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120 Hickorywood St
B- Composite 69.9
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.6/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$79,900

120 Hickorywood St · Woodstock, AL 35188
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,075 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 117 Days on market
Built 1976 0.38 ac lot $74/sqft · 59% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Reduced. Don't let this one get away from you. Brick home with living room, eat-in kitchen, 3 bedrooms, 1 bath. Give it you special touches to make it your own.

Key facts

  • 0.38 acre lot
  • Built 1976
  • Listed 117 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $288 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 4.2% in Woodstock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#320 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, health & safety D, crime F.
  • Bibb County (rural): math 12% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #105 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $176 of equity ($552 loan paydown + $-376 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
  • Bibb County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $80k implies a 110% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 55% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $72,709 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
10.61%
Cash-on-cash
15.43%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$199,450
List price
$79,900
Delta
-59.94%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
222 Horn Cir 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,216 (+13%) 11mo $145,000 $119 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.47% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.6%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$14,247
Equity at exit
$21,338
10-year hold
IRR
18.9%
Equity multiple
2.99×
Total profit
$44,606
Equity at exit
$24,207

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35188

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,063 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax est. 1.5%
$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$223
Net cashflow
$288

Break-even live

Break-even rent $699
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 117 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 116 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 115 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 114 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 112 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 111 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    pricedays on market $79,900 Active 109 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,900 Active 108 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,900 Active 107 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,900 Active 106 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $84,900 Active 102 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,900 Active 101 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,900 Active 100 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,900 Active 99 DOM
  15. 2026-05-02
    price $84,900 160-char remark
    Show marketing remark (160 chars)

    Reduced. Don't let this one get away from you. Brick home with living room, eat-in kitchen, 3 bedrooms, 1 bath. Give it you special touches to make it your own.

  16. 2026-03-21
    price $94,900 160-char remark
    Show marketing remark (160 chars)

    Reduced. Don't let this one get away from you. Brick home with living room, eat-in kitchen, 3 bedrooms, 1 bath. Give it you special touches to make it your own.

  17. 2026-02-13
    listed $99,900 Active 160-char remark
    Show marketing remark (160 chars)

    Reduced. Don't let this one get away from you. Brick home with living room, eat-in kitchen, 3 bedrooms, 1 bath. Give it you special touches to make it your own.

  18. 2007-11-28
    soldstatus $38,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 55% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,756
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,198
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,021
− Management
−$1,021
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$2,317
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$556
After-tax cash flow
$2,895/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
0100360
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$40,196
Composite
18.14/100
National rank
#8964
State rank
#105 of 129 in AL

Livability — Woodstock

Score
59/100
State rank
#320
US rank
#19763

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,659

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,965 people
By 2030
21,437 · -2.4%
By 2040
20,248 · -7.8%
By 2050
19,023 · -13.4%
By 2075
16,513 · -24.8%
By 2100
14,871 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.4) · D 17.5% · R 81.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.6pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -64.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.4 2020: R+57.7 2016: R+55.5 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+45.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.47%
Current HPI
156.5471
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+123.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $84,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-03-21 Price Changed $94,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $99,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2007-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-69.8%/yr

Latest (2014): $90 · -69.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…