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4411 W Thomastown Rd
B- Composite 68.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

4411 W Thomastown Rd · Austin, IN 47170
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · Manufactured public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1999 2.32 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Calling all investors, flippers, and visionaries! This handyman special is not for the faint of heart, but with the right vision and effort, this property could truly shine again. The home is in rough condition and will need significant work, but the opportunity here is hard to ignore. The real gem is the beautiful 2.32-acre setting. Tucked away in a peaceful and secluded location, this property offers privacy, mature trees, and a long tree-lined driveway that creates a quiet retreat from neighbors and traffic alike. Utilities are already available at the home, giving you a head start whether you choose to renovate the existing structure or start fresh with your dream build. Whether you're

Key facts

  • Tree-lined driveway
  • Utilities available
  • Peaceful location

Tags

2.32-ACRE SETTINGPEACEFUL LOCATIONMATURE TREESTREE-LINED DRIVEWAYUTILITIES AVAILABLE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Septic sewage
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Approximately 2.32-acre lot; No horse amenities

Interior

  • Kitchen: Main-level kitchen (12 x 16); Appliances: Other
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level (Bedroom 2: 11 x 10; Bedroom 3: 11 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling
  • Interior features: Open living room (20 x 16); Additional main-level room (14 x 12)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $689 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Cap rate 20.1% vs local median 4.2% in Austin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#523 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Scott County School District 2 (town): math 33% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #166 of 301 in IN (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Scottsburg Senior High School (math 32% / reading 62%, grade D-, #143 of 369 statewide, top 44%, 726 students, 56% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Scott County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $59,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.33%
Cap rate
20.09%
Cash-on-cash
49.27%
DSCR
3.19
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
46.9%
Equity multiple
3.04×
Total profit
$34,171
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
52.6%
Equity multiple
6.15×
Total profit
$86,314
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47170

Home prices YoY
-22.3%
Active inventory
106
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,396 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $898/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$293
Net cashflow
$689

Break-even live

Break-even rent $524
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 46%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    listed $59,900 Active 1017-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,748
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$898
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,340
− Management
−$1,340
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$7,772
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,865
After-tax cash flow
$6,398/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Scott County School District 2
NCES district ID
1810020
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$45,529
Composite
32.37/100
National rank
#5734
State rank
#166 of 301 in IN

Livability — Austin

Score
60/100
State rank
#523
US rank
#18774

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B- Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
6,647
Population (ZIP)
15,279

Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,525 people
By 2030
21,609 · -4.1%
By 2040
19,536 · -13.3%
By 2050
17,370 · -22.9%
By 2075
12,862 · -42.9%
By 2100
9,340 · -58.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Scott

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.5) · D 23.4% · R 74.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-49.5pp toward R · 2008: -2.0pp · 2024: -51.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.5 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+37.9 2012: R+6.2 2008: R+2.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -64.30%
Current HPI
223.9909
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $59,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2020): $4 · +7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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