1906 E 7th Cir · Shawnee, OK
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Appreciation +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SPARKLING CLEAN WITH NEW PAINT AND CARPETING. TILE COORDINATES WITH CARPET & LOOKS GREAT!
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- Built 1977
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $599 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
- Cap rate 18.5% vs local median 3.9% in Shawnee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#217 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Pleasant Grove (town): math 15% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #384 of 513 in OK (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 192 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 183 units permitted in Pottawatomie County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pottawatomie County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $46k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.48%
- DSCR
- 2.93
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $107,379
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1906 E 7th Cir | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,107 (0%) | 1mo | $54,000 | $49 | 97 |
| 1901 E Main St | 0.05mi | 3/1.5 | 1,032 (-7%) | 8mo | $124,000 | $120 | 78 |
| 321 S Lindale Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,101 (-0%) | 3mo | $43,500 | $40 | 77 |
| 402 N Washington Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,132 (+2%) | 11mo | $110,000 | $97 | 71 |
| 1720 E Walnut St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-5%) | 15mo | $139,900 | $132 | 67 |
| 1601 E 10th St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,067 (-4%) | 14mo | $130,000 | $122 | 65 |
| 2307 E 11th St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,047 (-5%) | 15mo | $135,000 | $129 | 63 |
| 322 N Draper Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,063 (-4%) | 5mo | $76,500 | $72 | 54 |
| 1207 E 10th St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,060 (-4%) | 3mo | $68,000 | $64 | 52 |
| 1212 E 11th St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,087 (-2%) | 7mo | $114,500 | $105 | 52 |
| 1134 E Main St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,087 (-2%) | 10mo | $35,000 | $32 | 50 |
| 212 S Osage Ave | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,232 (+11%) | 14mo | $80,000 | $65 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 40.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $28,340
- Equity at exit
- $8,797
- IRR
- 46.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.41×
- Total profit
- $72,849
- Equity at exit
- $5,101
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74801
- Home prices YoY
- -1.7%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 192
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,228 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $449/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $599
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 319 S Center Ave Shawnee, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $1,245 | $1.00 | 4d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 721 E Wallace St Shawnee, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $850 | $0.72 | 4d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-04$59,000
-
2026-05-04historical
-
2007-12-19historical
-
2004-06-04soldstatus $45,900 93-char remark
Show marketing remark (93 chars)
SPARKLING CLEAN WITH NEW PAINT AND CARPETING. TILE COORDINATES WITH CARPET & LOOKS GREAT!
-
2004-06-04soldstatus $46,000
Show marketing remark (93 chars)
SPARKLING CLEAN WITH NEW PAINT AND CARPETING. TILE COORDINATES WITH CARPET & LOOKS GREAT!
-
2004-05-09$49,900 93-char remark
Show marketing remark (93 chars)
SPARKLING CLEAN WITH NEW PAINT AND CARPETING. TILE COORDINATES WITH CARPET & LOOKS GREAT!
-
2002-12-27$49,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $449 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $531 · $44/mo
- Expected delta
- +$82/yr (+$7/mo · 18.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,735
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$449
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,179
- − Management
- −$1,179
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $6,612
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,587
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,597/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pleasant Grove
- NCES district ID
- 4024330
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,907
- Composite
- 21.89/100
- National rank
- #13560
- State rank
- #384 of 513 in OK
Livability — Shawnee
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #217
- US rank
- #15593
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shawnee, OK
- County
- Pottawatomie County · 45,194 people
- City population
- 45,194
- Metro
- Shawnee, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,967
- Household income
- $55,077
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 594.0
Population outlook (Pottawatomie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 76,622 people
- By 2030
- 78,816 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 82,766 · +8.0%
- By 2050
- 86,031 · +12.3%
- By 2075
- 93,316 · +21.8%
- By 2100
- 95,820 · +25.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Native American 15% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pottawatomie
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.2% · R 72.7% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.1pp toward R · 2008: -38.4pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+46.0 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+38.7 2008: R+38.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.66%
- Current HPI
- 266.7965
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.82%
- Metro
- Shawnee, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+18.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Listed $59,000 MLSOK
- 2026-05-04 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2007-12-19 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2004-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
- 2004-06-04 Sold (MLS) $45,900 MLSOK
- 2004-05-09 Listed $49,900 MLSOK
- 2002-12-27 Listed $49,900 MLSOK
Property tax history
-0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $449 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…