28th St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1066 $1,495 $1.40 23d 1 0.88mi
4300 Orchard Ridge Blvd Baltimore, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1021 $1,809 $1.77 43d 1 0.94mi
2221 E Preston St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 658 $1,200 $1.82 23d 1 0.97mi
4022 Ardley Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 896 $1,750 $1.95 43d 1 1.01mi
1627 Rutland Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,950 $1.77 23d 1 1.03mi
4408 Bowleys Ln Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 682 $1,439 $2.11 3d 1 1.06mi
1519 E 28th St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 43d 1 1.08mi
2729 Ashland Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 2d 1 1.11mi
4409 Moravia Rd Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 861 $1,385 $1.61 43d 3 1.24mi
3221 The Alameda Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 750 $1,200 $1.60 23d 1 1.25mi
720 N Port St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 950 $1,300 $1.37 43d 1 1.27mi
2310 Aisquith St Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.0 900 $2,000 $2.22 4d 1 1.28mi
531 N Belnord Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,700 $1.55 23d 1 1.34mi
520 N Decker Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,650 $1.65 43d 1 1.35mi
618 N Montford Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,468 $1.40 43d 1 1.36mi
618 N Montford Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,468 $1.40 14d 1 1.36mi
1923 Ashland Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 862 $1,770 $2.05 19d 2 1.36mi
1923 Ashland Ave Unit 401 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 850 $1,795 $2.11 20d 1 1.36mi
1607 Hakesley Pl Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 720 $1,400 $1.94 43d 1 1.37mi
712 N Duncan St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1000 $2,000 $2.00 43d 1 1.37mi
517 N Rose St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 845 $1,400 $1.66 4d 1 1.38mi
502 N Glover St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 827 $1,250 $1.51 20d 1 1.39mi
415 N Belnord Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1008 $1,300 $1.29 23d 1 1.43mi
415 N Glover St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 1092 $1,600 $1.47 23d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 38 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,500 Active 99 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,500 Active 98 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,500 Active 97 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,500 Active 96 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,500 Active 94 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,500 Active 90 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,500 Active 89 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,500 Active 88 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $119,500 Active 85 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,500 Active 84 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,500 Active 83 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,500 Active 82 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,500 Active 81 DOM
  14. 2026-03-11
    listed $134,500 Active 347-char remark
    Show marketing remark (347 chars)

    Huge Price Cut. .. Fully Renovated 3-level townhouse with Central HVAC System. New water heater. Newly remodeled kitchen with Granite, SS Appliances. All bathrooms are fully renovated with tiles and new vanities. New Floor throughout the houses. Newly painted house. New doors, . Fully ready to move in house or ready to rent immediately. .. .. ..

  15. 2025-11-20
    historical
  16. 2025-11-07
    price $129,900
  17. 2025-11-06
    status Active
  18. 2025-10-31
    historical
  19. 2025-10-02
    price $139,900
  20. 2025-09-21
    status Active
  21. 2025-09-01
    historical
  22. 2025-08-11
    listed $159,900 Active
  23. 2025-07-27
    historical
  24. 2018-09-05
    historical
  25. 2018-08-31
    soldstatus $25,000 Closed
  26. 2018-08-31
    soldstatus $25,000 Sold
  27. 2018-08-17
    status Pending
  28. 2018-08-17
    status Contract
  29. 2018-07-17
    listed $15,000 Active
  30. 2018-07-17
    listed $15,000 Active
  31. 2017-04-28
    historical Expired
  32. 2017-04-28
    historical
  33. 2016-04-27
    listed Active
  34. 2016-04-27
    listed $39,900
  35. 1997-12-05
    soldstatus $45,000
  36. 1997-11-13
    historical
  37. 1996-05-14
    listed
  38. 1988-01-13
    soldstatus $17,200

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,778 · $148/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,778 · $148/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,545
− Mortgage interest
−$6,694
− Property taxes
−$1,778
− Insurance
−$598
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,644
− Management
−$1,644
− Depreciation
−$3,476
Taxable income
$4,712
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,131
After-tax cash flow
$5,204/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
28,058
Household income
$51,344
Rent vs Own
48.0% rent · 52.0% own
Severe rent burden
1868.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% White 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.57%
Current HPI
427.4453
Rent YoY
▲ 5.25%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+682.0% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $134,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-20 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-07 Price Changed $129,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-06 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-31 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-02 Price Changed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-21 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-01 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-11 Listed $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-27 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-09-05 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-08-31 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MRIS
  • 2018-08-31 Sold (MLS) $25,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-08-17 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-08-17 Pending MRIS
  • 2018-07-17 Listed $15,000 MRIS
  • 2018-07-17 Listed $15,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-04-28 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-04-28 Delisted MRIS
  • 2016-04-27 Listed MRIS
  • 2016-04-27 Listed $39,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1997-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 1997-11-13 Delisted MRIS
  • 1996-05-14 Listed MRIS
  • 1988-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $17,200 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,778 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…