120 Hickorywood St · Woodstock, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 55.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.6/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Reduced. Don't let this one get away from you. Brick home with living room, eat-in kitchen, 3 bedrooms, 1 bath. Give it you special touches to make it your own.
Key facts
- 0.38 acre lot
- Built 1976
- Listed 117 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $288 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 4.2% in Woodstock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#320 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, health & safety D, crime F.
- Bibb County (rural): math 12% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #105 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $176 of equity ($552 loan paydown + $-376 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
- Bibb County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $38k; list at $80k implies a 110% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 55% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.43%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $199,450
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- -59.94%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 222 Horn Cir | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,216 (+13%) | 11mo | $145,000 | $119 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.47% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $14,247
- Equity at exit
- $21,338
- IRR
- 18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.99×
- Total profit
- $44,606
- Equity at exit
- $24,207
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35188
- Home prices YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 32
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,063 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$223
- Net cashflow
- $288
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-10pricedays on market $79,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $84,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-05-02price $84,900 160-char remark
Show marketing remark (160 chars)
Reduced. Don't let this one get away from you. Brick home with living room, eat-in kitchen, 3 bedrooms, 1 bath. Give it you special touches to make it your own.
-
2026-03-21price $94,900 160-char remark
Show marketing remark (160 chars)
Reduced. Don't let this one get away from you. Brick home with living room, eat-in kitchen, 3 bedrooms, 1 bath. Give it you special touches to make it your own.
-
2026-02-13$99,900 Active 160-char remark
Show marketing remark (160 chars)
Reduced. Don't let this one get away from you. Brick home with living room, eat-in kitchen, 3 bedrooms, 1 bath. Give it you special touches to make it your own.
-
2007-11-28soldstatus $38,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 55% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,756
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,198
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,021
- − Management
- −$1,021
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $2,317
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$556
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,895/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bibb County
- NCES district ID
- 0100360
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,196
- Composite
- 18.14/100
- National rank
- #8964
- State rank
- #105 of 129 in AL
Livability — Woodstock
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #320
- US rank
- #19763
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,659
Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,965 people
- By 2030
- 21,437 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 20,248 · -7.8%
- By 2050
- 19,023 · -13.4%
- By 2075
- 16,513 · -24.8%
- By 2100
- 14,871 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Bibb
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.4) · D 17.5% · R 81.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.6pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -64.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.4 2020: R+57.7 2016: R+55.5 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+45.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.47%
- Current HPI
- 156.5471
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+123.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $84,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-03-21 Price Changed $94,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-02-13 Listed $99,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2007-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-69.8%/yrLatest (2014): $90 · -69.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…