CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
66 Horicon Ave Unit 1E
D- Composite 39.65
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Cash flow +0.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$799,000

66 Horicon Ave Unit 1E · Bolton Landing, NY 12814
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 989 sqft · Condo · 42 Days on market
Built 2025 $808/sqft · 27% below area Est $1092k · 27% under $636/mo HOA · 53% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Introducing the new Bolton Condominium, an exclusive boutique residence in the meticulously restored Old Bolton Schoolhouse, an 1898 brick landmark reimagined into just four private condominium homes. Unit 1E offers effortless main-level living in an open-concept design, towering ceilings, refined finishes throughout providing an ideal year-round or Lake George retreat. Enjoy the added convenience of private basement storage, one dedicated garage bay and additional off-street parking spaces. A short walk or drive and one is ''Downtown'' at the pristine shores of Lake George with public beaches, parks, restaurants and shopping conveniences. This offering is ''Rental Friendly'' as both short

Key facts

  • Rental friendly
  • Dedicated garage bay
  • $636 HOA

Tags

METICULOUSLY RESTOREDPRIVATE BASEMENT STORAGEDEDICATED GARAGE BAYOFF-STREET PARKING SPACESRENTAL FRIENDLY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located near Lake George; Directions: From Lake Shore Drive (9N) in center of Bolton, go west on Horicon Avenue 1/4 mile to intersection with 2nd Street on the right. Turn right onto 2nd Street and 1st driveway on the left is Schoolhouse Condominium.
  • HOA & community: Condo association with monthly fee; Association fee includes grounds and structure maintenance, snow removal, and trash

Exterior

  • Parking: One garage space; Three parking spaces total; Off-street stone parking
  • Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Utilities: 100 Amp electric service with circuit breakers; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Condominium; Exterior and interior basement entries
  • Construction: Brick and stone construction; Stone foundation
  • Exterior features: Garden; Views including mountains and Lake George; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Range; Range hood; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; ENERGY STAR qualified appliances; Solid surface counters
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor; Additional bedrooms on the first floor
  • Flooring: Tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the first floor; Primary bathroom on the first floor
  • Heating & cooling: Ductless electric heating; Ductless cooling
  • Interior features: Paddle fan; Solid surface counters; Aluminum window frames; Double-pane insulated windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry closet; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $799k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5k ($-63k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $45k (94.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (85.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $45k (94.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate -1.5% vs local median 0.4% in Bolton Landing — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,015 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: schools A+; Watch: crime D+, cost of living D, amenities F.
  • Bolton Central School District (rural): math 75% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #110 of 755 in NY (top 15%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $85k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $80k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Warren County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$137k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($775k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 53% of rent.
Recommended offer $45,207 (94.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 94% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.15%
Cap rate
-1.53%
Cash-on-cash
-27.94%
DSCR
-0.24
GRM
55.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,091,938
List price
$799,000
Delta
-26.83%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$103,783
Equity at exit
$719,803
10-year hold
IRR
8.3%
Equity multiple
3.54×
Total profit
$567,349
Equity at exit
$1,552,281

Cash invested: $223,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12814

Home prices YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
44
Price-to-rent
55.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,201 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,190
Tax est. 1.5%
$999 /mo · $11,985/yr
Insurance
$333
HOA
$636
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$-5,209

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,795
Max offer price $45,207
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-4,657 -5% $-4,933 +0% $-5,209 +5% $-5,485 +10% $-5,761
Rent -10% $-5,304 -5% $-5,257 +0% $-5,209 +5% $-5,162 +10% $-5,114
Rate -1.0pp $-4,807 -0.5pp $-5,006 base $-5,209 +0.5pp $-5,416 +1.0pp $-5,627

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$199,750
Closing costs
$23,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$636 · $7,632/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $799,000 Active 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $799,000 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $799,000 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $799,000 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $799,000 Active 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $799,000 Active 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $799,000 Active 35 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $799,000 Active 33 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $799,000 Active 32 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $799,000 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $799,000 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $799,000 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $799,000 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $799,000 Active 23 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $799,000 Active 22 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $799,000 Active 21 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $799,000 Active 20 DOM
  18. 2026-05-11
    listed $799,000 Active 779-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,406
− Mortgage interest
−$44,756
− Property taxes
−$11,985
− Insurance
−$3,995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,153
− Management
−$1,153
− HOA
−$7,632
− Depreciation
−$23,244
Taxable loss
−$79,511
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$19,083
After-tax cash flow
$-43,429/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bolton Central School District
NCES district ID
3605010
Math proficiency
75% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
80% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$55,568
Composite
67.0/100
National rank
#863
State rank
#110 of 755 in NY

Livability — Bolton Landing

Score
59/100
State rank
#1015
US rank
#19844

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D Crime D+ Employment F Housing F Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bolton Landing, NY
Population (ZIP)
1,145

Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
62,372 people
By 2030
60,491 · -3.0%
By 2040
55,616 · -10.8%
By 2050
50,437 · -19.1%
By 2075
40,843 · -34.5%
By 2100
31,159 · -50.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (99%)
Race & ethnicity
White 99% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 8% Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 4%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Warren

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.9pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -4.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.2 2020: R+0.2 2016: R+10.6 2012: D+2.1 2008: D+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.75%
Current HPI
550.304
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $799,000 Global MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…